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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
23rd place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
10th place
Form
AI Prediction Sporting CP AH+1.5
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Athletic Club vs Sporting CP: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)3.60
Sporting CP to Win
Probability 56%
Total Goals2.10
Under 2.5
Probability 57%
Both Teams to Score2.22
No (NG)
Probability 54%
Athletic Club Total1.23
Home Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Sporting CP Total1.48
Away Under 1.5
Probability 52%
Double Chance1.78
Draw/Sporting CP
Probability 82%
Asian Handicap1.83
Sporting CP +0.5
Probability 83%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1.5
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 95.3% EV: +27.7%
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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
14:00
Athletic Club W 18%
:
Sporting CP W 56%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Athletic Club
l d l w l
13 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (13 total)
xG
1.40 (18.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (177 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (30% acc)
Corners
5.5 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.8 (179 total)
Offsides
0.7 (9 total)
15 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (14 total)
xG
1.20 (18.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (178 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (34% acc)
Corners
4.7 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
12.3 (184 total)
Offsides
1.1 (17 total)
28 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (27 total)
xG
1.30 (36.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (355 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
5.1 (142 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
13 (363 total)
Offsides
0.9 (26 total)
Sporting CP
w d w w w
13 Played
11 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.2 (41 total)
xG
2.30 (30.1 total)
Shots per Match
18.8 (244 total)
Shots on Target
7.7 (41% acc)
Corners
5.2 (67 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (62%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.3 (147 total)
Offsides
1 (13 total)
13 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (25 total)
xG
1.60 (20.8 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (185 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (36% acc)
Corners
5.8 (76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.2 (158 total)
Offsides
1.2 (16 total)
26 Played
19 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (66 total)
xG
2.00 (51.0 total)
Shots per Match
16.5 (429 total)
Shots on Target
6.4 (39% acc)
Corners
5.5 (143 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.7 (305 total)
Offsides
1.1 (29 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.78 vs 1.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.74%
0:1
15.16%
🔥
0:2
11.79%
0:3
6.12%
0:4
2.38%
0:5
0.74%
1
1:0
6.68%
1:1
11.31%
1:2
9.51%
1:3
5.3%
1:4
2.21%
1:5
0.73%
2
2:0
2.29%
2:1
4.19%
2:2
3.8%
2:3
2.27%
2:4
1.01%
2:5
0.35%
3
3:0
0.52%
3:1
1.03%
3:2
1%
3:3
0.64%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.09%
4:1
0.19%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.13%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.7%
0
21.8%
1
25.4%
2
20.3%
3
12.6%
4
6.4%
5
2.6%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Athletic ClubHDPSporting CP
0.9%
Very Low@ 12.50
-2.5
13.1%
@ 11.50Very Low
2.6%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2
22.2%
@ 10.50Low
4.4%
Very Low@ 5.75
-1.5
31.2%
@ 5.25Low
10.4%
Very Low@ 5.11
-1
44.7%
@ 4.43Medium
16.3%
Very Low@ 2.83
-0.5
58.3%
@ 2.63Medium
41.7%
Medium@ 1.53
+0.5
83.7%
@ 1.54Very High
55.2%
Medium@ 1.23
+1
89.6%
@ 1.32Very High
68.8%
High@ 1.16
+1.5
95.6%
@ 1.14Very High
77.8%
High@ 1.04
+2
97.4%
@ 1.03Very High
86.9%
Very High@ 1.03
+2.5
99.1%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

Athletic ClubOutcomeSporting CP
54.2%
Medium@ 1.31
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.29Very High
45.8%
Medium@ 3.50
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 3.75Very Low
18.4%
Very Low@ 2.58
Over 1.5
49.1%
@ 2.48Medium
81.6%
Very High@ 1.56
Under 1.5
50.9%
@ 1.62Medium
4.5%
Very Low@ 6.00
Over 2.5
23.0%
@ 5.70Low
95.5%
Very High@ 1.14
Under 2.5
77.0%
@ 1.15High
0.8%
Very Low@ 17.00
Over 3.5
8.6%
@ 15.00Very Low
99.2%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
91.4%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Athletic Club will take on Sporting CP as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-28 at 2026-01-28 in the famous . The referee for the game will be F. Zwayer. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Athletic Club, and the visiting side, Sporting CP. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Sporting CP. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-28 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Athletic Club vs Sporting CP Wednesday, Jan 28th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Match Winner Sporting CP
High Value
Prob: 55.6%
EV: +80.7%
Stake: $1.11
3.25
Correct Score 0:1
High Value
Prob: 15%
EV: +79.9%
Stake: $0.23
12.00
Premium Tip Athletic Club Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 80.9%
EV: +48.0%
Stake: $3.01
1.83
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 81.6%
EV: +45.3%
Stake: $3.21
1.78
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 81.6%
EV: +20.8%
Stake: $5.21
1.48
Asian Handicap Sporting CP +1
High Value
Prob: 89%
EV: +17.5%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 57.4%
EV: +17.1%
Stake: $2.40
2.04
Win to Nil Athletic Club NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 91%
EV: +7.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 74%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $6.76
1.37
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-28 12:01:23
spinner

Trends for Athletic Club vs Sporting CP Football 28 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Athletic Club vs Sporting CP

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Sporting CP is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Athletic Club

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Sporting CP

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Athletic Club - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Sporting CP - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Athletic Club - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Sporting CP - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
13
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Sporting CP shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 13 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Sporting CP winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Sporting CP has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Sporting CP handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.373
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Athletic Club):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sporting CP):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Athletic Club
Sporting CP

Athletic Club vs Sporting CP Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Sporting CP AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Athletic Club
VS
Sporting CP
1/6 (17%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.33 PPG 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
83% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.57 Avg xG 1.88
Athletic Club
L D L W L
La Liga 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Sevilla
2 1
Athletic Club
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Atalanta
2 3
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 15:15
Mallorca
3 2
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 15:15
Osasuna
1 1
Athletic Club
La Liga 2025-2026
22 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Athletic Club
1 2
Espanyol
La Liga 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 15:15
Celta Vigo
2 0
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
W D W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Arouca
1 2
Sporting CP
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Sporting CP
2 1
Paris Saint Germain
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Sporting CP
3 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 18:45
GIL Vicente
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
4 0
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Guimaraes
1 4
Sporting CP

Athletic Club vs Sporting CP: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Athletic Club and away matches for Sporting CP

Number of goals
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
1
30% 3
70% 7
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
10% 1
Double Chance
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
70% 7
30% 3
Total Goals
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
20% 2
50% 5
Total Corners
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
xG
1.47
1.74
xGa
1.55
0.86
Number of goals
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
1
10% 1
70% 7
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
90% 9
30% 3
Total Goals
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Yes
40% 4
90% 9
No
60% 6
10% 1
Number of goals
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
0-1
80% 8
40% 4
2-3
10% 1
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Missing Players
Athletic Club
5
d
- Injured - Doping
- Injured - Knee Injury
25
f
- Injured - Inactive
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
14
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Groin Injury
Sporting CP
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Injury
7
m
- Injured - Foot Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
0.77 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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