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Bayern München
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1
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 10:30
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 4.97 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.56%
0:1
0.39%
0:2
0.13%
0:3
0.03%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
2.69%
1:1
1.95%
1:2
0.7%
1:3
0.17%
1:4
0.03%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
6.51%
2:1
4.89%
2:2
1.83%
2:3
0.46%
2:4
0.09%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
10.51%
3:1
8.18%
3:2
3.17%
3:3
0.82%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
12.72%
🔥
⭐
4:1
10.25%
⭐
4:2
4.11%
⭐
4:3
1.09%
⭐
4:4
0.22%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
12.31%
⭐
5:1
10.26%
⭐
5:2
4.25%
⭐
5:3
1.17%
⭐
5:4
0.24%
⭐
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
4:0 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries:
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
11
1
0
44
9
35
34
2
8
2
2
22
13
9
26
17
▼
2
1
9
10
24
-14
7
18
▼
1
3
8
11
23
-12
6
Last 6 Matches
Bayern München
VS
FSV Mainz 05
4/6 (67%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.67
PPG
0.33
2.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.53
Avg xG
1.01
4.97
xG [Total: 5.80]
0.83
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 11]
6
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
10
Fouls [Total: 22]
13
8
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
3
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Bayern München will take on FSV Mainz 05 as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Allianz Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bayern München, and the visiting side, FSV Mainz 05. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-14
Time: 16:30
Location: Allianz Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 10:30 Football
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Trends for Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 Football 14 Dec, 2025 10:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
League Position Mismatch
Bayern München in top 3 vs FSV Mainz 05 in relegation zone — significant quality gap
-
Defensive Fortress
Bayern München have league's best defense — hard to break down
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Bayern München @ 1.16 ✅ 
Bayern München
- High xG PerformanceH2H8/8100%Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- High ScoringH2H8/8100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- Good Goal RatioH2H7/888%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- Top Table FormLeague75%Bayern München are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (4.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.21)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayern München score 4.14 goals/match at home (+158% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bayern München concede only 0.57 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent17/17100%Bayern München efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 17 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Bayern München create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
- High ScoringRecent30/30100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 30 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent28/3093%Bayern München efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 28 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
FSV Mainz 05
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
Bayern München dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.92 ⚠️ 
Bayern München(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/757%Bayern München score well (4.14/match) but have strong defense at home (0.57 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 57% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H7/888%Both teams scored in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.26 ✅ 
Bayern München(8 trends)
- High ScoringH2H8/8100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 8 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- Good Goal RatioH2H7/888%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (4.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.21)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayern München score 4.14 goals/match at home (+158% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent30/30100%Bayern München score 2+ goals per match in 30 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Bayern München have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H8/8100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 8 Bundesliga H2H matches
Both teams average 4.1 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — Bayern München Win or Draw @ 1.03 ✅ 
Bayern München
- Top Table FormLeague75%Bayern München are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Bayern München concede only 0.57 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent17/17100%Bayern München are undefeated at half time in their last 17 17 matches
FSV Mainz 05
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent23/3077%FSV Mainz 05 have not won in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
Bayern München confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.15 ✅
Bayern München
- Scored 1+H2H8/8100%Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- First Half SpecialistsH2H6/875%Bayern München score in first half in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Bayern München rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (4.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.21)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayern München score 4.14 goals/match at home (+158% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent17/17100%Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 17 17 matches
- Scored 2+Recent17/17100%Bayern München scored 2+ goals in their last 17 17 matches
- Scored 1+Recent24/3080%Bayern München scored 1+ goals in their last 24 30 matches
🏟️ Home strength — Bayern München scored 2+ goals in 17 recent home matches
Bayern München's attack remains potent — consistently scoring against quality opposition.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%FSV Mainz 05 average 2.8 cards/match in all matches (+36% above league avg 2.1) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Bundesliga (Away) matches
Bayern München disciplined play balances FSV Mainz 05 aggression — • H2H average: 3.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.95 ⚠️ 
Bayern München(2 trends) — avg 6.1 (+26% above league)
- Many CornersH2H6/875%Bayern München win 6+ corners in 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches vs FSV Mainz 05
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Bayern München average 6.1 corners/match at home (+26% above league avg 4.9)
Bayern München drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.95
+33 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Bayern München is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11).
🔄 Second Half: Bayern München is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Bayern München is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Bayern München is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Bayern München
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.21
✈️ FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Bayern München - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Bayern München - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
14
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9
✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Bayern München is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider Bayern München to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bayern München shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bayern München winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bayern München excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bayern München scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Bayern München has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Bayern München handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.114
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bayern München):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 10:30 Bundesliga
Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bayern München and away matches for FSV Mainz 05
Number of goals
Number of goals
Bayern München
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
10%
1
90%
9
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
40%
4
60%
6
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1
80%
8
20%
2
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
10%
1
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
90%
9
40%
4
X2
20%
2
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
0%
0
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
50%
5
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Bayern München
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
xG
2
1.24
xGa
0.99
1.66
Number of goals
Number of goals
Bayern München
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
0%
0
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
100%
10
50%
5
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
20%
2
60%
6
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Bayern München
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.79%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 95.86% | High | 1.15 |
| Under 1.5 | 4.14% | Low | 5.50 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 20.16% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 79.84% | High | 1.17 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 87.30% | High | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 12.70% | Low | 2.62 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 5.16% | Low | 19.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.84% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
Played:
8
Wins
5
5
Draws
0
0
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
25
3.1
Goals
1.6
13
13
1.6
Goals Conceded
3.1
25
15
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.9
15
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.1
Clean Sheets
0
48
6
Corners
3.8
30
79
9.9
Fouls
12.8
102
8
1
Offsides
1.5
12
124
15.5
Shots
12.5
100
47
5.9
Shots on Goal
3.9
31
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 4 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 4.1 | 29 | 3 | 15 | 3.7 | 44 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 12 | 2.8 | 14 | 2.2 | 26 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 43 | 4.8 | 24 | 5.6 | 67 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 72 | 9.4 | 47 | 9.9 | 119 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Shots | 19.7 | 138 | 15.8 | 79 | 18.1 | 217 |
| Shots on Goal | 7.9 | 55 | 6.6 | 33 | 7.3 | 88 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0.9 | 11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 10 | 2.2 | 13 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 12 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 4.7 | 28 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.7 | 56 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 75 | 12.2 | 73 | 12.3 | 148 |
| Offsides | 3.5 | 21 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 9.2 | 55 | 11 | 132 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 18 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.7 | 32 |