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Auxerre vs Metz: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 10:15
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Upgrade to PremiumAuxerre vs Metz: A Crucial Clash at the Bottom of Ligue 1
Intro Title
This match between Auxerre and Metz promises to be a significant encounter in the battle to avoid relegation. Currently, Auxerre sits at the bottom of Ligue 1 with just 9 points, while Metz is slightly ahead in 17th place with 11 points, making this clash pivotal for both teams' survival hopes.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this fixture struggling for form, with Auxerre particularly facing a tough time in front of goal.
- Auxerre: The home side has not tasted victory in their last five matches, scoring a mere 0.2 goals per game during that span. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals on average, which has led to a disappointing home record of just one win in five.
- Metz: In contrast, Metz has shown some signs of revival, winning three of their last five matches. However, their away form remains a concern, with only one win while conceding an alarming 3.6 goals per match on the road.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Auxerre and Metz have faced each other without any clear dominance. In their most recent meetings, there have been no wins for either side, and the average goals per encounter have been notably low, highlighting a trend of closely contested matches.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Both teams will likely set up defensively, given their struggles in attack. Auxerre's key player, L. Sinayoko, will need to find ways to penetrate Metz's defense to give his team a much-needed boost. On the other hand, Metz's Jonathan Fischer will be crucial in organizing the backline, especially given Auxerre's goal-scoring difficulties. Metz's attack may rely on G. Hein, who could exploit any gaps left by Auxerre's defense as they push for a breakthrough.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: Auxerre 1 - 1 Metz
Reasoning: Given both teams' recent form and the statistical trends, a draw seems the most likely outcome. With Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities and Metz's struggling away form, neither side appears poised to secure a victory, leading to a probable stalemate.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.64 (28.8%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.94 (58.1%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.09 vs 1.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.44%
⭐
0:1
12.35%
⭐
0:2
6.67%
⭐
0:3
2.4%
⭐
0:4
0.65%
⭐
0:5
0.14%
⭐
1
1:0
11.72%
1:1
13.41%
🔥
1:2
7.65%
⭐
1:3
2.9%
⭐
1:4
0.82%
⭐
1:5
0.19%
⭐
2
2:0
6%
2:1
7.25%
2:2
4.36%
2:3
1.74%
2:4
0.52%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
2.05%
3:1
2.61%
3:2
1.65%
3:3
0.69%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
0.53%
4:1
0.7%
4:2
0.47%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.11%
5:1
0.15%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Auxerre
VS
Metz
0/6 (0%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.33
PPG
1.50
0.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
17%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.89
Avg xG
1.59
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Concussion
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.11
xG [Total: 2.28]
1.17
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 9]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
13
Fouls [Total: 24]
11
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
3
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Auxerre will take on Metz as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Auxerre, and the visiting side, Metz. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Auxerre or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 16:15
Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Auxerre vs Metz Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 10:15 Football
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Trends for Auxerre vs Metz Football 7 Dec, 2025 10:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Auxerre have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Toothless Attack
Auxerre struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent home matches
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Auxerre vs Metz, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Metz @ 3.96 ✅ 
Auxerre
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Auxerre are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
Metz confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
Auxerre(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Auxerre struggle to score at home (0.57/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
Metz(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Metz score (1.29/match) and concede (3.43/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 51%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ⚠️ 
Auxerre(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent13/1587%Auxerre scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent23/3077%Auxerre scored 0-1 goals in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Auxerre Win or Draw @ 1.31 ✅ 
Auxerre
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Auxerre concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1580%Auxerre are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
Metz
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Metz are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Metz have not won in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Away) matches
Auxerre confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Auxerre Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.09 ✅
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Auxerre(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1489%Auxerre average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
Metz(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Metz average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-23% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
Metz disciplined play balances Auxerre aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
Metz(1 trends) — avg 4.1 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/777%Metz average 4.1 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.7)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
+1 Streak trend is hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Auxerre vs Metz
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Metz is stronger in the second half (19 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Auxerre
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Metz
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.19
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Auxerre - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Metz - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Auxerre - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Metz - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Metz shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Metz winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Metz excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Metz scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Auxerre has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Auxerre handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.225
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.125
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Auxerre):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Metz):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Auxerre vs Metz Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 10:15 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Metz: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Auxerre and away matches for Metz
Number of goals
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Metz
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Auxerre
Metz
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
60%
6
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Auxerre
Metz
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
40%
4
40%
4
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Auxerre
Metz
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Auxerre
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Metz
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Auxerre
Metz
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT X - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Auxerre
Metz
xG
0.98
1.2
xGa
1.42
1.7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Metz
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Auxerre
Metz
1
10%
1
0%
0
X
60%
6
60%
6
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Auxerre
Metz
12
40%
4
40%
4
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
90%
9
100%
10
Total Goals
Total Goals
Auxerre
Metz
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Metz
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Auxerre
Metz
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Auxerre
Metz
1
0%
0
30%
3
X
60%
6
20%
2
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Auxerre
Metz
12
40%
4
80%
8
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
100%
10
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Auxerre
Metz
0-1
60%
6
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Metz
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Auxerre Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 29.74% | Low | 2.09 |
| Under 1.5 | 70.26% | High | 1.80 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 31.77% | Low | 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 68.23% | Medium | 1.36 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 9.77% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.23% | High | 1.22 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 10.90% | Low | 9.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 89.10% | High | 1.07 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Auxerre
Metz
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.6 | 4 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 2.1 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 5.1 | 36 | 4.1 | 29 | 4.6 | 65 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 94 | 13.6 | 95 | 13.5 | 189 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 72 | 10.4 | 73 | 10.4 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.7 | 19 | 3.9 | 27 | 3.3 | 46 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 6 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.7 | 5 | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 3.4 | 24 | 2.2 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 28 | 4.1 | 29 | 4.1 | 57 |
| Fouls | 12 | 84 | 9.3 | 65 | 10.6 | 149 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 17 |
| Shots | 8.4 | 59 | 9.3 | 65 | 8.9 | 124 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.6 | 18 | 3.3 | 23 | 2.9 | 41 |
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