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Atletico-MG
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3
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 13:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.49 vs 1.30
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.05%
0:1
8.27%
⭐
0:2
4.84%
⭐
0:3
1.89%
⭐
0:4
0.55%
⭐
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
9.6%
1:1
12.13%
🔥
1:2
7.63%
⭐
1:3
3.18%
⭐
1:4
0.99%
⭐
1:5
0.25%
⭐
2
2:0
6.53%
2:1
8.86%
2:2
5.95%
2:3
2.64%
⭐
2:4
0.87%
⭐
2:5
0.23%
⭐
3
3:0
2.96%
3:1
4.29%
3:2
3.07%
3:3
1.45%
⭐
3:4
0.51%
⭐
3:5
0.14%
4
4:0
1.01%
4:1
1.55%
4:2
1.18%
4:3
0.59%
⭐
4:4
0.22%
⭐
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.27%
5:1
0.45%
5:2
0.36%
5:3
0.19%
⭐
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Atletico-MG
VS
Vasco DA Gama
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
0.83
PPG
0.50
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
50%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.32
Avg xG
0.99
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hip Injury
-
Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Broken Leg
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Pelvis Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.47
xG [Total: 2.75]
1.28
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
2
6
Corners [Total: 10]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
13
Fouls [Total: 24]
11
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Serie A (Brazil) 2025 matchup, Atletico-MG will take on Vasco DA Gama as part of the 2025 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atletico-MG, and the visiting side, Vasco DA Gama. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 19:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 13:00 Football
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Trends for Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama Football 7 Dec, 2025 13:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
-
Corner Fest
High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atletico-MG @ 1.83 ✅ 
Atletico-MG
- UnbeatenRecent13/1587%Atletico-MG are unbeaten in 13 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Atletico-MG efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
Atletico-MG demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.87 
Atletico-MG(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/1553%Atletico-MG score (1.47/match) and concede (1.07/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 53% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.89 ⚠️ 
Vasco DA Gama(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague15/1571.5%Vasco DA Gama score 1.53 goals/match in away matches (+23% above league average)
Combined 1.5 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Atletico-MG Win or Draw @ 1.24 ✅
Atletico-MG
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1593%Atletico-MG are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1587%Atletico-MG are unbeaten in 13 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent24/3080%Atletico-MG are undefeated at half time in 24 of their last 30 Serie A matches
Atletico-MG demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Vasco DA Gama Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.70 ⚠️ 
Vasco DA Gama
- Above League AverageLeague15/1571.5%Vasco DA Gama score 1.53 goals/match in away matches (+23% above league average)
Vasco DA Gama's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Atletico-MG(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Atletico-MG receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Atletico-MG receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches
Vasco DA Gama(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague37/3790%Vasco DA Gama average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 2.6) — rank #3 lowest in league
Vasco DA Gama disciplined play balances Atletico-MG aggression — • H2H average: 3 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.85 ⚠️ 
Atletico-MG(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+21% above league)
- Many CornersLeague15/1585%Atletico-MG average 6.1 corners/match at home (+21% above league avg 5.0)
Vasco DA Gama(1 trends) — avg 3.5 (-31% below league)
- Few CornersLeague15/1585%Vasco DA Gama average 3.5 corners/match in away matches (-31% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 9.6 corners/match (Atletico-MG 6.1 + Vasco DA Gama 3.5) • Atletico-MG dominance pushes total over threshold
+5 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Vasco DA Gama is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atletico-MG
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Vasco DA Gama
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atletico-MG - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Vasco DA Gama - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atletico-MG - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Vasco DA Gama - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Vasco DA Gama excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Vasco DA Gama scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Vasco DA Gama has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Vasco DA Gama handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.014
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atletico-MG):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Vasco DA Gama):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 13:00 Serie A
Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atletico-MG and away matches for Vasco DA Gama
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
xG
0.99
1.1
xGa
1.6
1.55
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
80%
8
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
Vasco DA Gama
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
1X2
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Atletico-MG Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 43.75% | Low | 1.93 |
| Under 1.5 | 56.25% | Medium | 1.94 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 37.21% | Low | 3.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 62.79% | Medium | 1.29 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 18.77% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 81.23% | High | 1.26 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.22% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.78% | High | 1.06 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
1
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
10
10
Corners
6
6
9
9
Fouls
10
10
2
2
Offsides
0
17
17
Shots
15
15
4
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | |||
| Wins | 8 | 3 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 8 | 4 | 12 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 12 | 14 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 25 | 0.7 | 13 | 1 | 38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 18 | 1.4 | 26 | 1.2 | 44 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 45 | 2.4 | 45 | 2.4 | 90 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 5 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 8 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 8 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.3 | 12 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 127 | 4.8 | 91 | 5.9 | 218 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 251 | 12.5 | 237 | 13.2 | 488 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 27 | 1.9 | 36 | 1.7 | 63 |
| Shots | 17.5 | 315 | 12.5 | 238 | 14.9 | 553 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 96 | 3.7 | 70 | 4.5 | 166 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 19 | 18 | 37 | |||
| Wins | 8 | 5 | 13 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 7 | 11 | 18 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 31 | 1.3 | 24 | 1.5 | 55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 26 | 1.6 | 29 | 1.5 | 55 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 35 | 2.2 | 39 | 2 | 74 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 4 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 7 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 93 | 3.7 | 66 | 4.3 | 159 |
| Fouls | 14 | 266 | 12.8 | 230 | 13.4 | 496 |
| Offsides | 0.9 | 17 | 0.6 | 11 | 0.8 | 28 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 282 | 10.8 | 195 | 12.9 | 477 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 99 | 4.2 | 75 | 4.7 | 174 |
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