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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 | First qualifying round
9 Dec 2025-17:45
Bayern München
Bayern München
3rd place
- : -
9 Dec 2025 17:45
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
8th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Bayern München vs Sporting CP: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 9 December, 2025 17:45

1×2 Prediction
Bayern München
63%22%15%
Bayern MünchenDrawSporting CP
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
56%44%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%48%
YesNo
Team Total - Bayern München
Under 2.5
67%33%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Sporting CP
Under 1.5
77%23%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Bayern München/Draw
85%15%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Sporting CP +1.5
68%32%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1.5
Odds: 2.22
67.8%
EV: +50.6%
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Premium Tip 💎 PREMIUM

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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +2.5
Odds: 1.52
85.7%
EV: +30.3%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.80 vs 0.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.28%
0:1
6.05%
0:2
2.51%
0:3
0.7%
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
12.31%
🔥
1:1
11.02%
1:2
4.91%
1:3
1.45%
1:4
0.32%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
10.41%
2:1
9.99%
2:2
4.75%
2:3
1.49%
2:4
0.35%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
5.87%
3:1
6.01%
3:2
3.04%
3:3
1.02%
3:4
0.25%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
2.48%
4:1
2.7%
4:2
1.45%
4:3
0.51%
4:4
0.13%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.84%
5:1
0.97%
5:2
0.55%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (12.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.3%
0
18.4%
1
23.9%
2
21.5%
3
14.8%
4
8.4%
5
3.8%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Bayern München
vs
Sporting CP
Dec 9, 17:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
Bayern München
VS
Sporting CP
4/6 (67%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
2.40 PPG 2.00
2.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
83% BTTS % 33%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.53 Avg xG 1.95
Bayern München
W D W L W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Bayern München
3 1
FC St. Pauli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Arsenal
3 1
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Bayern München
6 2
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Union Berlin
2 2
Bayern München
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 2
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Bayern München
3 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Sporting CP
W D W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Sporting CP
4 0
Estrela
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Sporting CP
3 0
Club Brugge KV
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Sporting CP
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Juventus
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Oct 2025 - 20:15
Sporting CP
2 0
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
0 3
Sporting CP
59% Draw 17%
56% Over 2.5 44%
52% Both Teams Score 48%
2.09 xPTS 0.91
1.80 xG [Total: 2.74] 0.94
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 2
7 Corners [Total: 11] 4
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
10 Fouls [Total: 20] 11
9 Shots on Goal [Total: 13] 4
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Bayern München will take on Sporting CP as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-09 at 2025-12-09 in the famous Allianz Arena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bayern München, and the visiting side, Sporting CP. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Bayern München or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-09 Time: 17:45 Location: Allianz Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bayern München vs Sporting CP Tuesday, Dec 9th, 2025 at 17:45 Football

Value Bets

6 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Best Tip High Value
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1.5
Odds: 2.22
67.8%
EV: +50.6% Kelly: $20.74
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High Value
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +2
Odds: 1.75
76.8%
EV: +34.4% Kelly: $22.92
Bet Now
High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 11.00
12.2%
EV: +34.0% Kelly: $1.70
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Safe Tip High Value
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +2.5
Odds: 1.52
85.7%
EV: +30.3% Kelly: $29.14
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Bayern München NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.60
68.1%
EV: +9.0% Kelly: $7.52
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:46:15
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Trends for Bayern München vs Sporting CP Football 9 Dec, 2025 17:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    xG Defensive Battle

    Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities

  • Second Half Surge

    Bayern München score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+6 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Bayern München vs Sporting CP

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Bayern München is stronger in the first half (16 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Bayern München is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Bayern München

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.21

✈️ Sporting CP

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Bayern München - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

✈️ Sporting CP - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Bayern München - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
14
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Sporting CP - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Bayern München is stronger in the first half (16 vs 10)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bayern München to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bayern München shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 12 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Bayern München winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bayern München excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bayern München scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.028 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bayern München):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sporting CP):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Bayern München
Sporting CP

Bayern München vs Sporting CP Head-to-head statistics for Tue 9 Dec, 2025 @ 17:45 UEFA Champions League

Bayern München vs Sporting CP: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bayern München and away matches for Sporting CP

Number of goals

Number of goals
Bayern München
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
10% 1
90% 9
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Bayern München
Sporting CP
1
80% 8
70% 7
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
10% 1
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Bayern München
Sporting CP
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
20% 2
30% 3

Total Goals

Total Goals
Bayern München
Sporting CP
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
80% 8
4+
50% 5
10% 1

Total Corners

Total Corners
Bayern München
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Bayern München
Sporting CP
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Bayern München
Sporting CP
xG
2
1.64
xGa
0.99
0.62

Number of goals

Number of goals
Bayern München
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Bayern München
Sporting CP
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
0% 0
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Bayern München
Sporting CP
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
100% 10
80% 8
X2
50% 5
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Bayern München
Sporting CP
0-1
20% 2
60% 6
2-3
70% 7
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Bayern München
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Bayern München
Sporting CP
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Bayern München
Sporting CP
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Bayern München
Sporting CP
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
Team comparison
Prediction
Sporting CP AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
14.3%
Low
2.65
1.3%
Low
N/A
-2
23.2%
Low
2.16
3.5%
Low
N/A
-1.5
32.2%
Low
1.77
5.6%
Low
N/A
-1
45.0%
Low
1.42
11.9%
Low
N/A
-0.5
57.8%
Medium
1.24
18.2%
Low
7.50
+0.5
81.7%
High
1.06
42.2%
Low
4.00
+1
88.0%
High
N/A
55.0%
Medium
3.30
+1.5
94.3%
High
N/A
67.8%
Medium
2.22
+2
96.5%
High
N/A
76.8%
High
1.75
+2.5
98.7%
High
N/A
85.7%
High
1.52
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.89%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.553.72%Medium1.26
Under 1.546.28%Low3.75
AwayOver 1.524.22%Low4.50
Under 1.575.78%High1.23
HomeOver 2.526.94%Low1.86
Under 2.573.06%High1.97
AwayOver 2.56.96%Low15.00
Under 2.593.04%High1.04
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Bayern München
Sporting CP
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 2 3 5
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 0 0 0
Losses 0 1 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 3.5 7 2.7 8 3 15
Goals Conceded 0.5 1 1.7 5 1.2 6
Yellow Cards 2 4 2 6 2 10
Red Cards 0 0.3 1 0.2 1
Clean Sheets 0.5 1 0 0.2 1
Corners 7.5 15 2.7 8 4.6 23
Fouls 12.5 25 10 30 11 55
Offsides 2.5 5 1 3 1.6 8
Shots 21 42 13 39 16.2 81
Shots on Goal 9 18 7 21 7.8 39
Home Away All
Played 3 2 5
Wins 3 0 3
Draws 0 1 1
Losses 0 1 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 3 9 1 2 2.2 11
Goals Conceded 0.7 2 1.5 3 1 5
Yellow Cards 2.3 7 1.5 3 2 10
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 1 0 0.2 1
Corners 4.7 14 0.5 1 3 15
Fouls 11 33 11.5 23 11.2 56
Offsides 1 3 0.5 1 0.8 4
Shots 17.7 53 5.5 11 12.8 64
Shots on Goal 7.7 23 2 4 5.4 27
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