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Borussia Dortmund
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FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 17 February, 2026 14:00
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15
Played
11
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(36 total)
xG
2.00
(29.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(208 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(40% acc)
Corners
6.5
(98 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(53%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.3
(169 total)
Offsides
0.9
(14 total)
15
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(30 total)
xG
1.30
(20.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.1
(167 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(35% acc)
Corners
3.5
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.4
(156 total)
Offsides
0.9
(13 total)
30
Played
18
Wins
8
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(66 total)
xG
1.70
(49.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(375 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(38% acc)
Corners
5
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.8
(325 total)
Offsides
0.9
(27 total)
17
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(26 total)
xG
1.90
(32.2 total)
Shots per Match
17.2
(292 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(28% acc)
Corners
6.3
(107 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.2
(174 total)
Offsides
2.2
(37 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(18 total)
xG
1.20
(19.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(181 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(31% acc)
Corners
4.2
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11
(176 total)
Offsides
1.9
(30 total)
33
Played
15
Wins
10
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(44 total)
xG
1.60
(51.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.3
(473 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(29% acc)
Corners
5.3
(174 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.6
(350 total)
Offsides
2
(67 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.88 vs 0.61
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.2%
⭐
0:1
4.23%
0:2
0.88%
0:3
0.12%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
17.19%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.12%
1:2
2.31%
1:3
0.38%
1:4
0.04%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
14.49%
⭐
2:1
9.37%
2:2
2.83%
2:3
0.54%
2:4
0.07%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
8.14%
⭐
3:1
6.2%
⭐
3:2
2.2%
3:3
0.49%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
3.43%
⭐
4:1
3.01%
⭐
4:2
1.23%
4:3
0.31%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.16%
⭐
5:1
1.15%
⭐
5:2
0.53%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (17.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Borussia Dortmund will take on Atalanta as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-17 at 2026-02-17 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be S. Gozubuyuk. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Borussia Dortmund, and the visiting side, Atalanta. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-17
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Tuesday, Feb 17th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Football 17 Feb, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
-
Second Half Surge
Borussia Dortmund score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta.
🏆 Match Winner — Borussia Dortmund @ 2.17 ✅ 
Borussia Dortmund
Above League AverageLeague
Borussia Dortmund score 2.50 goals/match at home (+63% above league average)
4 / 475%
High ScoringRecent
Borussia Dortmund score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
8 / 8100%
Efficient ScoringRecent
Borussia Dortmund efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
6 / 875%
💡Borussia Dortmund demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.81 ✅
Borussia Dortmund3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Borussia Dortmund score 2.50 goals/match at home (+63% above league average)
4 / 475%
High ScoringRecent
Borussia Dortmund score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
8 / 8100%
Over 2.5 GoalsRecent
Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
6 / 875%
💡Teams average combined 2.5 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Borussia Dortmund Win or Draw @ 1.34 ⚠️
Borussia Dortmund
Undefeated at HTRecent
Borussia Dortmund are undefeated at half time in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
6 / 875%
💡Borussia Dortmund demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Borussia Dortmund Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.96 ✅ 
Borussia Dortmund
Above League AverageLeague
Borussia Dortmund score 2.50 goals/match at home (+63% above league average)
4 / 475%
Scored 1+Recent
Borussia Dortmund scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
6 / 875%
Second Half SpecialistsRecent
Borussia Dortmund score in second half in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
6 / 875%
💡Borussia Dortmund maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Borussia Dortmund2 Trends — avg 1.5 (-30% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Borussia Dortmund average 1.1 cards/match in all matches (-44% below league avg 2.0)
8 / 890%
Few CardsRecent
Borussia Dortmund receive 0-1 card in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
7 / 888%
Atalanta1 Trends — avg 1.7 (-21% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Atalanta average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-26% below league avg 2.0)
8 / 890%
💡Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.01 ✅
Borussia Dortmund2 Trends — avg 5.2 (+12% above league)Many CornersLeague
Borussia Dortmund average 5.2 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 4.7)
4 / 477%
Few CornersRecent
Borussia Dortmund win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
6 / 875%
Atalanta1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-14% below league)Few CornersLeague
Atalanta average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.7)
4 / 479%
💡Combined average: 9.2 corners/match (Borussia Dortmund 5.2 + Atalanta 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
🎯 Betting Analysis
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the second half (19 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the second half (19 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Borussia Dortmund
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.19
✈️ Atalanta
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Borussia Dortmund - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
✈️ Atalanta - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Borussia Dortmund - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Atalanta - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Borussia Dortmund is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Borussia Dortmund to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Borussia Dortmund shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Borussia Dortmund winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Borussia Dortmund excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Borussia Dortmund scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.219
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.06
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.038 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Borussia Dortmund):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atalanta):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Head-to-head statistics for Tue 17 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Atalanta Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Borussia Dortmund
VS
Atalanta
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.67
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
33%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.56
Avg xG
1.70
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Borussia Dortmund and away matches for Atalanta
Number of goals
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
40%
4
60%
6
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
1
70%
7
60%
6
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
30%
3
40%
4
Total Goals
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
0-1
0%
0
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2 HT - FT
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
HT 1 - FT 1
60%
6
60%
6
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
xG
1.79
1.65
xGa
1.21
1.31
Number of goals
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
1
60%
6
70%
7
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
10%
1
0%
0
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
90%
9
100%
10
X2
40%
4
30%
3
Total Goals
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Yes
70%
7
100%
10
No
30%
3
0%
0
Number of goals
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Atalanta
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
0-1
30%
3
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
1.96
xG
1.24
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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