Login
Register
Palmeiras
1
0
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 April, 2026 16:30
Best Tip
PREMIUM
Today free quota for this competition is already allocated.
Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
6
Played
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(12 total)
xG
1.50
(8.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(68 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(47% acc)
Corners
5.5
(33 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.5
(93 total)
Offsides
1.8
(11 total)
6
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(5 total)
xG
0.60
(3.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(59 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(32% acc)
Corners
3.5
(21 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
14.7
(88 total)
Offsides
1.5
(9 total)
12
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(17 total)
xG
1.10
(12.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(127 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(40% acc)
Corners
4.5
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.1
(181 total)
Offsides
1.7
(20 total)
6
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(8 total)
xG
1.20
(7.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(74 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(23 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.3
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(83%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14.2
(85 total)
Offsides
2.3
(14 total)
5
Played
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(3 total)
xG
0.70
(3.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(41 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(41% acc)
Corners
3.8
(19 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
15.6
(78 total)
Offsides
0.8
(4 total)
11
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(11 total)
xG
1.00
(10.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(115 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(37% acc)
Corners
3.8
(42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.8
(163 total)
Offsides
1.6
(18 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.97 vs 0.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.39%
0:1
0.75%
0:2
0.2%
0:3
0.04%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
5.37%
1:1
3.06%
1:2
0.87%
1:3
0.16%
1:4
0.02%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
10.33%
2:1
6.21%
2:2
1.86%
2:3
0.37%
2:4
0.05%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
13.25%
🔥
⭐
3:1
8.39%
⭐
3:2
2.64%
⭐
3:3
0.55%
3:4
0.09%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
12.75%
⭐
4:1
8.47%
⭐
4:2
2.79%
⭐
4:3
0.61%
⭐
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
9.81%
⭐
5:1
6.83%
⭐
5:2
2.35%
⭐
5:3
0.54%
⭐
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
3:0 (13.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria Sunday, Apr 26th, 2026 at 16:30 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to Premium
Home Total
Atletico Paranaense Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 75.8%
EV: +223.5%
Stake:
$0.76
4.27
Asian Handicap
Atletico Paranaense -1.5
High Value
Prob: 80.2%
EV: +159.9%
Stake:
$1.12
3.24↑
Trends for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria Football 26 Apr, 2026 16:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Atletico Paranaense create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Chance Suppression
Atletico Paranaense rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria.
🏆 Match Winner — Vitoria @ 5.60 ⚠️ 
Vitoria
Efficient ScoringRecent
Vitoria efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Vitoria demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Vitoria Over 1.5 Goals @ 5.00 ⚠️ 
Vitoria
Scored 1+Recent
Vitoria scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Second Half SpecialistsRecent
Vitoria score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Vitoria's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Vitoria1 Trends — avg 2.9 (+16% above league)Many CardsRecent
Vitoria receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Atletico Paranaense disciplined play balances Vitoria aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️
Vitoria1 Trends — avg 3.8 (-24% below league)Few CornersRecent
Vitoria win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
🎯 Betting Analysis
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atletico Paranaense
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.25
✈️ Vitoria
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atletico Paranaense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
1
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Vitoria - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atletico Paranaense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Vitoria - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Atletico Paranaense often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Atletico Paranaense scoring first
- Overall Result: Atletico Paranaense has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Atletico Paranaense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.082
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.183
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.04 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atletico Paranaense):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Vitoria):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Apr, 2026 @ 16:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Atletico Paranaense to Win
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Atletico Paranaense
VS
Vitoria
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.33
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
33%
BTTS %
17%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.78
Avg xG
0.73
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico Paranaense and away matches for Vitoria
Number of goals
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Vitoria
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Vitoria
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
xG
0.96
0.78
xGa
0.77
1.25
Number of goals
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Vitoria
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
Vitoria
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Broken Leg
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Back Injury
-
Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Injured - Hip Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Hand Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Broken Leg
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Back Injury
-
Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Injured - Hip Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Hand Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
3.46
xG
0.58
61%
Ball Possession
39%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Atletico Paranaense will take on Vitoria as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-26 at 2026-04-26 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico Paranaense, and the visiting side, Vitoria. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Atletico Paranaense.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-26
Time: 21:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!