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AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 31 January, 2026 9:30
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14
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(30 total)
xG
1.70
(23.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.2
(241 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(39% acc)
Corners
6.8
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.1
(128 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
1
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.40
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(222 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(36% acc)
Corners
4.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.8
(189 total)
Offsides
1
(16 total)
30
Played
16
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(52 total)
xG
1.50
(46.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(463 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(38% acc)
Corners
5.6
(167 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.6
(317 total)
Offsides
1.2
(35 total)
9
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.8
(25 total)
xG
2.00
(18.0 total)
Shots per Match
15
(135 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(41% acc)
Corners
5.9
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(87 total)
Offsides
1.9
(17 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(16.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.7
(157 total)
Shots on Target
7.1
(45% acc)
Corners
5.1
(51 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.2
(132 total)
Offsides
2.3
(23 total)
19
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(49 total)
xG
1.80
(34.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(292 total)
Shots on Target
6.6
(43% acc)
Corners
5.5
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(219 total)
Offsides
2.1
(40 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.78 vs 2.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.68%
0:1
1.57%
0:2
1.82%
0:3
1.4%
0:4
0.81%
⭐
0:5
0.38%
⭐
1
1:0
1.81%
1:1
4.27%
1:2
5.03%
1:3
3.95%
⭐
1:4
2.32%
⭐
1:5
1.09%
⭐
2
2:0
2.43%
2:1
5.81%
2:2
6.95%
🔥
2:3
5.54%
⭐
2:4
3.31%
⭐
2:5
1.58%
⭐
3
3:0
2.17%
3:1
5.27%
3:2
6.4%
⭐
3:3
5.18%
⭐
3:4
3.15%
⭐
3:5
1.53%
⭐
4
4:0
1.45%
4:1
3.58%
4:2
4.42%
⭐
4:3
3.63%
⭐
4:4
2.24%
⭐
4:5
1.1%
⭐
5
5:0
0.78%
5:1
1.95%
⭐
5:2
2.44%
⭐
5:3
2.04%
⭐
5:4
1.27%
⭐
5:5
0.64%
⭐
Hotspot:
2:2 (7.0%)
Total Boundaries:
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-31 at 2026-01-31 in the famous AFAS Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or NEC Nijmegen and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-31
Time: 15:30
Location: AFAS Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Saturday, Jan 31st, 2026 at 9:30 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Football 31 Jan, 2026 9:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — NEC Nijmegen @ 4.33 ✅ 
NEC Nijmegen
- High xG PerformanceH2H4/4100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1788%NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
AZ Alkmaar
- Not WinH2H3/475%AZ Alkmaar have not won in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.47 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/7100%AZ Alkmaar score (2.57/match) and concede (2.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/989%NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/475%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.47 ✅
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
NEC Nijmegen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
Both teams average 4.8 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — NEC Nijmegen Win or Draw @ 2.10 ⚠️
AZ Alkmaar
- Not WinH2H3/475%AZ Alkmaar have not won in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent4/4100%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
NEC Nijmegen(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends) — avg 2.1 (+28% above league)
- Many CardsH2H3/475%AZ Alkmaar receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%AZ Alkmaar average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+39% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+28% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 6.7 (+31% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%AZ Alkmaar average 6.7 corners/match at home (+31% above league avg 5.1)
AZ Alkmaar drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75
+14 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (21 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.14
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
21
Avg. Goals per Match
1.05
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
15
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
12
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (21 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.216
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.033
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 31 Jan, 2026 @ 9:30 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AZ Alkmaar
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Last 4 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (6)
1.8 (7)
xG
0.80
1.00
Shots
14.5 (58)
10.3 (41)
Shots on Target
4.3 (17)
2.8 (11)
Corners
7 (28)
4.3 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 (7)
1.5 (6)
xGa
1.00
0.80
Clean Sheets
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (10)
1.8 (7)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
9.8 (39)
9.5 (38)
Offsides
1 (4)
1.5 (6)
Last 6 Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
NEC Nijmegen
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.33
PPG
2.33
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.79
Avg xG
1.78
AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
30%
3
70%
7
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.79
1.73
xGa
0.79
1.52
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
70%
7
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
70%
7
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
70%
7
20%
2
No
30%
3
80%
8
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
30%
3
0%
0
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
70%
7
100%
10
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
3.02
xG
2.40
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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