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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
13 Dec 2025-19:45
Atalanta
Atalanta
12th place
- : -
13 Dec 2025 14:45
Cagliari
Cagliari
15th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Atalanta vs Cagliari: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 14:45

1×2 Prediction
Atalanta
62%23%15%
AtalantaDrawCagliari
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
57%43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
58%42%
NoYes
Team Total - Atalanta
Under 2.5
75%25%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Cagliari
Under 1.5
83%17%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Atalanta/Draw
85%15%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Cagliari +1.5
70%30%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Cagliari +1.5
Odds: 1.89
70.1%
EV: +32.4%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.54 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.47%
0:1
7.56%
0:2
2.73%
0:3
0.66%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
16.04%
🔥
1:1
11.66%
1:2
4.24%
1:3
1.03%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
12.28%
2:1
9%
2:2
3.3%
2:3
0.8%
2:4
0.15%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
6.27%
3:1
4.63%
3:2
1.71%
3:3
0.42%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.4%
4:1
1.79%
4:2
0.66%
4:3
0.16%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.74%
5:1
0.55%
5:2
0.21%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (16.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.5%
0
23.6%
1
26.7%
2
20.2%
3
11.5%
4
5.2%
5
1.8%
6
0.5%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Atalanta
vs
Cagliari
Dec 13, 19:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
Cremonese
w l l l w
>
13
4
5
4
16
17
-1
17
12
Atalanta
d l l l w
>
13
3
7
3
16
14
2
16
13
Torino
d d d l l
>
13
3
5
5
12
23
-11
14
14
Lecce
l w d l w
>
13
3
4
6
10
17
-7
13
15
Cagliari
l l d d l
>
13
2
5
6
13
19
-6
11
16
Genoa
l w d d w
>
13
2
5
6
13
20
-7
11
Last 6 Matches
Atalanta
VS
Cagliari
3/6 (50%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.83 PPG 0.50
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
17% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.34 Avg xG 0.82
Atalanta
W L L W W
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Atalanta
2 0
Fiorentina
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 3
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Napoli
3 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Atalanta
0 3
Sassuolo
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Marseille
0 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Udinese
1 0
Atalanta
Cagliari
L L D D L
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Juventus
2 1
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Cagliari
3 3
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Como
0 0
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lazio
2 0
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Oct 2025 - 17:30
Cagliari
1 2
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Verona
2 2
Cagliari
59% Draw 16%
43% Over 2.5 57%
42% Both Teams Score 58%
2.09 xPTS 0.91
1.54 xG [Total: 2.27] 0.73
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
7 Corners [Total: 10] 3
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
10 Fouls [Total: 25] 14
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 3
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Atalanta will take on Cagliari as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-13 at 2025-12-13 in the famous Gewiss Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atalanta, and the visiting side, Cagliari. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Atalanta or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-13 Time: 19:45 Location: Gewiss Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atalanta vs Cagliari Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 14:45 Football

Value Bets

9 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip High Value
Asian Handicap Cagliari +1.5
Odds: 1.88
70.1%
EV: +31.7% Kelly: $18.03
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High Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 2.19
56.6%
EV: +23.9% Kelly: $10.04
Bet Now
High Value
Asian Handicap Cagliari +2
Odds: 1.50
78.8%
EV: +18.3% Kelly: $18.26
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Value
Asian Handicap Cagliari +2.5
Odds: 1.30
87.6%
EV: +13.9% Kelly: $23.16
Bet Now
Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 7.00
16%
EV: +11.7% Kelly: $0.98
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Atalanta NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.67
62.2%
EV: +3.9% Kelly: $2.93
Bet Now
Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.75
58.1%
EV: +1.7% Kelly: $1.15
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:28:16
spinner

Trends for Atalanta vs Cagliari Football 13 Dec, 2025 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Atalanta create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Atalanta rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Atalanta vs Cagliari

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Atalanta

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Cagliari

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.1

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Atalanta - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Cagliari - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Atalanta - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Cagliari - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Atalanta has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Atalanta handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.252
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.002 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atalanta):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Cagliari):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Atalanta
Cagliari

