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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 | First qualifying round
10 Dec 2025-20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
17th place
- : -
10 Dec 2025 15:00
Newcastle
Newcastle
11th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 10 December, 2025 15:00

1×2 Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen
36%29%35%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawNewcastle
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
54%46%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
53%47%
YesNo
Team Total - Bayer Leverkusen
Under 1.5
64%36%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Newcastle
Under 1.5
64%36%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw
65%35%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Bayer Leverkusen +1
76%24%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Bayer Leverkusen or Draw
Odds: 1.57
65.3%
EV: +2.6%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.23 vs 1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.89%
0:1
10.75%
0:2
5.84%
0:3
2.12%
0:4
0.58%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
11.05%
1:1
13.12%
🔥
1:2
7.74%
1:3
3.02%
1:4
0.88%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
6.17%
2:1
7.95%
2:2
5.06%
2:3
2.13%
2:4
0.66%
2:5
0.16%
3
3:0
2.3%
3:1
3.19%
3:2
2.19%
3:3
0.98%
3:4
0.33%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.64%
4:1
0.96%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.34%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.23%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.9%
0
21.8%
1
25.1%
2
20.1%
3
12.5%
4
6.4%
5
2.8%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Bayer Leverkusen
vs
Newcastle
Dec 10, 20:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
Bayer Leverkusen
VS
Newcastle
4/6 (67%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.60 PPG 1.80
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
33% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.09 Avg xG 1.52
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W W L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 2
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Manchester City
0 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
1 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
6 0
1. FC Heidenheim
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Benfica
0 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Bayern München
3 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
L W L W D
Premier League 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Newcastle
2 2
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Everton
1 4
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Marseille
2 1
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Newcastle
2 1
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Brentford
3 1
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Newcastle
2 0
Athletic Club
37% Draw 34%
46% Over 2.5 54%
53% Both Teams Score 47%
1.52 xPTS 1.48
1.23 xG [Total: 2.43] 1.20
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
7 Corners [Total: 11] 4
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
11 Fouls [Total: 20] 8
6 Shots on Goal [Total: 10] 4
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Bayer Leverkusen will take on Newcastle as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-10 at 2025-12-10 in the famous BayArena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bayer Leverkusen, and the visiting side, Newcastle. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : Newcastle and +2.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-10 Time: 20:00 Location: BayArena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle Wednesday, Dec 10th, 2025 at 15:00 Football

Value Bets

3 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.57
65.3%
EV: +2.6% Kelly: $2.24
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:46:15
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Trends for Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle Football 10 Dec, 2025 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Bayer Leverkusen score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (16 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Newcastle is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Bayer Leverkusen

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Newcastle

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Bayer Leverkusen - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Newcastle - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Bayer Leverkusen - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
9
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
12
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Newcastle - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Bayer Leverkusen often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Bayer Leverkusen scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (16 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bayer Leverkusen to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Newcastle excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Newcastle scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bayer Leverkusen):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Newcastle):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle

Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Wed 10 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 UEFA Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bayer Leverkusen and away matches for Newcastle

Number of goals

Number of goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2

1X2

1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
1
70% 7
50% 5
X
0% 0
10% 1
2
30% 3
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
12
100% 10
90% 9
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
30% 3
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
40% 4
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
xG
1.63
1.54
xGa
1.33
1.21

Number of goals

Number of goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
1
60% 6
60% 6
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
30% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
40% 4
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
30% 3
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2

Number of goals

Number of goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
50% 5
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
0-1
70% 7
20% 2
2-3
20% 2
70% 7
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw
Under/Over: +2.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
4.6%
Low
12.50
4.2%
Low
10.50
-2
9.7%
Low
11.00
9.0%
Low
8.90
-1.5
14.7%
Low
5.50
13.8%
Low
4.65
-1
25.5%
Low
4.65
24.2%
Low
3.91
-0.5
36.2%
Low
2.76
34.7%
Low
2.47
+0.5
65.3%
Medium
1.57
63.8%
Medium
1.50
+1
75.8%
High
1.26
74.5%
High
1.20
+1.5
86.2%
High
1.18
85.3%
High
1.15
+2
91.0%
High
1.01
90.3%
High
1.04
+2.5
95.8%
High
1.04
95.4%
High
1.03
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.534.82%Low2.35
Under 1.565.18%Medium1.62
AwayOver 1.533.74%Low2.19
Under 1.566.26%Medium1.69
HomeOver 2.512.71%Low5.50
Under 2.587.29%High1.17
AwayOver 2.512.05%Low4.80
Under 2.587.95%High1.19
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 2 3 5
Wins 0 2 2
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 1 0 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.5 3 1.7 5 1.6 8
Goals Conceded 4 8 0.7 2 2 10
Yellow Cards 1 2 2.3 7 1.8 9
Red Cards 0.5 1 0 0.2 1
Clean Sheets 0 0.7 2 0.4 2
Corners 5 10 2.7 8 3.6 18
Fouls 8 16 9.7 29 9 45
Offsides 2.5 5 0.7 2 1.4 7
Shots 9 18 9.3 28 9.2 46
Shots on Goal 2.5 5 3 9 2.8 14
Home Away All
Played 3 2 5
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 0 0 0
Losses 1 1 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 6 2.5 5 2.2 11
Goals Conceded 0.7 2 1 2 0.8 4
Yellow Cards 1 3 2 4 1.4 7
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.7 2 0.5 1 0.6 3
Corners 6 18 5 10 5.6 28
Fouls 12.7 38 4 8 9.2 46
Offsides 2.7 8 0.5 1 1.8 9
Shots 10.3 31 16.5 33 12.8 64
Shots on Goal 5.3 16 7.5 15 6.2 31
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