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AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 18 December, 2025 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.69 vs 0.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.42%
0:1
6.41%
0:2
2.18%
⭐
0:3
0.49%
0:4
0.08%
⭐
0:5
0.01%
⭐
1
1:0
13.95%
🔥
1:1
11.46%
1:2
4.57%
⭐
1:3
1.19%
1:4
0.23%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.32%
⭐
2:1
9.95%
2:2
4.59%
⭐
2:3
1.36%
2:4
0.29%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
5.09%
3:1
5.63%
3:2
2.96%
⭐
3:3
0.99%
⭐
3:4
0.24%
⭐
3:5
0.04%
⭐
4
4:0
1.88%
4:1
2.35%
4:2
1.39%
4:3
0.52%
4:4
0.14%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.56%
⭐
5:1
0.77%
5:2
0.51%
⭐
5:3
0.21%
⭐
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Jagiellonia
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.16
Avg xG
-
1.69
xG [Total: 2.58]
0.89
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
3
8
Corners [Total: 11]
3
3
Offsides [Total: 5]
2
11
Fouls [Total: 22]
11
7
Shots on Goal [Total: 10]
3
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on Jagiellonia as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-18 at 2025-12-18 in the famous AFAS Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, Jagiellonia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-18
Time: 20:00
Location: AFAS Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Football 18 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Second Half Surge
AZ Alkmaar score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
AZ Alkmaar(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague4/475%AZ Alkmaar score 2.50 goals/match at home (+79% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague4/470%AZ Alkmaar concede only 0.25 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent9/9100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
Jagiellonia(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%Jagiellonia concede only 0.80 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Efficient ScoringRecent18/2282%Jagiellonia efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 18 of their last 22 UEFA Conference League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague3/475%AZ Alkmaar score well (2.50/match) but have strong defense at home (0.25 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
Jagiellonia(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/580%Jagiellonia score (1.20/match) and concede (0.80/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 80% of matches (league avg: 48%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague4/475%AZ Alkmaar score 2.50 goals/match at home (+79% above league average)
Teams average combined 2.5 goals per match
🛡️ Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague4/470%AZ Alkmaar concede only 0.25 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1878%AZ Alkmaar are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 18 UEFA Conference League matches
Jagiellonia(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%Jagiellonia concede only 0.80 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar(5 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague4/475%AZ Alkmaar score 2.50 goals/match at home (+79% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague4/470%AZ Alkmaar concede only 0.25 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent9/9100%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in their last 9 9 matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent9/9100%AZ Alkmaar rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 9 of their last 9 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent8/989%AZ Alkmaar score in second half in 8 of their last 9 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
Jagiellonia(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague5/570%Jagiellonia concede only 0.80 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Jagiellonia(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent10/1191%Jagiellonia receive 2+ cards in 10 of their last 11 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent17/2277%Jagiellonia receive 2+ cards in 17 of their last 22 UEFA Conference League matches
AZ Alkmaar disciplined play balances Jagiellonia aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 7.2 (+60% above league)
- Many CornersLeague4/485%AZ Alkmaar average 7.2 corners/match at home (+60% above league avg 4.5)
Jagiellonia(2 trends) — avg 5.0 (+10% above league)
- Many CornersLeague5/575%Jagiellonia average 5.0 corners/match in away matches (+10% above league avg 4.5)
- Few CornersRecent7/888%Jagiellonia win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
Combined average: 12.2 corners/match (AZ Alkmaar 7.2 + Jagiellonia 5.0)
+20 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Jagiellonia is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Jagiellonia is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Jagiellonia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Jagiellonia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Jagiellonia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: AZ Alkmaar often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of AZ Alkmaar scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first half (15 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Jagiellonia shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Jagiellonia winning the second half
- Overall Result: Jagiellonia has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Jagiellonia handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.186
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Jagiellonia):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia Head-to-head statistics for Thu 18 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League
AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for Jagiellonia
Number of goals
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
xG
1.91
0.89
xGa
1.4
0.98
Number of goals
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
70%
7
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
12
70%
7
30%
3
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.93%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 50.36% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 49.64% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 22.39% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 77.61% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 24.01% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 75.99% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.12% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 93.88% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.5 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1.8 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 1 | 1.8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 7 | 2.8 | 11 | 2.3 | 18 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 3 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.6 | 5 |
| Corners | 7.3 | 29 | 1.5 | 6 | 4.4 | 35 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 39 | 11.5 | 46 | 10.6 | 85 |
| Offsides | 3 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| Shots | 19.3 | 77 | 7.8 | 31 | 13.5 | 108 |
| Shots on Goal | 9 | 36 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 48 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 10 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.6 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 3 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.7 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.2 | 6 | 3.2 | 16 | 2.2 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.4 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 30 |
| Fouls | 6.4 | 32 | 8.6 | 43 | 7.5 | 75 |
| Offsides | 1 | 5 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.9 | 9 |
| Shots | 10 | 50 | 4.2 | 21 | 7.1 | 71 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.4 | 22 | 1.6 | 8 | 3 | 30 |
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