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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 17
28 Dec 2025-17:00
Bologna
Bologna
6th place
- : -
28 Dec 2025 11:00
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
10th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 11:00

1×2 Prediction
Bologna
62%21%17%
BolognaDrawSassuolo
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
50%50%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
51%49%
NoYes
Team Total - Bologna
Under 2.5
71%29%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Sassuolo
Under 1.5
79%21%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Bologna/Draw
83%17%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Bologna +0.5
85%15%
Home +0.5NOT Home +0.5
Best Tip Value
Match Winner Bologna to Win
Odds: 1.8
61.7%
EV: +11.1%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
11:00
Bologna W 62%
:
Sassuolo W 17%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.92 vs 0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.65%
0:1
5.32%
0:2
2.13%
0:3
0.57%
0:4
0.11%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.71%
🔥
1:1
10.26%
1:2
4.14%
1:3
1.11%
1:4
0.22%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
12.15%
2:1
9.89%
2:2
4.02%
2:3
1.09%
2:4
0.22%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
7.75%
3:1
6.35%
3:2
2.6%
3:3
0.71%
3:4
0.15%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3.06%
4:2
1.26%
4:3
0.35%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.42%
5:1
1.18%
5:2
0.49%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.6%
0
18.0%
1
24.5%
2
22.3%
3
15.3%
4
8.4%
5
3.4%
6
1.0%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Juventus
d w l w w
>
16
8
5
3
21
15
6
29
6
Bologna
w w l d l
>
15
7
4
4
23
13
10
25
7
Como
d w w l l
>
15
6
6
3
19
12
7
24

9
Atalanta
l w l w w
>
16
5
7
4
20
18
2
22
10
Sassuolo
d l w d l
>
16
6
3
7
21
20
1
21
11
Cremonese
l w w l d
>
16
5
6
5
18
18
0
21
1.48 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Bologna
VS
Sassuolo
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 1.33
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
2.02 Avg xG 1.04
Bologna
W L D W L
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Bologna
0 1
Juventus
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Celta Vigo
1 2
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
1 1
Bologna
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Bologna
1 3
Cremonese
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Bologna
4 1
Red Bull Salzburg
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
0 3
Bologna
Sassuolo
D L W D L
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Sassuolo
0 1
Torino
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 11:30
AC Milan
2 2
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Sassuolo
3 1
Fiorentina
Serie A 2025-2026
28 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Como
2 0
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Sassuolo
2 2
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Atalanta
0 3
Sassuolo
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Bologna will take on Sassuolo as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bologna, and the visiting side, Sassuolo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Bologna or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-28 Time: 17:00 Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bologna vs Sassuolo Sunday, Dec 28th, 2025 at 11:00 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Match Winner Bologna
Odds: 1.80
61.7%
EV: +11.1% Stake: $3.13
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 12
Odds: 1.31
78.6%
EV: +2.9% Stake: $8.06
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 02:02:16
spinner

Trends for Bologna vs Sassuolo Football 28 Dec, 2025 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Bologna have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Sassuolo score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Bologna vs Sassuolo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Sassuolo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Bologna

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Sassuolo

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Bologna - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Sassuolo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Bologna - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Sassuolo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Sassuolo often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Sassuolo scoring first
  • Overall Result: Bologna has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Bologna handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.201
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bologna):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sassuolo):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Bologna
Sassuolo

Bologna vs Sassuolo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 11:00 Serie A

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bologna and away matches for Sassuolo

Number of goals
Bologna
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bologna
Sassuolo
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Bologna
Sassuolo
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Bologna
Sassuolo
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Bologna
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bologna
Sassuolo
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Bologna
Sassuolo
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Bologna
Sassuolo
xG
1.73
0.95
xGa
1
1.15
Number of goals
Bologna
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bologna
Sassuolo
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
0% 0
20% 2
X
80% 8
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Bologna
Sassuolo
12
20% 2
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
100% 10
80% 8
Total Goals
Bologna
Sassuolo
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bologna
Sassuolo
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Number of goals
Bologna
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bologna
Sassuolo
Yes
0% 0
40% 4
No
100% 10
60% 6
1X2
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Bologna
Sassuolo
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Bologna
Sassuolo
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bologna
Sassuolo
Yes
80% 8
40% 4
No
20% 2
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Bologna to Win
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
18.7%
Low
6.00
1.0%
Low
N/A
-2
28.5%
Low
5.25
2.7%
Low
N/A
-1.5
38.4%
Low
3.27
4.4%
Low
12.00
-1
51.0%
Medium
2.40
9.7%
Low
9.00
-0.5
63.6%
Medium
1.75
15.0%
Low
4.80
+0.5
85.0%
High
1.20
36.4%
Low
2.24
+1
90.3%
High
1.01
49.0%
Low
1.62
+1.5
95.5%
High
1.03
61.6%
Medium
1.40
+2
97.3%
High
N/A
71.4%
High
1.16
+2.5
99.0%
High
N/A
81.3%
High
1.12
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.82%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.557.32%Medium1.91
Under 1.542.68%Low1.92
AwayOver 1.519.59%Low4.00
Under 1.580.41%High1.25
HomeOver 2.530.29%Low4.00
Under 2.569.71%Medium1.27
AwayOver 2.54.93%Low13.00
Under 2.595.07%High1.05
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
3 Feb
- 19:45
Bologna
Sassuolo
4
2
28 Oct
- 13:00
Sassuolo
Bologna
1
1
8 May
- 18:45
Sassuolo
Bologna
1
1
12 Nov
- 19:45
Bologna
Sassuolo
3
0
15 May
- 10:30
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
3
22 Dec
- 15:30
Sassuolo
Bologna
0
3
club logo
Bologna
Sassuolo
Played: 6
Wins
3
Draws
2
Wins
1
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
13
2.2
Goals
1.2
7
7
1.2
Goals Conceded
2.2
13
9
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.2
7
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
26
4.3
Corners
5.7
34
68
11.3
Fouls
10.5
63
21
3.5
Offsides
1.2
7
65
10.8
Shots
12
72
22
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.3
26
Home Away All
Played 7 8 15
Wins 4 3 7
Draws 1 3 4
Losses 2 2 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.4 10 1.6 13 1.5 23
Goals Conceded 0.7 5 1 8 0.9 13
Yellow Cards 1.6 11 2.3 18 1.9 29
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.6 4 0.3 2 0.4 6
Corners 5.7 40 4.9 39 5.3 79
Fouls 12.4 87 14.9 119 13.7 206
Offsides 1.7 12 2.4 19 2.1 31
Shots 16.3 114 11 88 13.5 202
Shots on Goal 4.4 31 4 32 4.2 63
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 3 3 6
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 10 1.4 11 1.3 21
Goals Conceded 1.3 10 1.3 10 1.3 20
Yellow Cards 2.5 20 2.4 19 2.4 39
Red Cards 0.3 2 0 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.4 3 0.3 4
Corners 3.4 27 3.1 25 3.3 52
Fouls 13 104 11.9 95 12.4 199
Offsides 1.6 13 2 16 1.8 29
Shots 11.6 93 9.5 76 10.6 169
Shots on Goal 3.5 28 4 32 3.8 60
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