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Bologna vs Fiorentina: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 8:00
Prediction League
12
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(16 total)
xG
1.50
(18.1 total)
Shots per Match
16.2
(194 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(30% acc)
Corners
5.6
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.3
(148 total)
Offsides
1.8
(21 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(19 total)
xG
1.20
(16.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(154 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(35% acc)
Corners
4.5
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
14.6
(190 total)
Offsides
2.5
(33 total)
25
Played
10
Wins
8
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(35 total)
xG
1.40
(34.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(348 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(32% acc)
Corners
5
(126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
13.5
(338 total)
Offsides
2.2
(54 total)
14
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(21 total)
xG
1.50
(21.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.7
(220 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(30% acc)
Corners
5.6
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(166 total)
Offsides
2.1
(29 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(14 total)
xG
1.20
(16.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(161 total)
Shots on Target
3
(26% acc)
Corners
4
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(174 total)
Offsides
2
(28 total)
28
Played
7
Wins
8
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
1.30
(37.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(381 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(28% acc)
Corners
4.8
(135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12.1
(340 total)
Offsides
2
(57 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.68 vs 1.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.25%
0:1
6.91%
0:2
3.29%
0:3
1.05%
0:4
0.25%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
11.4%
1:1
11.64%
🔥
1:2
5.92%
1:3
2%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.97%
2:1
9.76%
2:2
5.27%
2:3
1.89%
2:4
0.5%
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
4.7%
⭐
3:1
5.44%
3:2
3.11%
3:3
1.18%
3:4
0.33%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
1.85%
⭐
4:1
2.26%
⭐
4:2
1.37%
⭐
4:3
0.55%
⭐
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.58%
⭐
5:1
0.75%
⭐
5:2
0.48%
⭐
5:3
0.2%
⭐
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Bologna will take on Fiorentina as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bologna, and the visiting side, Fiorentina. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Fiorentina.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-18
Time: 14:00
Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bologna vs Fiorentina Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 8:00 Football
AI Value Bets
2 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Bologna vs Fiorentina Football 18 Jan, 2026 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Bologna have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Bologna create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Bologna vs Fiorentina, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Bologna @ 2.20 ✅ 
Bologna
- High xG PerformanceH2H9/9100%Bologna create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 Serie A matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/771%Bologna score 1.43 goals/match at home (+22% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bologna concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Bologna rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (1.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Bologna create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Bologna have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Fiorentina
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Fiorentina are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent15/1694%Fiorentina have not won in 15 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Bologna dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
Bologna(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/771%Bologna score well (1.43/match) but have strong defense at home (0.71 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 71% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H6/966.7%Both teams scored in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.09 ✅
Bologna(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/771%Bologna score 1.43 goals/match at home (+22% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Bologna rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (1.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Bologna have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Fiorentina(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent13/1681%Fiorentina scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H6/966.7%Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 9 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 1.4 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Bologna Win or Draw @ 1.33 ✅
Bologna
- Undefeated at HTH2H8/989%Bologna are undefeated at half time in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bologna concede only 0.71 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Fiorentina
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Fiorentina are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent15/1694%Fiorentina have not won in 15 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Bologna to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Bologna Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.20 ✅ 
Bologna
- Above League AverageLeague7/771%Bologna score 1.43 goals/match at home (+22% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/765%Bologna rank 3 of 20 in scoring at home (1.43 goals/match vs league avg 2.34)
- Scored 1+Recent7/978%Bologna scored 1+ goals in their last 7 9 matches
Bologna maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.38 ✅ 
Bologna(1 trends) — avg 2 (-9% below league)
- Many CardsH2H8/989%Bologna receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches
Fiorentina(3 trends) — avg 2.4 (+9% above league)
- Many CardsH2H8/989%Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Fiorentina average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+17% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.6 cards per match in their last 9 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.38
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.25 ⚠️
Bologna(2 trends) — avg 5.7 (+30% above league)
- Few CornersH2H6/875%Bologna win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Bologna average 5.7 corners/match at home (+30% above league avg 4.4)
Bologna drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.25
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bologna vs Fiorentina
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bologna
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Fiorentina
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bologna - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Fiorentina - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bologna - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Fiorentina - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Bologna has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Bologna handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.243
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.025
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bologna):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Fiorentina):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Bologna vs Fiorentina Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 8:00 Serie A
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
7
7
6
21
16
5
28
9
7
6
6
26
20
6
27
10
7
5
8
22
32
-10
26
17
4
5
11
13
28
-15
17
18
2
8
10
21
31
-10
14
19
1
10
9
15
30
-15
13
Team comparison
Prediction
Bologna or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Bologna
VS
Fiorentina
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (14)
1.4 (13)
xG
1.40
1.80
Shots
11.2 (101)
11.9 (107)
Shots on Target
4.2 (38)
4.2 (38)
Corners
2.9 (26)
4.1 (37)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (13)
1.6 (14)
xGa
1.80
1.40
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (23)
2.4 (22)
Red Cards
0.3 (3)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
15.6 (140)
13 (117)
Offsides
2.1 (19)
2.2 (20)
Last 6 Matches
Bologna
VS
Fiorentina
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.50
PPG
1.33
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.11
Avg xG
1.65
Bologna vs Fiorentina: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bologna and away matches for Fiorentina
Number of goals
Bologna
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Bologna
Fiorentina
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
Bologna
Fiorentina
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Bologna
Fiorentina
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Bologna
Fiorentina
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Bologna
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bologna
Fiorentina
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Bologna
Fiorentina
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Bologna
Fiorentina
xG
1.61
1.65
xGa
1.52
1.22
Number of goals
Bologna
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bologna
Fiorentina
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Bologna
Fiorentina
1
0%
0
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Bologna
Fiorentina
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
100%
10
80%
8
Total Goals
Bologna
Fiorentina
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Bologna
Fiorentina
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Number of goals
Bologna
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Bologna
Fiorentina
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Bologna
Fiorentina
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Bologna
Fiorentina
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Bologna
Fiorentina
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Bologna
Fiorentina
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1.60
xG
1.20
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
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