Botafogo vs Gremio Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 22 November, 2025 16:30

📋 Preview: Botafogo vs Gremio | Serie A (Brazil) 2025, Matchweek 1

📖 Introduction

As the Serie A season kicks off, Botafogo finds itself in a solid 6th position with 52 points, while Gremio lingers in 14th place with 40 points. This match is critical for both teams: Botafogo aims to solidify its position in the top half, while Gremio desperately seeks to climb away from the relegation zone as they battle for survival.

🏠 Botafogo Analysis

Botafogo has demonstrated a reliable recent form with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches. At home, they have been particularly effective, averaging 1.6 goals while conceding just over one per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.47 at home further illustrates their offensive capabilities, making them a formidable opponent. In their last outing, they managed a goalless draw against Vitoria, and will be looking to bounce back in front of their supporters in this opening fixture.

✈️ Gremio Analysis

In contrast, Gremio's form has been less than inspiring, with just one win in their last five matches, showcasing a trend of struggle. Their away record is particularly concerning, as they have failed to secure a victory in their last five attempts, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and conceding 2 goals per match. With an xG of 0.88 away from home, it’s evident that they are struggling to create meaningful scoring opportunities. Following a 2-2 draw against Fortaleza, Gremio will need to find their rhythm quickly to avoid falling further behind in the league.

🔄 Head-to-Head

Historically, Botafogo and Gremio have faced each other once in their most recent encounter, which ended in a 1-1 draw. Over their last five meetings, neither team has secured a win, indicating a competitive rivalry. The average of two goals per match suggests that games between these two can be closely contested, with the potential for excitement.

🔑 Key Factors

Critical matchups will revolve around Botafogo's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Gremio's struggling attack. With players like Marlon Freitas and J. Savarino available for Botafogo, they possess the creative and defensive depth needed to control the game. On the other hand, Gremio needs to rely on their defensive stalwarts like Tiago Volpi and Marlon, who must step up in this crucial match. The momentum is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, and if Gremio's xG performance doesn’t improve, they could find themselves overwhelmed.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome Botafogo wins 56.7% – I predict a victory for Botafogo with a scoreline of 2-0 Gremio. Botafogo's strong home form and superior goal-scoring capabilities, combined with Gremio's struggles away from home, support this projection.

💡 Betting Tips

Team Total Over @ 1.25 (75%). This aligns with the expectation of Botafogo scoring at least two goals given their home advantage and Gremio's defensive vulnerabilities. Bet responsibly.

📋 Preview: Botafogo vs Gremio | Serie A (Brazil) 2025, Matchweek 1

📖 Introduction

As the Serie A season kicks off, Botafogo finds itself in a solid 6th position with 52 points, while Gremio lingers in 14th place with 40 points. This match is critical for both teams: Botafogo aims to solidify its position in the top half, while Gremio desperately seeks to climb away from the relegation zone as they battle for survival.

🏠 Botafogo Analysis

Botafogo has demonstrated a reliable recent form with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches. At home, they have been particularly effective, averaging 1.6 goals while conceding just over one per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.47 at home further illustrates their offensive capabilities, making them a formidable opponent. In their last outing, they managed a goalless draw against Vitoria, and will be looking to bounce back in front of their supporters in this opening fixture.

✈️ Gremio Analysis

In contrast, Gremio's form has been less than inspiring, with just one win in their last five matches, showcasing a trend of struggle. Their away record is particularly concerning, as they have failed to secure a victory in their last five attempts, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and conceding 2 goals per match. With an xG of 0.88 away from home, it’s evident that they are struggling to create meaningful scoring opportunities. Following a 2-2 draw against Fortaleza, Gremio will need to find their rhythm quickly to avoid falling further behind in the league.

🔄 Head-to-Head

Historically, Botafogo and Gremio have faced each other once in their most recent encounter, which ended in a 1-1 draw. Over their last five meetings, neither team has secured a win, indicating a competitive rivalry. The average of two goals per match suggests that games between these two can be closely contested, with the potential for excitement.

🔑 Key Factors

Critical matchups will revolve around Botafogo's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Gremio's struggling attack. With players like Marlon Freitas and J. Savarino available for Botafogo, they possess the creative and defensive depth needed to control the game. On the other hand, Gremio needs to rely on their defensive stalwarts like Tiago Volpi and Marlon, who must step up in this crucial match. The momentum is heavily tilted in favor of the home side, and if Gremio's xG performance doesn’t improve, they could find themselves overwhelmed.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome Botafogo wins 56.7% – I predict a victory for Botafogo with a scoreline of 2-0 Gremio. Botafogo's strong home form and superior goal-scoring capabilities, combined with Gremio's struggles away from home, support this projection.

💡 Betting Tips

Team Total Over @ 1.25 (75%). This aligns with the expectation of Botafogo scoring at least two goals given their home advantage and Gremio's defensive vulnerabilities. Bet responsibly.