Bayern München vs SC Freiburg Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 22 November, 2025 14:30

📋 Preview: Bayern München vs SC Freiburg | Bundesliga 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📖 Introduction

As the Bundesliga season reaches Matchweek 11, league leaders Bayern München (1st, 28 points) host SC Freiburg (10th, 13 points) in a match that promises to be a classic. With Bayern riding high on a solid run of form, Freiburg will need to step up significantly to secure a result against one of Europe’s top teams.

🏠 Bayern München Analysis

Bayern München is in formidable form, having secured four wins and a draw in their last five league outings (DWWWW). At home, they have been particularly dominant, winning all five matches without conceding a single goal, showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Their expected goals (xG) figures are impressive, averaging around 2.23 at home, while they allow just 0.74 xGA, indicating a robust defense. Following a 2-2 draw against Union Berlin in their last match, they will look to bounce back and maintain their spot at the top before facing Arsenal in the Champions League.

✈️ SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg's recent form has been less than inspiring, with only one win in their last five matches (WDLDD). Their away record reflects similar struggles, managing just one victory in five attempts and averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. Their xG of 1.49 suggests that while they create chances, they often fall short of converting them into goals. After a 2-1 win against FC St. Pauli at home, Freiburg will seek to carry that momentum into a challenging fixture away at Bayern, but they must improve their attacking output to stand a chance.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The historical matchup heavily favors Bayern München, who have won seven of the last eight encounters against Freiburg, with one draw and no victories for Freiburg. The average of 3.25 goals in these meetings indicates that matches tend to be high-scoring, which bodes well for Bayern given their current form.

🔑 Key Factors

A critical factor in this matchup will be the attacking prowess of Bayern, led by H. Kane, who has been a core contributor with nine goals this season. His ability to convert chances will be pivotal against Freiburg's defense, which has shown vulnerability away from home. Additionally, Bayern's solid xG numbers highlight their attacking efficiency, suggesting they will create multiple goal-scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Freiburg's reliance on creating chances will be tested against a Bayern side that has been defensively sound, as indicated by their xGA.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 80.5% – it is expected that Bayern München will win decisively, with a predicted scoreline of Bayern München 3 – 0 SC Freiburg. The statistics point to Bayern's overwhelming home advantage and their ability to dominate matches, making it difficult for Freiburg to cope.

💡 Betting Tips

For this match, consider betting on Asian Handicap @ 1.6 (64.7%). This aligns well with the expected dominance of Bayern, who are heavily favored to win by a significant margin. Additionally, Goals Over/Under @ 2.5 is worth a look, leaning towards the over given Bayern's attacking output and Freiburg's struggles defensively. Bet responsibly.

📋 Preview: Bayern München vs SC Freiburg | Bundesliga 2025-2026, Matchweek 11

📖 Introduction

As the Bundesliga season reaches Matchweek 11, league leaders Bayern München (1st, 28 points) host SC Freiburg (10th, 13 points) in a match that promises to be a classic. With Bayern riding high on a solid run of form, Freiburg will need to step up significantly to secure a result against one of Europe’s top teams.

🏠 Bayern München Analysis

Bayern München is in formidable form, having secured four wins and a draw in their last five league outings (DWWWW). At home, they have been particularly dominant, winning all five matches without conceding a single goal, showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Their expected goals (xG) figures are impressive, averaging around 2.23 at home, while they allow just 0.74 xGA, indicating a robust defense. Following a 2-2 draw against Union Berlin in their last match, they will look to bounce back and maintain their spot at the top before facing Arsenal in the Champions League.

✈️ SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg's recent form has been less than inspiring, with only one win in their last five matches (WDLDD). Their away record reflects similar struggles, managing just one victory in five attempts and averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. Their xG of 1.49 suggests that while they create chances, they often fall short of converting them into goals. After a 2-1 win against FC St. Pauli at home, Freiburg will seek to carry that momentum into a challenging fixture away at Bayern, but they must improve their attacking output to stand a chance.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The historical matchup heavily favors Bayern München, who have won seven of the last eight encounters against Freiburg, with one draw and no victories for Freiburg. The average of 3.25 goals in these meetings indicates that matches tend to be high-scoring, which bodes well for Bayern given their current form.

🔑 Key Factors

A critical factor in this matchup will be the attacking prowess of Bayern, led by H. Kane, who has been a core contributor with nine goals this season. His ability to convert chances will be pivotal against Freiburg's defense, which has shown vulnerability away from home. Additionally, Bayern's solid xG numbers highlight their attacking efficiency, suggesting they will create multiple goal-scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Freiburg's reliance on creating chances will be tested against a Bayern side that has been defensively sound, as indicated by their xGA.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 80.5% – it is expected that Bayern München will win decisively, with a predicted scoreline of Bayern München 3 – 0 SC Freiburg. The statistics point to Bayern's overwhelming home advantage and their ability to dominate matches, making it difficult for Freiburg to cope.

💡 Betting Tips

For this match, consider betting on Asian Handicap @ 1.6 (64.7%). This aligns well with the expected dominance of Bayern, who are heavily favored to win by a significant margin. Additionally, Goals Over/Under @ 2.5 is worth a look, leaning towards the over given Bayern's attacking output and Freiburg's struggles defensively. Bet responsibly.