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AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 10 January, 2026 10:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.40 vs 0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.58%
0:1
1.4%
0:2
0.62%
0:3
0.18%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
5.25%
1:1
4.78%
1:2
2.17%
1:3
0.66%
1:4
0.15%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
8.7%
2:1
8.14%
2:2
3.81%
2:3
1.18%
2:4
0.28%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
9.61%
🔥
3:1
9.25%
3:2
4.44%
3:3
1.42%
3:4
0.34%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
7.96%
⭐
4:1
7.87%
⭐
4:2
3.88%
⭐
4:3
1.27%
4:4
0.31%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
5.28%
⭐
5:1
5.35%
⭐
5:2
2.7%
⭐
5:3
0.91%
5:4
0.23%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
3:0 (9.6%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
4.50
xG
0.82
70%
Ball Possession
30%
19
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
3
12
Shots Off Goal
6
8
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1
Last 6 Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
FC Volendam
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
0.67
PPG
0.67
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
33%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
2.00
Avg xG
1.10
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on FC Volendam as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-10 at 2026-01-10 in the famous AFAS Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, FC Volendam. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : AZ Alkmaar and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-10
Time: 15:30
Location: AFAS Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Saturday, Jan 10th, 2026 at 10:30 Football
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Trends for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Football 10 Jan, 2026 10:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AZ Alkmaar @ 1.30 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- High xG PerformanceH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
FC Volendam
- Not WinH2H2/2100%FC Volendam have not won in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC Volendam are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
AZ Alkmaar dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/7100%AZ Alkmaar score (2.57/match) and concede (2.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
FC Volendam(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/850%FC Volendam struggle to score in away matches (0.63/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.33 ⚠️
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
FC Volendam(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/850%FC Volendam struggle to score in away matches (0.63/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Teams average combined 2.6 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — AZ Alkmaar Win or Draw @ 1.07 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
FC Volendam
- Not WinH2H2/2100%FC Volendam have not won in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC Volendam are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — AZ Alkmaar to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 ✅
AZ Alkmaar
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%AZ Alkmaar scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%AZ Alkmaar score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%AZ Alkmaar score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
AZ Alkmaar maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+34% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%AZ Alkmaar average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+39% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
FC Volendam(2 trends) — avg 1.3 (-21% below league)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%FC Volendam receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%FC Volendam average 1.3 cards/match in all matches (-28% below league avg 1.8) — rank #1 lowest in league
FC Volendam disciplined play balances AZ Alkmaar aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 6.7 (+31% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%AZ Alkmaar average 6.7 corners/match at home (+31% above league avg 5.1)
FC Volendam(2 trends) — avg 3.3 (-36% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%FC Volendam win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
- Few CornersLeague8/885%FC Volendam average 3.3 corners/match in away matches (-36% below league avg 5.1)
Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (AZ Alkmaar 6.7 + FC Volendam 3.3)
+6 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: FC Volendam is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
✈️ FC Volendam
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ FC Volendam - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
12
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ FC Volendam - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: FC Volendam often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of FC Volendam scoring first
- Overall Result: AZ Alkmaar has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider AZ Alkmaar handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.189
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.065
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Volendam):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam Head-to-head statistics for Sat 10 Jan, 2026 @ 10:30 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for FC Volendam
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
FC Volendam
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
50%
5
70%
7
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
50%
5
30%
3
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
50%
5
30%
3
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
FC Volendam
Under
Over
7.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
xG
1.67
1.03
xGa
1.37
1.92
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
FC Volendam
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
FC Volendam
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
AZ Alkmaar to Win
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.78%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 85.32% | High | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 14.68% | Low | 4.00 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 25.33% | Low | 4.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 74.67% | High | 1.29 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 66.03% | Medium | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 33.97% | Low | 2.00 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 7.49% | Low | 13.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.51% | High | 1.05 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
Played:
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
2.5
Goals
1
2
2
1
Goals Conceded
2.5
5
3
1.5
Yellow Cards
0.5
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.5
Clean Sheets
0
9
4.5
Corners
3.5
7
18
9
Fouls
8
16
4
2
Offsides
1.5
3
38
19
Shots
7.5
15
11
5.5
Shots on Goal
2
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.6 | 18 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.9 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 15 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.8 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 2.8 | 25 | 2.4 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.7 | 47 | 5.9 | 53 | 6.3 | 100 |
| Fouls | 8.4 | 59 | 11.4 | 103 | 10.1 | 162 |
| Offsides | 0.7 | 5 | 1.1 | 10 | 0.9 | 15 |
| Shots | 17.3 | 121 | 15.9 | 143 | 16.5 | 264 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 44 | 5.8 | 52 | 6 | 96 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 6 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 14 | 0.6 | 5 | 1.1 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 | 19 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 15 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 4.4 | 40 | 2.9 | 23 | 3.7 | 63 |
| Fouls | 9.7 | 87 | 8.4 | 67 | 9.1 | 154 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 1.2 | 20 |
| Shots | 12 | 108 | 8.4 | 67 | 10.3 | 175 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 43 | 2.3 | 18 | 3.6 | 61 |
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