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PSV Eindhoven
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AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 12 March, 2026 12:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
18
Played
10
Wins
6
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(39 total)
xG
1.60
(29.1 total)
Shots per Match
16.1
(290 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(39% acc)
Corners
6.1
(109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.9
(179 total)
Offsides
1.6
(28 total)
20
Played
9
Wins
1
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(25 total)
xG
1.40
(27.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(269 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(38% acc)
Corners
4.6
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.3
(226 total)
Offsides
0.9
(17 total)
38
Played
19
Wins
7
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(64 total)
xG
1.50
(56.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.7
(559 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(38% acc)
Corners
5.3
(200 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.7
(405 total)
Offsides
1.2
(45 total)
5
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(13 total)
xG
0.90
(4.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(41 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(46% acc)
Corners
3.6
(18 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4
per match
xGa
0.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(60%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
6.8
(34 total)
Offsides
1.2
(6 total)
5
Played
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(5 total)
xG
0.60
(2.9 total)
Shots per Match
7.8
(39 total)
Shots on Target
1.6
(21% acc)
Corners
4.2
(21 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.50
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
7.2
(36 total)
Offsides
1.4
(7 total)
10
Played
7
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(18 total)
xG
0.70
(7.4 total)
Shots per Match
8
(80 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(34% acc)
Corners
3.9
(39 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
7
(70 total)
Offsides
1.3
(13 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.45 vs 1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.92%
0:1
3.56%
0:2
1.69%
0:3
0.58%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
7.06%
1:1
7.85%
1:2
4.72%
1:3
1.81%
1:4
0.51%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
7.09%
2:1
9.68%
🔥
2:2
6.39%
2:3
2.74%
⭐
2:4
0.86%
⭐
2:5
0.21%
⭐
3
3:0
4.94%
⭐
3:1
7.59%
⭐
3:2
5.61%
⭐
3:3
2.68%
⭐
3:4
0.93%
⭐
3:5
0.25%
⭐
4
4:0
2.58%
⭐
4:1
4.41%
⭐
4:2
3.62%
⭐
4:3
1.9%
⭐
4:4
0.73%
⭐
4:5
0.21%
⭐
5
5:0
1.08%
⭐
5:1
2.03%
⭐
5:2
1.83%
⭐
5:3
1.06%
⭐
5:4
0.44%
⭐
5:5
0.14%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on Sparta Praha as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-12 at 2026-03-12 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, Sparta Praha. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-12
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha Thursday, Mar 12th, 2026 at 12:45 Football
AI Value Bets
2 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha Football 12 Mar, 2026 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha.
🏆 Match Winner — AZ Alkmaar @ 2.18 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar
Above League AverageLeague
AZ Alkmaar score 2.33 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
AZ Alkmaar concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — AZ Alkmaar to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.18 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
AZ Alkmaar score well (2.33/match) but have strong defense at home (0.17 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 83% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSparta Praha1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Sparta Praha score well (1.00/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.80 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 60% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 560%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.01 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
AZ Alkmaar score 2.33 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — AZ Alkmaar Win or Draw @ 1.36 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar
League Best DefenseLeague
AZ Alkmaar concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 1275%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AZ Alkmaar demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.10 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar
Above League AverageLeague
AZ Alkmaar score 2.33 goals/match at home (+70% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 1275%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡AZ Alkmaar's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 Trends — avg 2.2 (-8% below league)Many CardsRecent
AZ Alkmaar receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Sparta Praha disciplined play balances AZ Alkmaar aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsAZ Alkmaar1 Trends — avg 7.3 (+64% above league)Many CornersLeague
AZ Alkmaar average 7.3 corners/match at home (+64% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 685%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSparta Praha2 Trends — avg 7.0 (+56% above league)Many CornersLeague
Sparta Praha average 7.0 corners/match in away matches (+56% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 585%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CornersRecent
Sparta Praha win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 14.3 corners/match (AZ Alkmaar 7.3 + Sparta Praha 7.0) • AZ Alkmaar dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Sparta Praha
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Sparta Praha - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Sparta Praha - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (16 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half
- Overall Result: Sparta Praha has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Sparta Praha handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.257
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sparta Praha):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha Head-to-head statistics for Thu 12 Mar, 2026 @ 12:45 UEFA Conference League
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Sparta Praha
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.20
Avg xG
1.23
AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Praha: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for Sparta Praha
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Sparta Praha
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Sparta Praha
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
67%
4
33%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
83%
5
17%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
83%
5
17%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
6
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
xG
1.33
1.23
xGa
1.09
0.49
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Sparta Praha
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
30%
3
0%
0
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
70%
7
100%
10
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Sparta Praha
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
2.05
xG
1.11
62%
Ball Possession
39%
12
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
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