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Benfica vs Napoli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 10 December, 2025 15:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.66 vs 1.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.23%
0:1
7.01%
0:2
3.94%
0:3
1.48%
0:4
0.42%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
9.44%
1:1
11.52%
🔥
1:2
6.99%
1:3
2.81%
1:4
0.84%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.15%
2:1
9.41%
2:2
6.13%
2:3
2.64%
2:4
0.84%
2:5
0.21%
3
3:0
3.61%
3:1
5.1%
3:2
3.55%
⭐
3:3
1.63%
⭐
3:4
0.55%
⭐
3:5
0.15%
⭐
4
4:0
1.37%
⭐
4:1
2.06%
⭐
4:2
1.53%
⭐
4:3
0.75%
⭐
4:4
0.27%
⭐
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
0.41%
5:1
0.66%
⭐
5:2
0.52%
⭐
5:3
0.27%
⭐
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Benfica
VS
Napoli
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.00
PPG
1.40
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
33%
BTTS %
17%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.97
Avg xG
1.38
1.66
xG [Total: 2.93]
1.27
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 12]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
1
11
Fouls [Total: 22]
11
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Benfica will take on Napoli as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-10 at 2025-12-10 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Benfica, and the visiting side, Napoli. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Napoli.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-10
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Benfica vs Napoli Wednesday, Dec 10th, 2025 at 15:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Benfica vs Napoli Football 10 Dec, 2025 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Benfica create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Chance Suppression
Benfica rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Benfica vs Napoli, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Napoli @ 3.20 ✅ 
Napoli
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1776%Napoli efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 17 UEFA Champions League matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent6/875%Napoli efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Napoli demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🛡️ Double Chance — Benfica Win or Draw @ 1.41 ⚠️ 
⚡ Team Total Goals — Napoli Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.73 ✅ 
Napoli
- Scored 1+Recent14/1782%Napoli scored 1+ goals in 14 of their last 17 UEFA Champions League matches
- Scored 1+Recent6/875%Napoli scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent6/875%Napoli score in second half in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Napoli's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.79 ⚠️ 
Benfica(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+29% above league)
- Many CornersLeague4/485%Benfica average 6.0 corners/match at home (+29% above league avg 4.6)
Benfica drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.79
🎯 Betting Analysis
Benfica vs Napoli
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Napoli is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Napoli is stronger in the second half (13 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Napoli is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Napoli is stronger in the second half (13 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Napoli is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Benfica
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Napoli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Benfica - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Napoli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Benfica - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Napoli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Napoli is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Napoli to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Napoli shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Napoli winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Napoli excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Napoli scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Benfica has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Benfica handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.228
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Benfica):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Napoli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Benfica vs Napoli Head-to-head statistics for Wed 10 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 UEFA Champions League
Benfica vs Napoli: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Benfica and away matches for Napoli
Number of goals
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Benfica
Napoli
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Benfica
Napoli
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Benfica
Napoli
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Benfica
Napoli
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Benfica
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Napoli
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Benfica
Napoli
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Benfica
Napoli
xG
1.45
1.34
xGa
0.98
1.19
Number of goals
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Benfica
Napoli
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Benfica
Napoli
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Benfica
Napoli
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Benfica
Napoli
0-1
80%
8
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Napoli
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Benfica
Napoli
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Benfica
Napoli
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Benfica
Napoli
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Benfica
Napoli
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Napoli
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Napoli AH+1
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.93%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 49.42% | Low | 2.23 |
| Under 1.5 | 50.58% | Medium | 1.67 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 36.25% | Low | 2.73 |
| Under 1.5 | 63.75% | Medium | 1.47 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 23.23% | Low | 5.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 76.77% | High | 1.18 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 13.60% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 86.40% | High | 1.11 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Benfica
Napoli
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 5 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.9 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 6 | 2.4 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 2 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 24 | 5.2 | 26 | 5.6 | 50 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 38 | 12.2 | 61 | 11 | 99 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 7 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.4 | 13 |
| Shots | 17.3 | 69 | 10 | 50 | 13.2 | 119 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 16 | 3.6 | 18 | 3.8 | 34 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1.8 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 7 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.7 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 5.4 | 27 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 43 | 6.5 | 13 | 11.2 | 56 |
| Offsides | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 44 | 5.5 | 11 | 11 | 55 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 11 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.8 | 14 |
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