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AS Roma vs Genoa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 29 December, 2025 14:45
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.48 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.16%
0:1
8.02%
0:2
2.88%
⭐
0:3
0.69%
⭐
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
16.42%
🔥
1:1
11.88%
1:2
4.3%
1:3
1.04%
⭐
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
12.08%
2:1
8.8%
2:2
3.21%
2:3
0.78%
2:4
0.14%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
5.92%
3:1
4.34%
3:2
1.59%
3:3
0.39%
3:4
0.07%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.18%
4:1
1.61%
4:2
0.59%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.64%
5:1
0.48%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (16.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
10
1
4
22
13
9
31
4
10
0
6
17
10
7
30
5
8
5
3
21
15
6
29
15
3
6
7
17
23
-6
15
16
3
5
8
16
24
-8
14
17
3
5
7
10
18
-8
14
1.42
xG
0.73
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
AS Roma
VS
Genoa
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
33%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.95
Avg xG
1.39
Missing Players
-
Injured - heart problems
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, AS Roma will take on Genoa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-29 at 2025-12-29 in the famous Stadio Olimpico.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, AS Roma, and the visiting side, Genoa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : AS Roma or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-29
Time: 19:45
Location: Stadio Olimpico
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for AS Roma vs Genoa Monday, Dec 29th, 2025 at 14:45 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for AS Roma vs Genoa Football 29 Dec, 2025 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
AS Roma have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for AS Roma vs Genoa, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AS Roma @ 1.69 ✅ 
AS Roma
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%AS Roma concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Genoa
- Not WinH2H5/683%Genoa have not won in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches
AS Roma confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.62 ✅ 
AS Roma(2 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague7/888%AS Roma score well (1.00/match) but have strong defense at home (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 88% of matches
- BTTS NoRecent12/1675%At least one team failed to score in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Genoa(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/7100%Genoa score (1.57/match) and concede (1.71/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 47%)
AS Roma rarely concede (75% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.66 ⚠️
AS Roma(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Genoa(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Genoa score 1.57 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — AS Roma Win or Draw @ 1.15 ✅
AS Roma
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%AS Roma concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1675%AS Roma are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Genoa
- Not WinH2H5/683%Genoa have not won in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches
AS Roma confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Genoa Over 1.5 Goals @ 6.00 ⚠️ 
Genoa
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Genoa score 1.57 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
Genoa's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.45 ✅ 
AS Roma(2 trends) — avg 1.9 (-14% below league)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%AS Roma receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1684.5%AS Roma average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+13% above league avg 2.0)
Genoa(2 trends) — avg 2.1 (-5% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Genoa average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+17% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Genoa receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.45
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.18 ✅ 
AS Roma(2 trends) — avg 5.2 (+19% above league)
- Corner DominanceH2H5/683%AS Roma dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches
- Many CornersLeague8/884%AS Roma average 5.2 corners/match at home (+19% above league avg 4.4)
Genoa(1 trends) — avg 3.5 (-27% below league)
- Few CornersH2H6/6100%Genoa win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 6 Serie A matches
AS Roma drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.18
+4 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
AS Roma vs Genoa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: AS Roma is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 AS Roma
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.11
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Genoa
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.04
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 AS Roma - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Genoa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 AS Roma - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Genoa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: AS Roma excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of AS Roma scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: AS Roma has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider AS Roma handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.318
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.03
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (AS Roma):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Genoa):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
AS Roma vs Genoa Head-to-head statistics for Mon 29 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A
AS Roma vs Genoa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for AS Roma and away matches for Genoa
Number of goals
AS Roma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AS Roma
Genoa
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
1X2
AS Roma
Genoa
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
AS Roma
Genoa
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
AS Roma
Genoa
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Total Corners
AS Roma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AS Roma
Genoa
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
AS Roma
Genoa
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
xG(xGa)
AS Roma
Genoa
xG
1.32
1.34
xGa
1.29
1.3
Number of goals
AS Roma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AS Roma
Genoa
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
AS Roma
Genoa
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
AS Roma
Genoa
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
AS Roma
Genoa
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
AS Roma
Genoa
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
AS Roma
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
AS Roma
Genoa
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
AS Roma
Genoa
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
AS Roma
Genoa
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
AS Roma
Genoa
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
AS Roma
Genoa
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Genoa AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 42.37% | Low | 2.03 |
| Under 1.5 | 57.63% | Medium | 1.81 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 15.29% | Low | 6.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 84.71% | High | 1.16 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 17.75% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 82.25% | High | 1.24 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 3.31% | Low | 21.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 96.69% | High | 1.02 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
AS Roma
Genoa
Played:
6
Wins
3
3
Draws
2
2
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
8
1.3
Goals
1
6
6
1
Goals Conceded
1.3
8
13
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
11
2
0.3
Red Cards
0.2
1
3
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
34
5.7
Corners
2.7
16
67
11.2
Fouls
12.3
74
4
0.7
Offsides
1.3
8
108
18
Shots
9.7
58
29
4.8
Shots on Goal
4
24
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.6 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 16 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.2 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 7 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 42 | 5 | 40 | 5.1 | 82 |
| Fouls | 13 | 104 | 15.5 | 124 | 14.3 | 228 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 13 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.4 | 22 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 113 | 12.1 | 97 | 13.1 | 210 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.4 | 35 | 5 | 40 | 4.7 | 75 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.6 | 5 | 1.6 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 12 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.5 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 2.6 | 18 | 2.3 | 36 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 3.4 | 31 | 3.7 | 26 | 3.6 | 57 |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 128 | 13.3 | 93 | 13.8 | 221 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 11 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 98 | 10.6 | 74 | 10.8 | 172 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.4 | 31 | 4.4 | 31 | 3.9 | 62 |
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