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AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 8 February, 2026 7:30
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14
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(30 total)
xG
1.70
(23.4 total)
Shots per Match
17.2
(241 total)
Shots on Target
6.7
(39% acc)
Corners
6.8
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.1
(128 total)
Offsides
1.4
(19 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
1
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.40
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(222 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(36% acc)
Corners
4.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.8
(189 total)
Offsides
1
(16 total)
30
Played
16
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(52 total)
xG
1.50
(46.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(463 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(38% acc)
Corners
5.6
(167 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.6
(317 total)
Offsides
1.2
(35 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(19 total)
xG
1.70
(23.6 total)
Shots per Match
14
(196 total)
Shots on Target
5.9
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.2
(157 total)
Offsides
1.6
(22 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(27 total)
xG
1.30
(16.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(178 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(40% acc)
Corners
4.5
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(134 total)
Offsides
0.9
(12 total)
27
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(46 total)
xG
1.50
(40.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(374 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(41% acc)
Corners
5.1
(137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.8
(291 total)
Offsides
1.3
(34 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.74 vs 2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.68%
0:1
1.6%
0:2
1.88%
0:3
1.47%
0:4
0.86%
0:5
0.41%
⭐
1
1:0
1.8%
1:1
4.3%
1:2
5.13%
1:3
4.07%
1:4
2.43%
⭐
1:5
1.16%
⭐
2
2:0
2.38%
2:1
5.76%
2:2
6.98%
🔥
2:3
5.64%
⭐
2:4
3.41%
⭐
2:5
1.65%
⭐
3
3:0
2.09%
3:1
5.14%
3:2
6.33%
⭐
3:3
5.2%
⭐
3:4
3.19%
⭐
3:5
1.57%
⭐
4
4:0
1.38%
4:1
3.44%
⭐
4:2
4.31%
⭐
4:3
3.59%
⭐
4:4
2.24%
⭐
4:5
1.12%
⭐
5
5:0
0.73%
⭐
5:1
1.84%
⭐
5:2
2.34%
⭐
5:3
1.98%
⭐
5:4
1.26%
⭐
5:5
0.64%
Hotspot:
2:2 (7.0%)
Total Boundaries:
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, AZ Alkmaar will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-08 at 2026-02-08 in the famous AFAS Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AZ Alkmaar, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-08
Time: 13:30
Location: AFAS Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Sunday, Feb 8th, 2026 at 7:30 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Football 8 Feb, 2026 7:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
Second Half Surge
Ajax score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals
+7 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AZ Alkmaar @ 2.25 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- High xG PerformanceH2H4/4100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/4100%AZ Alkmaar efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- WonH2H3/475%AZ Alkmaar have won 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Ajax
- Not WinH2H4/4100%Ajax have not won in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- LostH2H3/475%Ajax have lost 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
AZ Alkmaar dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.45 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/7100%AZ Alkmaar score (2.57/match) and concede (2.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Ajax(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/8100%Ajax score (2.13/match) and concede (1.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/475%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.53 ✅
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
Ajax(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H4/4100%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
Both teams average 4.7 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance — Ajax Win or Draw @ 1.68 ✅ 
Ajax
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Ajax demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.80 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%AZ Alkmaar score 2.57 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent4/4100%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
- Scored 2+Recent4/4100%AZ Alkmaar scored 2+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/475%AZ Alkmaar score in second half in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
AZ Alkmaar maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+28% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%AZ Alkmaar average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+39% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Ajax(2 trends) — avg 1.7 (+4% above league)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Ajax receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Ajax average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.95 ⚠️
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends) — avg 6.7 (+31% above league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%AZ Alkmaar win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Many CornersLeague7/785%AZ Alkmaar average 6.7 corners/match at home (+31% above league avg 5.1)
AZ Alkmaar drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.95
+11 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AZ Alkmaar
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AZ Alkmaar - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 5)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: AZ Alkmaar excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of AZ Alkmaar scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.09
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.025
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AZ Alkmaar):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Sun 8 Feb, 2026 @ 7:30 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw and +1.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Ajax
Last 4 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (8)
1 (4)
xG
1.60
1.10
Shots
10.8 (43)
11.8 (47)
Shots on Target
3.3 (13)
4 (16)
Corners
4.3 (17)
4.3 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1 (4)
2 (8)
xGa
1.10
1.60
Clean Sheets
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (7)
2.3 (9)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
14 (56)
9.8 (39)
Offsides
0.3 (1)
1.3 (5)
Last 6 Matches
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Ajax
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.33
PPG
2.33
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
50%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.79
Avg xG
2.03
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AZ Alkmaar and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0-1
40%
4
0%
0
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
xG
1.79
1.66
xGa
0.79
1.31
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
3.75
xG
2.22
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found