Atalanta vs Cagliari: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 14:45
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Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Atalanta
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atalanta vs Cagliari Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 14:45 Football
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Trends for Atalanta vs Cagliari Football 13 Dec, 2025 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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📈
Dominant Chance Creation
Atalanta create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
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🔐
Chance Suppression
Atalanta rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atalanta vs Cagliari, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atalanta @ 1.39 ✅ 
✅Atalanta
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Atalanta create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent23/3077%Atalanta are unbeaten in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1675%Atalanta are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
❌Cagliari
- Not WinRecent14/1688%Cagliari have not won in 14 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
- Not WinRecent24/3080%Cagliari have not won in 24 of their last 30 Serie A matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.13 
Atalanta(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Atalanta score (1.29/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.19 ⚠️ 
Atalanta(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
Cagliari(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent13/1681%Cagliari scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Atalanta Win or Draw @ 1.09 ✅ 
✅Atalanta
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Atalanta are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches vs Cagliari
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1681%Atalanta are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent23/3077%Atalanta are unbeaten in 23 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1675%Atalanta are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
❌Cagliari
- Not WinRecent14/1688%Cagliari have not won in 14 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
- Not WinRecent24/3080%Cagliari have not won in 24 of their last 30 Serie A matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Atalanta Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.49 ✅ 
✅Atalanta
- Scored 1+H2H5/683%Atalanta scored 1+ goals in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Cagliari
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Atalanta(2 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Atalanta average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
- Few CardsRecent12/1675%Atalanta receive 0-1 card in 12 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
Cagliari(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Cagliari average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 2.0) — rank #2 in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.86 ⚠️ 
Atalanta(1 trends) — avg 6.9 (+55% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Atalanta average 6.9 corners/match at home (+55% above league avg 4.4)
Cagliari(1 trends) — avg 3.9 (-19% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/683%Cagliari win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches vs Atalanta
+1 Streak trend is hidden
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Atalanta vs Cagliari
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atalanta
✈️ Cagliari
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atalanta - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Cagliari - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atalanta - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Cagliari - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Atalanta has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Atalanta handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atalanta):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Cagliari):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Atalanta vs Cagliari Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A
Atalanta vs Cagliari: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atalanta and away matches for Cagliari
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12.4% Low 3.71 | 1.0% Low N/A |
| -2 | 21.2% Low 2.90 | 3.0% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 29.9% Low 2.07 | 4.9% Low 17.00 |
| -1 | 43.3% Low 1.52 | 11.2% Low 16.00 |
| -0.5 | 56.7% Medium 1.38 | 17.5% Low 6.50 |
| +0.5 | 82.5% High 1.07 | 43.3% Low 3.44 |
| +1 | 88.8% High 1.01 | 56.7% Medium 2.65 |
| +1.5 | 95.1% High 1.01 | 70.1% High 1.88 |
| +2 | 97.0% High N/A | 78.8% High 1.50 |
| +2.5 | 99.0% High N/A | 87.6% High 1.30 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 45.55% | Low | 1.49 |
| Under 1.5 | 54.45% | Medium | 2.70 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 16.63% | Low | 5.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 83.37% | High | 1.17 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 20.13% | Low | 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 79.87% | High | 1.55 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 3.79% | Low | 19.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 96.21% | High | 1.02 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
3
1
2
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.2 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.1 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 6.9 | 48 | 4 | 24 | 5.5 | 72 |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 72 | 9.7 | 58 | 10 | 130 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Shots | 17.7 | 124 | 11.7 | 70 | 14.9 | 194 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.4 | 38 | 3.2 | 19 | 4.4 | 57 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 7 | 0.9 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 10 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.5 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 16 | 2.6 | 18 | 2.6 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 22 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.4 | 44 |
| Fouls | 14.5 | 87 | 15.3 | 107 | 14.9 | 194 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Shots | 9 | 54 | 9.4 | 66 | 9.2 | 120 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 20 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.2 | 42 |


Serie A 2025-2026