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Atalanta vs AS Roma: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 13:45
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.08 vs 1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.5%
0:1
12.35%
⭐
0:2
7.26%
⭐
0:3
2.85%
⭐
0:4
0.84%
⭐
0:5
0.2%
⭐
1
1:0
11.25%
1:1
13.32%
🔥
1:2
7.89%
1:3
3.11%
⭐
1:4
0.92%
⭐
1:5
0.22%
2
2:0
6.03%
2:1
7.18%
2:2
4.28%
2:3
1.7%
2:4
0.51%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
2.15%
3:1
2.58%
3:2
1.55%
3:3
0.62%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.58%
4:1
0.7%
4:2
0.42%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.12%
5:1
0.15%
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
10
1
4
22
13
9
31
4
10
0
6
17
10
7
30
5
8
5
3
21
15
6
29
8
6
5
5
17
11
6
23
9
▲
5
7
4
20
18
2
22
10
▼
6
3
7
21
20
1
21
1.09
xG
1.21
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Atalanta
VS
AS Roma
5/6 (83%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.50
PPG
1.50
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
2.03
Avg xG
0.95
Missing Players
-
Injured - heart problems
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Atalanta will take on AS Roma as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous Gewiss Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Atalanta, and the visiting side, AS Roma. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Atalanta or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-03
Time: 19:45
Location: Gewiss Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Atalanta vs AS Roma Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 13:45 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Atalanta vs AS Roma Football 3 Jan, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
AS Roma have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Atalanta vs AS Roma, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Atalanta @ 2.27 ✅ 
Atalanta
- High xG PerformanceH2H8/8100%Atalanta create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenH2H6/875%Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 6 8 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Atalanta create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Atalanta demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
Atalanta(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Atalanta score (1.38/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 47%)
AS Roma(2 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/863%AS Roma score well (1.13/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.75 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 63% of matches
- BTTS NoRecent12/1675%At least one team failed to score in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/862.5%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 8 H2H matches (62.5%%)
AS Roma rarely concede (75% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.84 ✅
Atalanta(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Atalanta scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
AS Roma(2 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H7/888%AS Roma scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (75% + 88%) • Low scoring patterns strongly support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — AS Roma Win or Draw @ 1.72 ✅ 
AS Roma
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%AS Roma concede only 0.75 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1675%AS Roma are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
AS Roma demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — AS Roma Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.06 ✅ 
AS Roma
- Scored 1+Recent6/875%AS Roma scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
AS Roma's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Atalanta(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-32% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Atalanta average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-23% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
AS Roma(1 trends) — avg 1.9 (-14% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1684.5%AS Roma average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+13% above league avg 2.0)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 8 H2H matches
Atalanta disciplined play balances AS Roma aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
Atalanta(1 trends) — avg 6.6 (+51% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Atalanta average 6.6 corners/match at home (+51% above league avg 4.4)
AS Roma(1 trends) — avg 5.0 (+14% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/879%AS Roma average 5.0 corners/match in away matches (+14% above league avg 4.4)
Combined average: 11.6 corners/match (Atalanta 6.6 + AS Roma 5.0) • Atalanta dominance pushes total over threshold
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Atalanta vs AS Roma
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Atalanta
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07
✈️ AS Roma
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.11
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Atalanta - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ AS Roma - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Atalanta - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
✈️ AS Roma - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Atalanta is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Atalanta to win the first half
- Overall Result: AS Roma has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider AS Roma handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.144
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Atalanta):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (AS Roma):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Atalanta vs AS Roma Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A
Atalanta vs AS Roma: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Atalanta and away matches for AS Roma
Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
AS Roma
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atalanta
AS Roma
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Atalanta
AS Roma
1
60%
6
60%
6
X
0%
0
0%
0
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Atalanta
AS Roma
12
100%
10
100%
10
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
40%
4
40%
4
Total Goals
Atalanta
AS Roma
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Atalanta
Under
Over
AS Roma
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atalanta
AS Roma
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Atalanta
AS Roma
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Atalanta
AS Roma
xG
1.55
1.32
xGa
1.06
1.29
Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
AS Roma
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atalanta
AS Roma
Yes
0%
0
0%
0
No
100%
10
100%
10
1X2
Atalanta
AS Roma
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Atalanta
AS Roma
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Atalanta
AS Roma
0-1
80%
8
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atalanta
AS Roma
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Number of goals
Atalanta
Under
Over
AS Roma
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Atalanta
AS Roma
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Atalanta
AS Roma
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Atalanta
AS Roma
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Atalanta
AS Roma
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Atalanta
AS Roma
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Atalanta Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 26.59% | Low | 2.27 |
| Under 1.5 | 73.41% | High | 1.67 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 30.16% | Low | 3.06 |
| Under 1.5 | 69.84% | Medium | 1.41 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 8.11% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 91.89% | High | 1.18 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 9.99% | Low | 8.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.01% | High | 1.09 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Atalanta
AS Roma
Played:
8
Wins
5
5
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
12
1.5
Goals
1.1
9
9
1.1
Goals Conceded
1.5
12
24
3
Yellow Cards
1.6
13
2
0.3
Red Cards
0.1
1
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.1
1
40
5
Corners
3.8
30
113
14.1
Fouls
13.6
109
12
1.5
Offsides
1.5
12
101
12.6
Shots
11.9
95
34
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.9
31
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.3 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 8 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.5 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 53 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.8 | 92 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 85 | 10.4 | 83 | 10.5 | 168 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 11 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.4 | 22 |
| Shots | 17.6 | 141 | 12.3 | 98 | 14.9 | 239 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.8 | 46 | 3.5 | 28 | 4.6 | 74 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.6 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 16 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.2 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 7 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 42 | 5 | 40 | 5.1 | 82 |
| Fouls | 13 | 104 | 15.5 | 124 | 14.3 | 228 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 13 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.4 | 22 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 113 | 12.1 | 97 | 13.1 | 210 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.4 | 35 | 5 | 40 | 4.7 | 75 |
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