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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Auxerre
Auxerre
17th place
Form
VS
16:15
8 Feb 2026
Paris FC
Paris FC
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Auxerre or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Auxerre vs Paris FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 8 February, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)-
Auxerre to Win
Probability 42%
Total Goals1.77
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Both Teams to Score1.91
Yes
Probability 57%
Auxerre Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 82%
Paris FC Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 87%
Double Chance1.43
Auxerre/Draw
Probability 70%
Asian Handicap-
Auxerre +2.5
Probability 96%
Best Tip
Double Chance Auxerre or Draw
Odds 1.43
Win Prob. 69.8%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
16:15
Auxerre W 44%
:
Paris FC W 30%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Auxerre
w l l l l
10 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (10 total)
xG
1.30 (12.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (109 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (29% acc)
Corners
5.2 (52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (5 total)
Fouls
13.2 (132 total)
Offsides
0.8 (8 total)
9 Played
0 Wins
2 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4 (4 total)
xG
0.80 (7.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.7 (87 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (32% acc)
Corners
4.2 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.7 (123 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (14 total)
xG
1.00 (19.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (196 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (31% acc)
Corners
4.7 (90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
13.4 (255 total)
Offsides
1.2 (23 total)
Paris FC
d l l w d
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (12.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (123 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (26% acc)
Corners
5.7 (51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.2 (101 total)
Offsides
2.8 (25 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (12 total)
xG
1.00 (10.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (96 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
2.9 (29 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.8 (108 total)
Offsides
1.3 (13 total)
19 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (24 total)
xG
1.20 (22.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (219 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (29% acc)
Corners
4.2 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11 (209 total)
Offsides
2 (38 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.48 vs 1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.13%
0:1
8.32%
0:2
4.85%
0:3
1.89%
0:4
0.55%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
10.17%
1:1
12.25%
🔥
1:2
7.37%
1:3
2.95%
1:4
0.89%
1:5
0.21%
2
2:0
7.25%
2:1
9.01%
2:2
5.58%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.71%
2:5
0.18%
3
3:0
3.45%
3:1
4.41%
3:2
2.82%
3:3
1.19%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.23%
4:1
1.62%
4:2
1.06%
4:3
0.46%
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.35%
5:1
0.48%
5:2
0.32%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.1%
0
18.5%
1
24.4%
2
21.7%
3
14.7%
4
8.1%
5
3.7%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AuxerreHDPParis FC
7.8%
Very Low@ 12.50
-2.5
4.0%
@ 15.00Very Low
14.2%
Very Low@ 9.20
-2
8.2%
@ 14.00Very Low
20.6%
Low@ 5.25
-1.5
12.5%
@ 6.00Very Low
31.8%
Low@ 4.30
-1
21.7%
@ 5.51Low
43.0%
Medium@ 2.51
-0.5
30.8%
@ 2.97Low
69.2%
High@ 1.45
+0.5
57.0%
@ 1.57Medium
78.3%
High@ 1.17
+1
68.2%
@ 1.23High
87.5%
Very High@ 1.12
+1.5
79.4%
@ 1.16High
91.7%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
85.8%
@ 1.00Very High
96.0%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
92.2%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

AuxerreOutcomeParis FC
77.2%
High@ 1.34
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.41High
22.8%
Low@ 3.35
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.00Low
43.6%
Medium@ 2.62
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 2.92Low
56.5%
Medium@ 1.51
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.42High
18.6%
Very Low@ 6.70
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 8.00Very Low
81.4%
Very High@ 1.12
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.11Very High
6.3%
Very Low@ 19.00
Over 3.5
3.6%
@ 21.00Very Low
93.7%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
96.5%
@ 1.02Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Auxerre will take on Paris FC as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-08 at 2026-02-08 in the famous Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Auxerre, and the visiting side, Paris FC. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Auxerre or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-08 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Auxerre vs Paris FC Sunday, Feb 8th, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 56.5%
EV: +7.9%
Stake: $2.75
1.91
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 73.8%
EV: +2.6%
Stake: $6.41
1.39
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-27 02:28:19
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Trends for Auxerre vs Paris FC Football 8 Feb, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Auxerre create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Auxerre rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Auxerre vs Paris FC

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Paris FC is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Auxerre

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Paris FC

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
19
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Auxerre - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Paris FC - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.11
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.37
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.68
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Auxerre - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Paris FC - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Paris FC excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Paris FC scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Paris FC has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Paris FC handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.175
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.058
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.036

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Auxerre):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris FC):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Auxerre
Paris FC

Auxerre vs Paris FC Head-to-head statistics for Sun 8 Feb, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
Nice
l l d l w
>
19
6
3
10
25
36
-11
21
14
Paris FC
d l l w d
>
19
5
5
9
24
32
-8
20
15
LE Havre
d l w d d
>
19
4
8
7
16
24
-8
20
16
Nantes
l l w l l
>
19
3
5
11
18
34
-16
14
17
Auxerre
w l l l l
>
19
3
3
13
14
29
-15
12
18
Metz
l l d l l
>
19
3
3
13
21
45
-24
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Auxerre or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Auxerre
VS
Paris FC
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
1 (1)
xG
1.10
1.60
Shots
11 (11)
10 (10)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
2 (2)
Corners
3 (3)
4 (4)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
1 (1)
xGa
1.60
1.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
2 (2)
Fouls
17 (17)
11 (11)
Offsides
0 (0)
2 (2)
29 Nov
- 18:00
Paris FC
Auxerre
1.62
xG
1.07
1
1
Prob 63%
Asian Handicap A+1
Odd 1.56
Last 6 Matches
Auxerre
VS
Paris FC
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.67 PPG 1.00
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.21 Avg xG 0.96
Auxerre
W L L L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 19:00
Auxerre
0 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Lens
1 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Auxerre
3 4
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Auxerre
3 1
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Paris FC
1 1
Auxerre
Paris FC
D L L W D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Paris FC
0 0
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
2 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:05
Paris FC
0 3
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 16:15
LE Havre
0 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Paris FC
1 1
Auxerre

Auxerre vs Paris FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Auxerre and away matches for Paris FC

Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Paris FC
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2
Auxerre
Paris FC
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
70% 7
40% 4
Double Chance
Auxerre
Paris FC
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
30% 3
60% 6
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Auxerre
Paris FC
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Auxerre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Paris FC
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Auxerre
Paris FC
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Auxerre
Paris FC
xG
1.1
1.02
xGa
1.43
1.26
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Paris FC
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Auxerre
Paris FC
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
60% 6
60% 6
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Auxerre
Paris FC
12
40% 4
40% 4
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Auxerre
Paris FC
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Paris FC
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Paris FC
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
Auxerre
Paris FC
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Auxerre
Paris FC
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Auxerre
Paris FC
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Paris FC
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1.27 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found