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Benfica vs Real Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 17 February, 2026 14:00
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17
Played
11
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(36 total)
xG
1.70
(29.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.9
(287 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(37% acc)
Corners
6.1
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11
(187 total)
Offsides
2
(34 total)
17
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(25 total)
xG
1.20
(21.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(237 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(33% acc)
Corners
5.8
(98 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(59%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(182 total)
Offsides
0.8
(14 total)
34
Played
21
Wins
8
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(61 total)
xG
1.50
(50.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(524 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(35% acc)
Corners
5.9
(202 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
17
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.9
(369 total)
Offsides
1.4
(48 total)
16
Played
14
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(39 total)
xG
2.60
(41.0 total)
Shots per Match
20.3
(324 total)
Shots on Target
7.6
(38% acc)
Corners
6.9
(110 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.2
(163 total)
Offsides
1.5
(24 total)
16
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(35 total)
xG
1.80
(28.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.1
(258 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(38% acc)
Corners
5.5
(88 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.3
(165 total)
Offsides
1.4
(22 total)
32
Played
24
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(74 total)
xG
2.20
(69.5 total)
Shots per Match
18.2
(582 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(38% acc)
Corners
6.2
(198 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
10.3
(328 total)
Offsides
1.4
(46 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.45 vs 2.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.6%
0:1
2.79%
0:2
2.44%
0:3
1.42%
0:4
0.62%
0:5
0.22%
1
1:0
3.18%
1:1
6.29%
1:2
6.15%
1:3
3.96%
1:4
1.89%
1:5
0.72%
2
2:0
3.16%
2:1
6.99%
2:2
7.57%
🔥
⭐
2:3
5.36%
⭐
2:4
2.8%
⭐
2:5
1.16%
⭐
3
3:0
2.09%
⭐
3:1
5.12%
⭐
3:2
6.1%
⭐
3:3
4.73%
⭐
3:4
2.69%
⭐
3:5
1.2%
⭐
4
4:0
1.04%
⭐
4:1
2.79%
⭐
4:2
3.63%
⭐
4:3
3.06%
⭐
4:4
1.89%
⭐
4:5
0.91%
⭐
5
5:0
0.41%
⭐
5:1
1.2%
⭐
5:2
1.7%
⭐
5:3
1.55%
⭐
5:4
1.03%
⭐
5:5
0.54%
Hotspot:
2:2 (7.6%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Benfica will take on Real Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-17 at 2026-02-17 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be F. Letexier. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Benfica, and the visiting side, Real Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Benfica or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-17
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Benfica vs Real Madrid Tuesday, Feb 17th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Benfica vs Real Madrid Football 17 Feb, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Chance Suppression
Benfica rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Benfica vs Real Madrid.
🏆 Match Winner — Real Madrid @ 1.94 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsReal Madrid
Above League AverageLeague
Real Madrid score 2.75 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Real Madrid demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.59 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsBenfica1 TrendsBTTS NoRecent
At least one team failed to score in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1283%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Benfica rarely concede (83% clean sheet rate)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.46 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsBenfica1 TrendsUnder 2.5 GoalsRecent
Under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 1275%
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Unlock Streak TrendsReal Madrid2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Real Madrid score 2.75 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
Real Madrid score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 8100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Teams average combined 2.8 goals per match • Defensive consistency suggests Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Benfica Win or Draw @ 1.97 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Real Madrid Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.71 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsReal Madrid
Above League AverageLeague
Real Madrid score 2.75 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 475%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Real Madrid's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsReal Madrid1 Trends — avg 2.2 (+3% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Real Madrid average 2.8 cards/match in all matches (+36% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 890%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Benfica disciplined play balances Real Madrid aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.17 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsBenfica1 Trends — avg 5.3 (+14% above league)Many CornersLeague
Benfica average 5.3 corners/match at home (+14% above league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 679%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Benfica drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.17
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Benfica vs Real Madrid
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Real Madrid is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
🔄 Second Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the second half (18 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Real Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the second half (18 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Real Madrid is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Benfica
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Real Madrid
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Benfica - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Real Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Benfica - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Real Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Real Madrid often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Real Madrid scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Real Madrid shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 14 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Real Madrid winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Real Madrid excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Real Madrid scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.095
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Benfica):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Real Madrid):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Tue 17 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Benfica AH+1.5
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Benfica
VS
Real Madrid
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
4 (4)
2 (2)
xG
2.90
1.50
Shots
21 (21)
16 (16)
Shots on Target
11 (11)
6 (6)
Corners
6 (6)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
4 (4)
xGa
1.50
2.90
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
5 (5)
Red Cards
0 (0)
2 (2)
Fouls
11 (11)
13 (13)
Offsides
1 (1)
0 (0)
Last 6 Matches
Benfica
VS
Real Madrid
4/6 (67%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.50
PPG
1.50
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
3.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.99
Avg xG
2.05
Benfica vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Benfica and away matches for Real Madrid
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
70%
7
90%
9
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Benfica
Real Madrid
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
30%
3
10%
1
Total Goals
Benfica
Real Madrid
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Benfica
Real Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
60%
6
60%
6
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Benfica
Real Madrid
xG
1.9
2.1
xGa
0.8
1.26
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Benfica
Real Madrid
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
Benfica
Real Madrid
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Benfica
Real Madrid
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Benfica
Real Madrid
0-1
70%
7
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Shoulder Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
1.75
xG
1.84
56%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Reports: Liverpool and Man City Keeping a Close Eye on 'Exceptional' Bundesliga Star
Third Real Madrid Player Sent Off from the Bench Against Celta Vigo
Real Madrid Player Assists Off the Field Due to Injury Against Celta Vigo
Real Madrid vs. Celta in La Liga: Start Time, Broadcast Details, and Team Line-ups on
9 Players We’re Surprised Missed The Athletic’s List of 100 Greatest Footballers Ever
Atlético Madrid Falls to Athletic as Rivals Gain Ground in La Liga
La Liga Must Compensate Real Madrid Approximately 9 Million: What’s Behind This?
Real Madrid player likely to sit out match against Celta Vigo
Supreme Court Rules in Favor of Real Madrid in TV Rights Dispute with LaLiga
Arsenal Competes with Manchester United for Bundesliga Star Priced at €55m