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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
16th place
Form
VS
17:45
11 Mar 2026
Arsenal
Arsenal
1st place
Form
AI Prediction Arsenal to Win
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 11 March, 2026 12:45

Winner (1x2)1.60
Arsenal to Win
Probability 65%
Total Goals1.92
Over 2.5
Probability 66%
Both Teams to Score1.96
Yes
Probability 63%
Bayer Leverkusen Total1.22
Home Under 1.5
Probability 68%
Arsenal Total1.36
Away Under 2.5
Probability 57%
Double Chance1.16
Draw/Arsenal
Probability 84%
Asian Handicap1.23
Bayer Leverkusen +2
Probability 75%
Best Tip
Value
Match Winner Arsenal to Win
Odds 1.6
Win Prob. 65.4% EV: +4.6%
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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
17:45
Bayer Leverkusen
:
Arsenal W 65%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Bayer Leverkusen
l d d w d
17 Played
8 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (33 total)
xG
1.60 (27.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (233 total)
Shots on Target
5 (36% acc)
Corners
5.6 (95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
8 (136 total)
Offsides
1.5 (26 total)
18 Played
9 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (30 total)
xG
1.40 (25.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (205 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (33% acc)
Corners
4.1 (74 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.3 (167 total)
Offsides
0.9 (17 total)
35 Played
17 Wins
9 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (63 total)
xG
1.50 (53.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (438 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.8 (169 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
8.7 (303 total)
Offsides
1.2 (43 total)
Arsenal
d d w w w
18 Played
15 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (45 total)
xG
1.80 (33.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.6 (280 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (34% acc)
Corners
5.6 (100 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (188 total)
Offsides
1.8 (33 total)
21 Played
14 Wins
5 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (41 total)
xG
1.60 (34.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (276 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (40% acc)
Corners
5.6 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (48%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (219 total)
Offsides
1.3 (27 total)
39 Played
29 Wins
7 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (86 total)
xG
1.70 (67.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.3 (556 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (37% acc)
Corners
5.6 (218 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
19 (49%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (407 total)
Offsides
1.5 (60 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.14 vs 2.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.82%
0:1
8.93%
0:2
8.97%
0:3
6.21%
0:4
3.22%
0:5
1.34%
1
1:0
3.73%
1:1
8.23%
1:2
10.12%
🔥
1:3
7.91%
1:4
4.58%
1:5
2.1%
2
2:0
1.46%
2:1
4.08%
2:2
5.52%
2:3
4.84%
2:4
3.12%
2:5
1.57%
3
3:0
0.41%
3:1
1.28%
3:2
1.95%
3:3
1.91%
3:4
1.36%
3:5
0.75%
4
4:0
0.08%
4:1
0.3%
4:2
0.51%
4:3
0.55%
4:4
0.43%
4:5
0.26%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.06%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot: 1:2 (10.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.8%
0
12.7%
1
18.7%
2
20.8%
3
18.0%
4
13.0%
5
7.7%
6
3.6%
7
1.3%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Bayer LeverkusenHDPArsenal
1.4%
Very Low
-2.5
18.6%
@ 5.00Very Low
3.4%
Very Low
-2
28.1%
@ 4.87Low
5.5%
Very Low@ 13.50
-1.5
37.6%
@ 2.77Low
11.1%
Very Low@ 12.50
-1
49.8%
@ 2.06Medium
16.8%
Very Low@ 5.50
-0.5
62.0%
@ 1.57High
38.0%
Low@ 2.51
+0.5
83.2%
@ 1.15Very High
50.2%
Medium@ 1.90
+1
88.9%
@ 1.03Very High
62.4%
High@ 1.52
+1.5
94.5%
@ 1.02Very High
71.9%
High@ 1.23
+2
96.6%
Very High
81.4%
Very High@ 1.18
+2.5
98.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Bayer LeverkusenOutcomeArsenal
30.2%
Low@ 4.33
Over 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.70High
69.9%
High@ 1.22
Under 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.23Low
10.3%
Very Low@ 15.00
Over 2.5
36.0%
@ 3.25Low
89.7%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 2.5
64.0%
@ 1.36High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Bayer Leverkusen will take on Arsenal as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-11 at 2026-03-11 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Bayer Leverkusen, and the visiting side, Arsenal. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Arsenal. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-11 Time: 17:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Wednesday, Mar 11th, 2026 at 12:45 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Goals Over/under Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 66.1%
EV: +27.0%
Stake: $2.72
1.92
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 62.5%
EV: +22.5%
Stake: $2.60
1.96
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 62.5%
EV: +22.5%
Stake: $2.60
1.96
Premium Tip Arsenal NOT Win to Nil
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Win To Nil Away No
Value
Prob: 71.7%
EV: +6.9%
Stake: $5.10
1.49
Match Winner Arsenal
Value
Prob: 65.4%
EV: +4.6%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-09 08:31:29
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Trends for Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Football 11 Mar, 2026 12:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Late Goals Expected

    Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Bayer Leverkusen 80%, Arsenal 100%) — expect late drama

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Arsenal keep clean sheets in 75% of away games — hard to break down

+7 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 5).
⏰ First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Bayer Leverkusen

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Arsenal

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Bayer Leverkusen - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Arsenal - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Bayer Leverkusen - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Arsenal - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Bayer Leverkusen often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 5)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Bayer Leverkusen scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bayer Leverkusen to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.165
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.098

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Bayer Leverkusen):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arsenal):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Head-to-head statistics for Wed 11 Mar, 2026 @ 12:45 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Arsenal to Win
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -4.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Bayer Leverkusen
VS
Arsenal
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.83 PPG 3.00
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
33% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.24 Avg xG 1.08
Bayer Leverkusen
L D D W D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
3 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Hamburger SV
0 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 1
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
24 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
0 0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Union Berlin
1 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
18 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
D D W W W
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Brighton
0 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 16:30
Arsenal
2 1
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Tottenham
1 4
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
18 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Wolves
2 2
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
12 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Brentford
1 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Arsenal
3 0
Sunderland

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Bayer Leverkusen and away matches for Arsenal

Number of goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
50% 5
70% 7
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
50% 5
30% 3
Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
0-1
30% 3
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
60% 6
Total Corners
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
40% 4
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
xG
1.2
1.57
xGa
0.78
0.7
Number of goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
10% 1
0% 0
Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
90% 9
100% 10
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
Arsenal
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
60% 6
20% 2
2
0% 0
30% 3
Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
12
40% 4
80% 8
1X
100% 10
70% 7
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Missing Players
Bayer Leverkusen
13
d
- Injured - Injury
5
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
23
f
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Inactive
14
f
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
Arsenal
- Injured - Leg Injury
4
d
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
2
d
- Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
0.70 xG 2.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
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