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Borussia Dortmund
3
0
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 8:30
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11
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(26 total)
xG
1.90
(20.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.3
(157 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(41% acc)
Corners
6.4
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.6
(128 total)
Offsides
1.2
(13 total)
12
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(25 total)
xG
1.40
(16.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(127 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(39% acc)
Corners
3.3
(40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
10
(120 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
23
Played
13
Wins
8
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(51 total)
xG
1.60
(37.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(284 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(40% acc)
Corners
4.8
(110 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.8
(248 total)
Offsides
1
(24 total)
7
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(8 total)
xG
1.00
(6.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(83 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(40% acc)
Corners
7
(49 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.1
(71 total)
Offsides
1.9
(13 total)
9
Played
1
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(6 total)
xG
0.60
(5.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.7
(78 total)
Shots on Target
2.2
(26% acc)
Corners
3.1
(28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.9
(89 total)
Offsides
1.9
(17 total)
16
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(14 total)
xG
0.80
(12.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(161 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(33% acc)
Corners
4.8
(77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(160 total)
Offsides
1.9
(30 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.21 vs 0.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.22%
⭐
0:1
2.59%
0:2
0.41%
0:3
0.04%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
17.21%
⭐
1:1
6.36%
1:2
1.15%
1:3
0.14%
1:4
0.01%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
18.03%
🔥
⭐
2:1
7.66%
2:2
1.57%
2:3
0.21%
2:4
0.02%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
12.59%
⭐
3:1
6.04%
3:2
1.39%
3:3
0.21%
3:4
0.02%
3:5
0%
4
4:0
6.59%
4:1
3.53%
4:2
0.9%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
2.76%
5:1
1.63%
5:2
0.46%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
2:0 (18.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Borussia Dortmund will take on FC St. Pauli as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous SIGNAL IDUNA PARK.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Borussia Dortmund, and the visiting side, FC St. Pauli. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 14:30
Location: SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 8:30 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
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Win to Nil
Borussia Dortmund Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 56.6%
EV: +21.8%
Stake:
$2.17
2.15↓
Trends for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli Football 17 Jan, 2026 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
League Position Mismatch
Borussia Dortmund in top 3 vs FC St. Pauli in relegation zone — significant quality gap
-
Defensive Fortress
Borussia Dortmund have league's best defense — hard to break down
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Borussia Dortmund @ 1.37 ✅ 
Borussia Dortmund
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Borussia Dortmund efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Borussia Dortmund concede only 0.57 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Borussia Dortmund have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Borussia Dortmund efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
FC St. Pauli
- Not WinH2H3/3100%FC St. Pauli have not won in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
Borussia Dortmund dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
Borussia Dortmund(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Borussia Dortmund score well (1.86/match) but have strong defense at home (0.57 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
FC St. Pauli(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%FC St. Pauli struggle to score in away matches (0.63/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/366.7%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.76 ⚠️
Borussia Dortmund(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Borussia Dortmund have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
FC St. Pauli(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%FC St. Pauli struggle to score in away matches (0.63/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Borussia Dortmund Win or Draw @ 1.08 ✅ 
Borussia Dortmund
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Borussia Dortmund are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Borussia Dortmund concede only 0.57 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
FC St. Pauli
- Not WinH2H3/3100%FC St. Pauli have not won in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
Borussia Dortmund dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Borussia Dortmund Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.47 ✅ 
Borussia Dortmund
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Borussia Dortmund scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 2+Recent3/3100%Borussia Dortmund scored 2+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Borussia Dortmund score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 1+Recent15/15100%Borussia Dortmund scored 1+ goals in their last 15 15 matches
Borussia Dortmund maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.27 ⚠️ 
Borussia Dortmund(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-10% below league)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Borussia Dortmund receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
FC St. Pauli(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-20% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%FC St. Pauli average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
FC St. Pauli disciplined play balances Borussia Dortmund aggression — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.27
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.01 ⚠️ 
Borussia Dortmund(1 trends) — avg 7.1 (+45% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Borussia Dortmund average 7.1 corners/match at home (+45% above league avg 4.9)
FC St. Pauli(1 trends) — avg 3.4 (-30% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%FC St. Pauli average 3.4 corners/match in away matches (-30% below league avg 4.9)
Combined average: 10.5 corners/match (Borussia Dortmund 7.1 + FC St. Pauli 3.4) • Borussia Dortmund dominance pushes total over threshold
+6 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the second half (22 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (16 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (16 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Borussia Dortmund
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.19
✈️ FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Borussia Dortmund - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
22
Avg. Goals per Match
1.1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
✈️ FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Borussia Dortmund - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
16
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
16
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Borussia Dortmund shows superior performance after the break (22 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Borussia Dortmund winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Borussia Dortmund excels in the closing minutes (16 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Borussia Dortmund scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Borussia Dortmund has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Borussia Dortmund handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.226
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.122
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Borussia Dortmund):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
15
2
0
66
13
53
47
2
10
6
1
32
15
17
36
3
10
2
4
32
19
13
32
16
▲
2
6
9
17
29
-12
12
17
▼
3
3
10
14
28
-14
12
18
▼
3
3
11
16
38
-22
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Borussia Dortmund to Win
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Borussia Dortmund
VS
FC St. Pauli
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (7)
1.3 (4)
xG
2.00
0.80
Shots
14 (42)
9.3 (28)
Shots on Target
5.7 (17)
3.7 (11)
Corners
3.3 (10)
4.3 (13)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (4)
2.3 (7)
xGa
0.80
2.00
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (7)
1.3 (4)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11 (33)
10.3 (31)
Offsides
2 (6)
3.3 (10)
Last 6 Matches
Borussia Dortmund
VS
FC St. Pauli
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.33
PPG
0.83
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.76
Avg xG
0.56
Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Borussia Dortmund and away matches for FC St. Pauli
Number of goals
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
0%
0
70%
7
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
100%
10
30%
3
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
0-1
0%
0
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
xG
1.88
0.58
xGa
1
1.6
Number of goals
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
1
70%
7
10%
1
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
30%
3
90%
9
Total Goals
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
Number of goals
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
1
40%
4
0%
0
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
60%
6
100%
10
Total Goals
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
2.22
xG
0.40
61%
Ball Possession
39%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1
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