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3 Jan 2026-18:00
Benfica
Benfica
3rd place
- : -
3 Jan 2026 13:00
Estoril
Estoril
9th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Benfica vs Estoril: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 13:00

1×2 Prediction
Benfica
81%14%5%
BenficaDrawEstoril
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
69%31%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
54%46%
YesNo
Team Total - Benfica
Over 1.5
77%23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Team Total - Estoril
Under 2.5
95%5%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Benfica/Draw
95%5%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Benfica +2.5
100%0%
Home +2.5NOT Home +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
13:00
Benfica W 81%
:
Estoril W 5%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.83 vs 0.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.65%
0:1
2.01%
0:2
0.55%
0:3
0.1%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
9.27%
1:1
6.16%
1:2
1.99%
1:3
0.42%
1:4
0.06%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
11.78%
🔥
2:1
9.17%
2:2
3.42%
2:3
0.82%
2:4
0.14%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
9.98%
3:1
8.9%
3:2
3.78%
3:3
1.02%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
6.34%
4:1
6.38%
4:2
3.04%
4:3
0.92%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
3.22%
5:1
3.61%
5:2
1.92%
5:3
0.65%
5:4
0.16%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 2:0 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.7%
0
11.3%
1
18.5%
2
21.2%
3
19.1%
4
14.3%
5
7.8%
6
3.1%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Sporting CP
w w d w w
>
15
12
2
1
42
8
34
38
3
Benfica
d w d w w
>
15
10
5
0
31
8
23
35
4
GIL Vicente
d l d d d
>
15
7
5
3
19
9
10
26

8
Guimaraes
w w d w l
>
15
6
3
6
16
21
-5
21
9
Estoril
w l d l w
>
15
4
5
6
23
25
-2
17
10
Alverca
d w w l l
>
15
5
2
8
15
23
-8
17
2.59 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Last 6 Matches
Benfica
VS
Estoril
5/6 (83%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.33 PPG 1.67
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
33% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.50 Avg xG 1.59
Benfica
W D W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Benfica
1 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Moreirense
0 4
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Benfica
2 0
Napoli
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Benfica
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Ajax
0 2
Benfica
Estoril
W L D L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
1 0
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Famalicao
4 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Estoril
3 3
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 20:30
FC Porto
1 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
4 3
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 4
Estoril
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Benfica will take on Estoril as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Benfica, and the visiting side, Estoril. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Benfica or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-03 Time: 18:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Benfica vs Estoril Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 13:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Benfica vs Estoril Football 3 Jan, 2026 13:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Benfica have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Benfica vs Estoril

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estoril is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Estoril is stronger in the second half (13 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Benfica

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.04

✈️ Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Benfica - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Benfica - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Estoril scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Estoril shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Estoril winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Benfica has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Benfica handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.21
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.099
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Benfica):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Benfica
Estoril

Benfica vs Estoril Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 13:00 Primeira Liga

Benfica vs Estoril: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Benfica and away matches for Estoril

Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Estoril
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Benfica
Estoril
1
70% 7
30% 3
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Benfica
Estoril
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
30% 3
70% 7
Total Goals
Benfica
Estoril
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
30% 3
50% 5
Total Corners
Benfica
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Estoril
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Benfica
Estoril
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Benfica
Estoril
xG
1.72
1.3
xGa
0.61
1.59
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Estoril
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Benfica
Estoril
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
0% 0
60% 6
Double Chance
Benfica
Estoril
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
100% 10
40% 4
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Benfica
Estoril
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Estoril
Yes
90% 9
20% 2
No
10% 1
80% 8
Number of goals
Benfica
Under
Over
Estoril
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Benfica
Estoril
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Benfica
Estoril
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Benfica
Estoril
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
Benfica
Estoril
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Benfica
Estoril
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Benfica or draw
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
35.9%
Low
N/A
0.2%
Low
N/A
-2
47.3%
Low
N/A
0.7%
Low
N/A
-1.5
58.8%
Medium
N/A
1.3%
Low
N/A
-1
69.6%
Medium
N/A
3.6%
Low
N/A
-0.5
80.5%
High
N/A
6.0%
Low
N/A
+0.5
94.0%
High
N/A
19.5%
Low
N/A
+1
96.4%
High
N/A
30.4%
Low
N/A
+1.5
98.7%
High
N/A
41.2%
Low
N/A
+2
99.2%
High
N/A
52.6%
Medium
N/A
+2.5
99.8%
High
N/A
64.1%
Medium
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.82%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.577.40%HighN/A
Under 1.522.60%LowN/A
AwayOver 1.520.57%LowN/A
Under 1.579.43%HighN/A
HomeOver 2.553.77%MediumN/A
Under 2.546.23%LowN/A
AwayOver 2.55.33%LowN/A
Under 2.594.67%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
3 May
- 19:30
Estoril
Benfica
1.20
xG
1.61
1
2
23 Dec
- 18:45
Benfica
Estoril
2.48
xG
0.45
3
0
10 Mar
- 20:30
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
7 Oct
- 19:30
Estoril
Benfica
0
1
23 Apr
- 17:00
Benfica
Estoril
1
0
6 Nov
- 20:30
Estoril
Benfica
1
5
club logo
Benfica
Estoril
Played: 6
Wins
6
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
15
2.5
Goals
0.5
3
3
0.5
Goals Conceded
2.5
15
7
1.2
Yellow Cards
1.3
8
0
Red Cards
0
3
0.5
Clean Sheets
0
43
7.2
Corners
2.3
14
73
12.2
Fouls
13.3
80
14
2.3
Offsides
0.7
4
101
16.8
Shots
9.7
58
33
5.5
Shots on Goal
2.8
17
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 4 6 10
Draws 4 1 5
Losses 0 0 0
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 16 2.1 15 2.1 31
Goals Conceded 0.8 6 0.3 2 0.5 8
Yellow Cards 2.1 17 2.4 17 2.3 34
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.7 5 0.5 8
Corners 6.3 50 4.3 30 5.3 80
Fouls 11.9 95 12.6 88 12.2 183
Offsides 2.1 17 0.9 6 1.5 23
Shots 15 120 14.7 103 14.9 223
Shots on Goal 6.5 52 4.9 34 5.7 86
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 3 1 4
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 2 4 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.6 13 1.4 10 1.5 23
Goals Conceded 1.4 11 2 14 1.7 25
Yellow Cards 3.5 28 2.3 16 2.9 44
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Corners 4.8 38 4.4 31 4.6 69
Fouls 12.4 99 13.1 92 12.7 191
Offsides 1.3 10 1.6 11 1.4 21
Shots 11.9 95 12.4 87 12.1 182
Shots on Goal 4.3 34 3.9 27 4.1 61
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