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Atalanta
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Fiorentina
Atalanta vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 9 December, 2025 14:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.24 vs 1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.91%
⭐
0:1
10.53%
⭐
0:2
6.23%
0:3
2.45%
0:4
0.73%
0:5
0.17%
1
1:0
9.91%
⭐
1:1
12.85%
🔥
1:2
8.27%
1:3
3.52%
1:4
1.12%
1:5
0.28%
2
2:0
5.51%
⭐
2:1
7.78%
⭐
2:2
5.42%
2:3
2.49%
2:4
0.85%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
2.04%
⭐
3:1
3.12%
3:2
2.34%
3:3
1.15%
3:4
0.42%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0.57%
4:1
0.93%
4:2
0.75%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.13%
5:1
0.22%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Atalanta
VS
Chelsea
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
2.00
PPG
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
17%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.34
Avg xG
1.61
1.24
xG [Total: 2.55]
1.31
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
7
Corners [Total: 12]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
10
Fouls [Total: 23]
14
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Atalanta will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-09 at 2025-12-09 in the famous Gewiss Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atalanta, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Atalanta or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-09
Time: 20:00
Location: Gewiss Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atalanta vs Chelsea Tuesday, Dec 9th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
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Trends for Atalanta vs Chelsea Football 9 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Atalanta create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atalanta vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atalanta @ 3.65 ⚠️ 
Atalanta
- High xG PerformanceRecent10/10100%Atalanta create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Atalanta demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🛡️ Double Chance — Atalanta Win or Draw @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
⚡ Team Total Goals
Atalanta(1 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent10/10100%Atalanta rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent16/2176%Chelsea conceded under 1.5 goals in 16 of their last 21 UEFA Champions League matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent8/1080%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Atalanta disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Atalanta vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Chelsea is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: Atalanta is stronger in the final minutes (5 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Atalanta is stronger in the final minutes (5 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atalanta
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atalanta - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atalanta - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Chelsea often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Chelsea scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Atalanta excels in the closing minutes (5 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Atalanta scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.11
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atalanta):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Atalanta vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Tue 9 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Atalanta vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atalanta and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atalanta
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Atalanta
Chelsea
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atalanta
Chelsea
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atalanta
Chelsea
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Atalanta
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atalanta
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Atalanta
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
40%
4
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Atalanta
Chelsea
xG
1.53
1.74
xGa
0.96
1.1
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atalanta
Chelsea
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Atalanta
Chelsea
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atalanta
Chelsea
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atalanta
Chelsea
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atalanta
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Atalanta
Chelsea
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Atalanta
Chelsea
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Atalanta
Chelsea
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Atalanta
Chelsea
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Atalanta
Chelsea
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Chelsea Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 35.18% | Low | 2.65 |
| Under 1.5 | 64.82% | Medium | 1.50 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 37.67% | Low | 1.91 |
| Under 1.5 | 62.33% | Medium | 1.93 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 12.93% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 87.07% | High | 1.13 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.52% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.48% | High | 1.26 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Atalanta
Chelsea
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1.8 | 9 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 1 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 13 | 3.3 | 10 | 4.6 | 23 |
| Fouls | 8 | 16 | 11.3 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 2.8 | 14 |
| Shots | 20.5 | 41 | 11.3 | 34 | 15 | 75 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 8 | 3.7 | 11 | 3.8 | 19 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 9 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.4 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 1 | 2.5 | 5 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 8 | 2.5 | 5 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Corners | 6 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 5.2 | 26 |
| Fouls | 15 | 45 | 12.5 | 25 | 14 | 70 |
| Offsides | 3.3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2.8 | 14 |
| Shots | 15 | 45 | 12 | 24 | 13.8 | 69 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 25 |
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