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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 16
14 Dec 2025-16:15
Auxerre
Auxerre
18th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 11:15
Lille
Lille
4th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Auxerre vs Lille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 11:15

1×2 Prediction
Lille
14%25%61%
AuxerreDrawLille
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
64%36%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
65%35%
NoYes
Team Total - Auxerre
Under 1.5
89%11%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Lille
Under 1.5
53%47%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Lille
86%14%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Auxerre +1.5
67%33%
Home +1.5NOT Home +1.5
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under -2.5
Odds: 1.97
60.5%
EV: +19.1%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Total - Home Auxerre Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.3
85%
EV: +10.4%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.57 vs 1.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.42%
0:1
18.9%
🔥
0:2
14.38%
0:3
7.29%
0:4
2.77%
0:5
0.84%
1
1:0
6.48%
1:1
10.46%
1:2
8.41%
1:3
4.5%
1:4
1.8%
1:5
0.57%
2
2:0
1.69%
2:1
2.88%
2:2
2.45%
2:3
1.38%
2:4
0.58%
2:5
0.19%
3
3:0
0.29%
3:1
0.53%
3:2
0.47%
3:3
0.28%
3:4
0.12%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.04%
4:1
0.07%
4:2
0.07%
4:3
0.04%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (18.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.4%
0
25.4%
1
26.5%
2
18.9%
3
10.3%
4
4.6%
5
1.5%
6
0.4%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Auxerre
vs
Lille
Dec 14, 16:15
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Marseille
d w w w d
>
14
9
2
3
35
14
21
29
4
Lille
l w l w w
>
14
8
2
4
28
17
11
26
5
Rennes
d w w w w
>
14
6
6
2
24
18
6
24

17
Metz
w w w l l
>
14
3
2
9
14
31
-17
11
18
Auxerre
l l l d d
>
14
2
3
9
8
20
-12
9
Last 6 Matches
Auxerre
VS
Lille
0/6 (0%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.33 PPG 2.00
0.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
17% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.89 Avg xG 1.92
Auxerre
L L L D D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Paris FC
1 1
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Auxerre
0 0
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Angers
2 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Auxerre
0 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 20:05
Strasbourg
3 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 16:15
Auxerre
0 1
LE Havre
Lille
L L W W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
LE Havre
0 1
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Lille
4 0
Dinamo Zagreb
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lille
4 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Strasbourg
2 0
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 0
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Lille
1 0
Angers
14% Draw 61%
36% Over 2.5 64%
35% Both Teams Score 65%
0.76 xPTS 2.24
0.57 xG [Total: 2.14] 1.57
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 3
5 Corners [Total: 9] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 2] 2
13 Fouls [Total: 26] 13
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 7] 4
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Auxerre will take on Lille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Auxerre, and the visiting side, Lille. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Lille and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Auxerre vs Lille Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 11:15 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.98
65%
EV: +28.7% Kelly: $14.65
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High Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.97
64%
EV: +26.0% Kelly: $13.39
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Value
Match Winner Lille
Odds: 1.84
60.5%
EV: +11.3% Kelly: $6.75
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance X2
Odds: 1.24
86%
EV: +6.6% Kelly: $13.81
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 15:37:14
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Trends for Auxerre vs Lille Football 14 Dec, 2025 11:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Auxerre have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Auxerre struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent home matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Auxerre vs Lille

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Auxerre is stronger in the first 15 minutes (3 vs 0).
🔄 Second Half: Lille is stronger in the second half (20 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Lille is stronger in the final minutes (15 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Auxerre

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Lille

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Auxerre - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Lille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Auxerre - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Lille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
15
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
15
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Auxerre often scores in the first 15 minutes (3 vs 0)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Auxerre scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lille shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 11 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Lille winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lille excels in the closing minutes (15 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lille scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Lille has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lille handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.177
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.083
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Auxerre):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lille):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Auxerre
Lille

Auxerre vs Lille Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 11:15 Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Lille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Auxerre and away matches for Lille

Number of goals

Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Auxerre
Lille
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Auxerre
Lille
1
10% 1
60% 6
X
30% 3
0% 0
2
60% 6
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Auxerre
Lille
12
70% 7
100% 10
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
90% 9
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Auxerre
Lille
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Auxerre
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Lille
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Auxerre
Lille
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Auxerre
Lille
xG
0.98
1.91
xGa
1.42
1.12

Number of goals

Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Auxerre
Lille
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Auxerre
Lille
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Auxerre
Lille
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
90% 9
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Auxerre
Lille
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Lille
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Auxerre
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Auxerre
Lille
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Auxerre
Lille
1
0% 0
60% 6
X
60% 6
10% 1
2
40% 4
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Auxerre
Lille
12
40% 4
90% 9
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
100% 10
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Auxerre
Lille
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
0% 0
30% 3

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Auxerre
Lille
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Lille and -3.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.4%
Low
N/A
13.9%
Low
6.40
-2
1.6%
Low
N/A
23.6%
Low
5.50
-1.5
2.7%
Low
10.00
33.3%
Low
3.20
-1
7.6%
Low
8.70
47.7%
Low
2.47
-0.5
12.5%
Low
4.40
62.0%
Medium
1.80
+0.5
38.0%
Low
2.07
87.5%
High
1.20
+1
52.3%
Medium
1.57
92.4%
High
1.01
+1.5
66.7%
Medium
1.38
97.3%
High
1.05
+2
76.4%
High
1.15
98.4%
High
N/A
+2.5
86.0%
High
1.12
99.6%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.96%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.511.21%Low3.60
Under 1.588.79%High1.30
AwayOver 1.546.53%Low1.88
Under 1.553.47%Medium1.93
HomeOver 2.52.03%Low11.00
Under 2.597.97%High1.07
AwayOver 2.520.89%Low3.80
Under 2.579.11%High1.27
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
20 Apr
- 13:00
Lille
Auxerre
1.35
xG
0.25
3
1
10 Jan
- 20:05
Auxerre
Lille
0.82
xG
1.47
0
0
22 Apr
- 15:00
Auxerre
Lille
1
1
7 Aug
- 13:00
Lille
Auxerre
4
1
club logo
Auxerre
Lille
Played: 4
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
3
0.8
Goals
2
8
8
2
Goals Conceded
0.8
3
3
0.8
Yellow Cards
2
8
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
16
4
Corners
7.3
29
41
10.3
Fouls
9.5
38
8
2
Offsides
2
8
37
9.3
Shots
14
56
11
2.8
Shots on Goal
6
24
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 0 2
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 4 5 9
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.6 4 0.6 4 0.6 8
Goals Conceded 0.9 6 2 14 1.4 20
Yellow Cards 2.1 15 2 14 2.1 29
Red Cards 0.4 3 0.1 1 0.3 4
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0 0.2 3
Corners 5.1 36 4.1 29 4.6 65
Fouls 13.4 94 13.6 95 13.5 189
Offsides 0.6 4 2.1 15 1.4 19
Shots 10.3 72 10.4 73 10.4 145
Shots on Goal 2.7 19 3.9 27 3.3 46
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 5 3 8
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 1 3 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.1 15 1.9 13 2 28
Goals Conceded 0.9 6 1.6 11 1.2 17
Yellow Cards 1.9 13 2.6 18 2.2 31
Red Cards 0 0.3 2 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Corners 6.4 45 6.7 47 6.6 92
Fouls 12.1 85 13.7 96 12.9 181
Offsides 1.1 8 1.6 11 1.4 19
Shots 15.7 110 14.6 102 15.1 212
Shots on Goal 5.1 36 5 35 5.1 71
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