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Benfica vs Real Madrid: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 14:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Last 6 Matches
Benfica
VS
Real Madrid
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.00
PPG
2.40
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.97
Avg xG
1.72
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.34
xG [Total: 2.85]
1.51
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 11]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
1
11
Fouls [Total: 22]
10
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 12]
6
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Benfica will take on Real Madrid as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-28 at 2026-01-28 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Benfica, and the visiting side, Real Madrid. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-28
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Benfica vs Real Madrid Football 28 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Chance Suppression
Benfica rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Benfica vs Real Madrid, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Benfica(1 trends)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Benfica create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Real Madrid(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Real Madrid score 3.00 goals/match in away matches (+99% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Real Madrid create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 UEFA Champions League matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Real Madrid(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Real Madrid score 3.00 goals/match in away matches (+99% above league average)
Teams average combined 3.0 goals per match
⚡ Team Total Goals
Benfica(2 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent14/14100%Benfica rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 14 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent30/30100%Benfica rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 30 of their last 30 UEFA Champions League matches
Real Madrid(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Real Madrid score 3.00 goals/match in away matches (+99% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent25/3083%Real Madrid scored 1+ goals in 25 of their last 30 UEFA Champions League matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent23/3077%Real Madrid score in second half in 23 of their last 30 UEFA Champions League matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Real Madrid(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Real Madrid receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Benfica disciplined play balances Real Madrid aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Benfica(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+29% above league)
- Many CornersLeague4/485%Benfica average 6.0 corners/match at home (+29% above league avg 4.6)
Real Madrid(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague3/379%Real Madrid average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (Benfica 6.0 + Real Madrid 4.0)
🎯 Betting Analysis
Benfica vs Real Madrid
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Real Madrid is stronger in the second half (15 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Benfica
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Real Madrid
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Benfica - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Real Madrid - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Benfica - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Real Madrid - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Real Madrid shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Real Madrid winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.136
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.015
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Benfica):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Real Madrid):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Benfica vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Benfica and away matches for Real Madrid
Number of goals
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Benfica
Real Madrid
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Benfica
Real Madrid
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Benfica
Real Madrid
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Benfica
Real Madrid
xG
1.45
2.15
xGa
0.98
1.06
Number of goals
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Benfica
Real Madrid
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Benfica
Real Madrid
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Real Madrid
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Benfica
Real Madrid
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Benfica
Real Madrid
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
10%
1
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Real Madrid
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Benfica
Real Madrid
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 5 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.9 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 6 | 2.4 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 2 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 24 | 5.2 | 26 | 5.6 | 50 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 38 | 12.2 | 61 | 11 | 99 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 7 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.4 | 13 |
| Shots | 17.3 | 69 | 10 | 50 | 13.2 | 119 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 16 | 3.6 | 18 | 3.8 | 34 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 2.4 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Corners | 11 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6.8 | 34 |
| Fouls | 9 | 18 | 8.3 | 25 | 8.6 | 43 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Shots | 28 | 56 | 13.3 | 40 | 19.2 | 96 |
| Shots on Goal | 12.5 | 25 | 6 | 18 | 8.6 | 43 |
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