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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
Benfica
Benfica
3rd place
Form
VS
18:00
25 Jan 2026
Estrela
Estrela
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Benfica or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Benfica vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 25 January, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)-
Benfica to Win
Probability 84%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 65%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 56%
Benfica Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 76%
Estrela Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 97%
Double Chance-
Benfica/Draw
Probability 96%
Asian Handicap-
Benfica +2.5
Probability 100%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18:00
Benfica W 84%
:
Estrela W 4%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Benfica
w w w d w
14 Played
8 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (26 total)
xG
1.60 (22.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.9 (222 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (34% acc)
Corners
5.9 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.1 (156 total)
Offsides
2.1 (30 total)
13 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (21 total)
xG
1.10 (14.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (167 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (35% acc)
Corners
4.7 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (62%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12 (156 total)
Offsides
1 (13 total)
27 Played
16 Wins
7 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (47 total)
xG
1.30 (36.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (389 total)
Shots on Target
5 (34% acc)
Corners
5.3 (144 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (52%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.6 (312 total)
Offsides
1.6 (43 total)
Estrela
w l d w d
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13 total)
xG
1.60 (14.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (127 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (28% acc)
Corners
4.3 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.1 (118 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
8 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (6.5 total)
Shots per Match
8 (64 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (42% acc)
Corners
2.4 (19 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
14.3 (114 total)
Offsides
1.6 (13 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (23 total)
xG
1.20 (21.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (191 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (32% acc)
Corners
3.4 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.6 (232 total)
Offsides
1.6 (28 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.76 vs 0.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.34%
0:1
1.91%
0:2
0.42%
0:3
0.06%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
11.16%
1:1
5.74%
1:2
1.45%
1:3
0.24%
1:4
0.03%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
14.34%
🔥
2:1
8.43%
2:2
2.4%
2:3
0.44%
2:4
0.06%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
12.29%
3:1
8.13%
3:2
2.59%
3:3
0.53%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
7.9%
4:1
5.81%
4:2
2.05%
4:3
0.46%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
4.06%
5:1
3.29%
5:2
1.27%
5:3
0.32%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 2:0 (14.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.3%
0
13.1%
1
20.5%
2
22.2%
3
18.7%
4
12.9%
5
5.9%
6
1.8%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BenficaHDPEstrela
38.6%
Low
-2.5
0.1%
Very Low
50.3%
Medium
-2
0.4%
Very Low
61.9%
High
-1.5
0.8%
Very Low
72.6%
High
-1
2.6%
Very Low
83.2%
Very High
-0.5
4.4%
Very Low
95.5%
Very High
+0.5
16.7%
Very Low
97.4%
Very High
+1
27.4%
Low
99.2%
Very High
+1.5
38.0%
Low
99.5%
Very High
+2
49.7%
Medium
99.9%
Very High
+2.5
61.4%
High

Team Total Predictions

BenficaOutcomeEstrela
93.7%
Very High
Over 0.5
46.7%
Medium
6.3%
Very Low
Under 0.5
53.3%
Medium
76.2%
High
Over 1.5
13.2%
Very Low
23.8%
Low
Under 1.5
86.8%
Very High
52.1%
Medium
Over 2.5
2.6%
Very Low
47.9%
Medium
Under 2.5
97.4%
Very High
29.9%
Low
Over 3.5
0.4%
Very Low
70.1%
High
Under 3.5
99.6%
Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Benfica will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-25 at 2026-01-25 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Benfica, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Benfica or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-25 Time: 18:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Benfica vs Estrela Sunday, Jan 25th, 2026 at 12:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Benfica vs Estrela Football 25 Jan, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Benfica have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Benfica vs Estrela

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estrela is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Benfica

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.04

✈️ Estrela

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Benfica - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Estrela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Benfica - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Estrela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Estrela often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Estrela scoring first
  • Overall Result: Benfica has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Benfica handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.418
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.073
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Benfica):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Benfica
Estrela

Benfica vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sun 25 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Sporting CP
d w w w d
>
17
13
3
1
47
9
38
42
3
Benfica
d w w d w
>
17
11
6
0
36
11
25
39
4
GIL Vicente
d d d d d
>
17
7
7
3
22
12
10
28

11
Rio Ave
w l d l w
>
17
4
8
5
22
29
-7
20
12
Estrela
w l d w d
>
17
4
7
6
23
27
-4
19
13
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Benfica or draw
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Benfica
VS
Estrela
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (11)
0.6 (3)
xG
1.80
0.80
Shots
18 (90)
9.2 (46)
Shots on Target
7 (35)
2.2 (11)
Corners
7.6 (38)
3.2 (16)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 (3)
2.2 (11)
xGa
0.80
1.80
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (13)
2.6 (13)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
15.2 (76)
12.4 (62)
Offsides
2.4 (12)
1.2 (6)
16 Aug
- 19:30
Estrela
Benfica
1.27
xG
2.12
0
1
2 Feb
- 20:30
Estrela
Benfica
1.12
xG
1.84
2
3
24 Aug
- 19:30
Benfica
Estrela
1.45
xG
0.13
1
0
29 Jan
- 18:45
Estrela
Benfica
1
4
19 Aug
- 19:30
Benfica
Estrela
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Benfica
VS
Estrela
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.33 PPG 1.33
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
50% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.48 Avg xG 0.92
Benfica
W W W D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 18:00
SC Braga
2 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Benfica
1 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Moreirense
0 4
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Benfica
2 0
Napoli
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Benfica
1 1
Sporting CP
Estrela
W L D W D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Estrela
3 3
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Famalicao
2 3
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Estrela
0 0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 20:45
FC Porto
3 1
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Estrela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Sporting CP
4 0
Estrela

Benfica vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Benfica and away matches for Estrela

Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Benfica
Estrela
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2
Benfica
Estrela
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Benfica
Estrela
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Benfica
Estrela
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
40% 4
60% 6
Total Corners
Benfica
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Estrela
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Benfica
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Benfica
Estrela
xG
1.59
1.16
xGa
0.79
1.77
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Estrela
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Benfica
Estrela
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Benfica
Estrela
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Benfica
Estrela
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Estrela
Yes
70% 7
30% 3
No
30% 3
70% 7
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Estrela
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Benfica
Estrela
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Benfica
Estrela
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Benfica
Estrela
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Estrela
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
2.71 xG 0.61
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found