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Form
Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Auxerre
Auxerre
16th place
Form
VS
14:00
22 Feb 2026
Rennes
Rennes
6th place
Form
AI Prediction Auxerre Under 1.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Auxerre vs Rennes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 8:00

Winner (1x2)2.48
Rennes to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals1.98
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score2.15
No (NG)
Probability 60%
Auxerre Total1.49
Home Under 1.5
Probability 73%
Rennes Total1.65
Away Under 1.5
Probability 63%
Double Chance1.42
Draw/Rennes
Probability 66%
Asian Handicap1.45
Rennes +0.5
Probability 72%

Betting Tip

Auxerre Under 1.5 Goals

No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
14:00
Auxerre W 34%
:
Rennes W 37%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Auxerre
l l d d w
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
1.20 (13.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (119 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (29% acc)
Corners
5.3 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (5 total)
Fouls
12.7 (140 total)
Offsides
0.8 (9 total)
11 Played
1 Wins
3 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (7 total)
xG
0.80 (8.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.9 (109 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (31% acc)
Corners
4.1 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.4 (147 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
22 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (22.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (228 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (30% acc)
Corners
4.7 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
13 (287 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)
Rennes
d l l l w
11 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (22 total)
xG
1.90 (21.4 total)
Shots per Match
16 (176 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (35% acc)
Corners
5.9 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.9 (142 total)
Offsides
2.7 (30 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (12 total)
xG
0.90 (10.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (106 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
4.9 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
10.7 (118 total)
Offsides
1.9 (21 total)
22 Played
9 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (34 total)
xG
1.40 (31.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (282 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (34% acc)
Corners
5.4 (119 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
11.8 (260 total)
Offsides
2.3 (51 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.05 vs 1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.05%
0:1
12.78%
0:2
7.39%
0:3
2.85%
0:4
0.82%
0:5
0.19%
1
1:0
9.13%
1:1
13.03%
🔥
1:2
8.96%
1:3
4.01%
1:4
1.32%
1:5
0.34%
2
2:0
3.77%
2:1
6.41%
2:2
5.16%
2:3
2.66%
2:4
0.99%
2:5
0.29%
3
3:0
1.04%
3:1
2.05%
3:2
1.9%
3:3
1.12%
3:4
0.47%
3:5
0.15%
4
4:0
0.21%
4:1
0.48%
4:2
0.51%
4:3
0.34%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.1%
0
21.9%
1
24.2%
2
19.3%
3
12.2%
4
6.6%
5
3.0%
6
1.2%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AuxerreHDPRennes
2.4%
Very Low@ 14.00
-2.5
5.9%
@ 10.50Very Low
5.9%
Very Low@ 13.00
-2
12.0%
@ 9.30Very Low
9.4%
Very Low@ 6.15
-1.5
18.1%
@ 4.60Very Low
18.6%
Very Low@ 5.25
-1
30.2%
@ 3.87Low
27.8%
Low@ 2.99
-0.5
42.3%
@ 2.41Medium
57.7%
Medium@ 1.62
+0.5
72.2%
@ 1.45High
69.8%
High@ 1.27
+1
81.4%
@ 1.17Very High
81.9%
Very High@ 1.19
+1.5
90.6%
@ 1.13Very High
88.0%
Very High@ 1.00
+2
94.1%
@ 1.02Very High
94.1%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
97.6%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

AuxerreOutcomeRennes
27.5%
Low@ 2.66
Over 1.5
37.1%
@ 2.26Low
72.5%
High@ 1.49
Under 1.5
62.9%
@ 1.65High
8.8%
Very Low@ 7.00
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 5.20Very Low
91.2%
Very High@ 1.12
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.17Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Auxerre will take on Rennes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Auxerre, and the visiting side, Rennes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Auxerre or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-22 Time: 14:00 Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Auxerre vs Rennes Sunday, Feb 22nd, 2026 at 8:00 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
BTTS No
High Value
Prob: 60%
EV: +29.0%
Stake: $2.17
2.15
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 57.5%
EV: +13.9%
Stake: $2.55
1.98
Home Total Auxerre Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 72.5%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $5.10
1.49
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 63.4%
EV: +2.0%
Stake: $4.10
1.61
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 03:00:33
spinner

Trends for Auxerre vs Rennes Football 22 Feb, 2026 8:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Auxerre create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Auxerre rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Auxerre vs Rennes

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Rennes is stronger in the second half (23 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Rennes is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Auxerre

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Rennes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.39
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Auxerre - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Rennes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
23
Avg. Goals per Match
1.15
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Auxerre - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Rennes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Rennes shows superior performance after the break (23 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Rennes winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Rennes excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Rennes scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Rennes has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Rennes handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.192
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.106
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Auxerre):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rennes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Auxerre
Rennes

Auxerre vs Rennes Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 8:00 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Lille
l l l d d
>
22
10
4
8
35
31
4
34
6
Rennes
d l l l w
>
22
9
7
6
34
35
-1
34
7
Strasbourg
w w l l d
>
22
9
4
9
36
29
7
31

15
Paris FC
w d d d l
>
22
5
7
10
26
39
-13
22
16
Auxerre
l l d d w
>
22
4
5
13
17
30
-13
17
17
Nantes
l l l l l
>
22
3
5
14
20
40
-20
14
Team comparison
Prediction
Auxerre Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Auxerre
VS
Rennes
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (7)
1.4 (7)
xG
1.70
1.30
Shots
10.6 (53)
12.6 (63)
Shots on Target
3.6 (18)
5.4 (27)
Corners
3.8 (19)
4.8 (24)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (7)
1.4 (7)
xGa
1.30
1.70
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 (6)
1.2 (6)
Fouls
10.8 (54)
11.4 (57)
Offsides
3.2 (16)
2.4 (12)
19 Oct
- 15:15
Rennes
Auxerre
1.88
xG
1.49
2
2
6 Apr
- 15:15
Rennes
Auxerre
1.21
xG
0.78
0
1
3 Nov
- 16:00
Auxerre
Rennes
2.79
xG
0.80
4
0
11 Mar
- 16:00
Auxerre
Rennes
0
0
11 Sep
- 15:05
Rennes
Auxerre
5
0
Last 6 Matches
Auxerre
VS
Rennes
1/6 (17%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.83 PPG 1.17
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
17% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.67 Avg xG 1.46
Auxerre
L L D D W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Metz
1 3
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Auxerre
0 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 19:00
Auxerre
0 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Lens
1 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Auxerre
Rennes
D L L L W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Rennes
3 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 16:00
Lens
3 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 20:05
Monaco
4 0
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Rennes
0 2
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Rennes
1 1
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 20:05
Lille
0 2
Rennes

Auxerre vs Rennes: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Auxerre and away matches for Rennes

Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Rennes
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2
Auxerre
Rennes
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Auxerre
Rennes
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Auxerre
Rennes
0-1
50% 5
10% 1
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
30% 3
60% 6
Total Corners
Auxerre
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Rennes
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Auxerre
Rennes
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
40% 4
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Auxerre
Rennes
xG
1.15
1.54
xGa
1.19
1.43
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Rennes
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Auxerre
Rennes
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Auxerre
Rennes
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Auxerre
Rennes
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Rennes
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Rennes
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Rennes
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Auxerre
Rennes
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Auxerre
Rennes
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Auxerre
Rennes
0-1
80% 8
30% 3
2-3
10% 1
60% 6
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Rennes
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1.27 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found