Atalanta vs Cagliari Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A

Atalanta vs Cagliari: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atalanta and away matches for Cagliari

Number of goals

Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Atalanta
Cagliari
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Atalanta
Cagliari
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Atalanta
Cagliari
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Atalanta
Cagliari
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
70% 7
4+
10% 1
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Atalanta
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Atalanta
Cagliari
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Atalanta
Cagliari
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
40% 4
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Atalanta
Cagliari
xG
1.53
0.84
xGa
0.96
1.43

Number of goals

Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Atalanta
Cagliari
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Atalanta
Cagliari
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
30% 3
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Atalanta
Cagliari
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Atalanta
Cagliari
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Atalanta
Cagliari
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
Cagliari
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Atalanta
Cagliari
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Atalanta
Cagliari
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
10% 1
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Atalanta
Cagliari
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
90% 9
50% 5
X2
60% 6
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Atalanta
Cagliari
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Atalanta
Cagliari
Yes
80% 8
30% 3
No
20% 2
70% 7
Team comparison
Prediction
Cagliari AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
12.4%
Low
3.71
1.0%
Low
N/A
-2
21.2%
Low
2.90
3.0%
Low
N/A
-1.5
29.9%
Low
2.07
4.9%
Low
17.00
-1
43.3%
Low
1.52
11.2%
Low
16.00
-0.5
56.7%
Medium
1.38
17.5%
Low
6.50
+0.5
82.5%
High
1.07
43.3%
Low
3.44
+1
88.8%
High
1.01
56.7%
Medium
2.65
+1.5
95.1%
High
1.01
70.1%
High
1.88
+2
97.0%
High
N/A
78.8%
High
1.50
+2.5
99.0%
High
N/A
87.6%
High
1.30
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.545.55%Low1.49
Under 1.554.45%Medium2.70
AwayOver 1.516.63%Low5.75
Under 1.583.37%High1.17
HomeOver 2.520.13%Low2.55
Under 2.579.87%High1.55
AwayOver 2.53.79%Low19.00
Under 2.596.21%High1.02
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
15 Feb
- 14:00
Atalanta
Cagliari
0.44
xG
0.18
0
0
14 Dec
- 14:00
Cagliari
Atalanta
1.51
xG
1.46
0
1
7 Apr
- 16:00
Cagliari
Atalanta
2
1
24 Sep
- 13:00
Atalanta
Cagliari
2
0
6 Feb
- 11:30
Atalanta
Cagliari
1
2
6 Nov
- 19:45
Cagliari
Atalanta
1
2
club logo
Atalanta
Cagliari
Played: 6
Wins
3
Draws
1
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
0.8
5
5
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
10
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
15
1
0.2
Red Cards
0
3
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
34
5.7
Corners
3
18
64
10.7
Fouls
13.2
79
11
1.8
Offsides
1.7
10
69
11.5
Shots
8.3
50
23
3.8
Shots on Goal
2.7
16
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 4 3 7
Losses 1 2 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 9 1.2 7 1.2 16
Goals Conceded 1 7 1.2 7 1.1 14
Yellow Cards 1.4 10 1.7 10 1.5 20
Red Cards 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.2 3
Corners 6.9 48 4 24 5.5 72
Fouls 10.3 72 9.7 58 10 130
Offsides 1.6 11 1.7 10 1.6 21
Shots 17.7 124 11.7 70 14.9 194
Shots on Goal 5.4 38 3.2 19 4.4 57
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.2 7 0.9 6 1 13
Goals Conceded 1.7 10 1.3 9 1.5 19
Yellow Cards 2.7 16 2.6 18 2.6 34
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.2 1 0.1 1 0.2 2
Corners 3.7 22 3.1 22 3.4 44
Fouls 14.5 87 15.3 107 14.9 194
Offsides 2 12 1.1 8 1.5 20
Shots 9 54 9.4 66 9.2 120
Shots on Goal 3.3 20 3.1 22 3.2 42
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