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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
AVS
AVS
18th place
Form
VS
18:00
17 Jan 2026
Arouca
Arouca
16th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or Arouca
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

AVS vs Arouca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)2.60
Arouca to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals1.76
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.89
Yes
Probability 54%
AVS Total1.11
Home Under 2.5
Probability 87%
Arouca Total1.13
Away Under 2.5
Probability 85%
Double Chance1.45
Draw/Arouca
Probability 68%
Asian Handicap1.30
AVS +1
Probability 75%
Best Tip
Double Chance Draw or Arouca
Odds 1.45
Win Prob. 67.7%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18:00
AVS W 32%
:
Arouca W 37%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
AVS
l l d l l
9 Played
0 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (7 total)
xG
0.90 (8.3 total)
Shots per Match
10 (90 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (34% acc)
Corners
2.9 (26 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15.3 (138 total)
Offsides
0.9 (8 total)
8 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (4 total)
xG
0.70 (5.9 total)
Shots per Match
9 (72 total)
Shots on Target
2.1 (24% acc)
Corners
3.4 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
3.1 per match
xGa
2.10 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.8 (102 total)
Offsides
1.3 (10 total)
17 Played
0 Wins
4 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (11 total)
xG
0.80 (14.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (162 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (30% acc)
Corners
3.1 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.1 (240 total)
Offsides
1.1 (18 total)
Arouca
l w d d l
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (7.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.7 (87 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
4.4 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
14.3 (129 total)
Offsides
0.7 (6 total)
8 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (8 total)
xG
0.60 (4.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.4 (67 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (28% acc)
Corners
3.4 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
13.1 (105 total)
Offsides
1.1 (9 total)
17 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (18 total)
xG
0.70 (11.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (154 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (31% acc)
Corners
3.9 (67 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (6 total)
Fouls
13.8 (234 total)
Offsides
0.9 (15 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.24 vs 1.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.42%
0:1
10.69%
0:2
5.48%
0:3
1.87%
0:4
0.48%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
9.85%
1:1
13.17%
🔥
1:2
8.33%
1:3
3.39%
1:4
1.01%
1:5
0.23%
2
2:0
4.66%
2:1
7.68%
2:2
5.88%
2:3
2.83%
2:4
0.97%
2:5
0.26%
3
3:0
1.47%
3:1
2.88%
3:2
2.61%
3:3
1.47%
3:4
0.58%
3:5
0.18%
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.79%
4:2
0.83%
4:3
0.54%
4:4
0.25%
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.17%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.4%
0
20.5%
1
23.3%
2
19.3%
3
13.0%
4
7.4%
5
3.7%
6
1.6%
7
0.6%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AVSHDPArouca
3.2%
Very Low
-2.5
4.1%
@ 10.50Very Low
7.4%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2
9.1%
@ 9.60Very Low
11.7%
Very Low@ 6.25
-1.5
14.1%
@ 5.25Very Low
22.0%
Low@ 5.25
-1
25.4%
@ 4.15Low
32.4%
Low@ 2.93
-0.5
36.6%
@ 2.48Low
63.4%
High@ 1.60
+0.5
67.6%
@ 1.45High
74.6%
High@ 1.30
+1
78.0%
@ 1.18High
85.9%
Very High@ 1.16
+1.5
88.3%
@ 1.12Very High
90.9%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
92.6%
@ 1.01Very High
95.9%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
96.8%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

AVSOutcomeArouca
71.1%
High@ 1.39
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.34High
28.9%
Low@ 3.00
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 3.40Low
35.2%
Low@ 2.95
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 2.60Low
64.8%
High@ 1.44
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.53High
12.9%
Very Low@ 7.00
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 6.00Very Low
87.1%
Very High@ 1.10
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.14Very High
3.7%
Very Low@ 21.00
Over 3.5
4.5%
@ 17.00Very Low
96.3%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
95.5%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, AVS will take on Arouca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AVS, and the visiting side, Arouca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Arouca. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 18:00 Location: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AVS vs Arouca Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 12:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:37:16
spinner

Trends for AVS vs Arouca Football 17 Jan, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

🎯 Betting Analysis

AVS vs Arouca

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 AVS

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Arouca

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 AVS - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Arouca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 AVS - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Arouca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Arouca scoring first
  • Overall Result: Arouca has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Arouca handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.096
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.072
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (AVS):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arouca):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

AVS
Arouca

AVS vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
16
Arouca
l w d d l
>
17
3
5
9
18
42
-24
14
17
Tondela
l l l w l
>
17
3
3
11
12
29
-17
12
18
AVS
l l d l l
>
17
0
4
13
11
43
-32
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Arouca
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
AVS
VS
Arouca
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (2)
1.7 (5)
xG
1.30
1.50
Shots
14 (42)
13.3 (40)
Shots on Target
2.3 (7)
4.3 (13)
Corners
4.3 (13)
5.3 (16)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
xGa
1.50
1.30
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (3)
2 (6)
Fouls
14.3 (43)
12.7 (38)
Offsides
1 (3)
1 (3)
9 Aug
- 19:30
Arouca
AVS
1.21
xG
1.09
3
1
8 Mar
- 15:30
AVS
Arouca
0.83
xG
2.35
0
1
5 Oct
- 17:00
Arouca
AVS
0.87
xG
2.03
1
1
Last 6 Matches
AVS
VS
Arouca
0/6 (0%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
5/6 (83%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.17 PPG 0.83
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
3.00 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.82 Avg xG 0.78
AVS
L L D L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 20:30
AVS
0 2
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 20:15
FC Porto
2 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
6 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 18:00
AVS
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Guimaraes
4 0
AVS
Arouca
L W D D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Arouca
2 2
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
0 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Arouca
1 0
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Estrela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Arouca
0 4
SC Braga

AVS vs Arouca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for AVS and away matches for Arouca

Number of goals
AVS
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AVS
Arouca
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
AVS
Arouca
1
0% 0
10% 1
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
70% 7
60% 6
Double Chance
AVS
Arouca
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
30% 3
40% 4
X2
100% 10
90% 9
Total Goals
AVS
Arouca
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
50% 5
60% 6
Total Corners
AVS
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AVS
Arouca
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
AVS
Arouca
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
50% 5
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
AVS
Arouca
xG
0.8
0.72
xGa
1.86
1.65
Number of goals
AVS
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AVS
Arouca
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
AVS
Arouca
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
AVS
Arouca
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
AVS
Arouca
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
AVS
Arouca
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
Number of goals
AVS
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
AVS
Arouca
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
AVS
Arouca
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
70% 7
50% 5
Double Chance
AVS
Arouca
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
30% 3
50% 5
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
AVS
Arouca
0-1
30% 3
60% 6
2-3
70% 7
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
AVS
Arouca
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1.14 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found