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Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Arsenal
Arsenal
1st place
Form
VS
16:30
25 Jan 2026
Manchester United
Manchester United
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Arsenal vs Manchester United: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 25 January, 2026 10:30

Winner (1x2)1.52
Arsenal to Win
Probability 68%
Total Goals1.67
Over 2.5
Probability 71%
Both Teams to Score1.78
Yes
Probability 66%
Arsenal Total1.50
Home Over 1.5
Probability 73%
Manchester United Total1.23
Away Under 1.5
Probability 66%
Double Chance1.12
Arsenal/Draw
Probability 85%
Asian Handicap1.24
Manchester United +2.5
Probability 73%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Home Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.5
Win Prob. 73.5% EV: +10.2%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
16:30
Arsenal W 68%
:
Manchester United W 15%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Arsenal
w w w w d
14 Played
12 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (35 total)
xG
1.90 (26.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.6 (218 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
5.1 (71 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (146 total)
Offsides
1.9 (26 total)
13 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (22 total)
xG
1.60 (20.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (172 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (43% acc)
Corners
5.2 (67 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (54%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.3 (134 total)
Offsides
1.2 (15 total)
27 Played
21 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (57 total)
xG
1.70 (46.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (390 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (38% acc)
Corners
5.1 (138 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
15 (56%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (280 total)
Offsides
1.5 (41 total)
Manchester United
l w d d d
10 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (18 total)
xG
1.80 (17.7 total)
Shots per Match
17.4 (174 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (33% acc)
Corners
4.6 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (103 total)
Offsides
1.5 (15 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (18 total)
xG
1.70 (18.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.5 (171 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
8.3 (91 total)
Offsides
1.5 (17 total)
21 Played
8 Wins
8 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (36 total)
xG
1.70 (36.1 total)
Shots per Match
16.4 (345 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.2 (194 total)
Offsides
1.5 (32 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.61 vs 1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.37%
0:1
2.81%
0:2
1.66%
0:3
0.66%
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
6.15%
1:1
7.32%
1:2
4.36%
1:3
1.73%
1:4
0.51%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
7.98%
2:1
9.55%
🔥
2:2
5.71%
2:3
2.28%
2:4
0.68%
2:5
0.16%
3
3:0
6.9%
3:1
8.3%
3:2
4.99%
3:3
2%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.14%
4
4:0
4.48%
4:1
5.41%
4:2
3.27%
4:3
1.32%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
2.32%
5:1
2.82%
5:2
1.71%
5:3
0.69%
5:4
0.21%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.5%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.4%
0
9.0%
1
17.0%
2
21.5%
3
20.4%
4
15.6%
5
8.9%
6
3.8%
7
1.2%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ArsenalHDPManchester United
27.3%
Low@ 3.90
-2.5
1.7%
Very Low
36.9%
Low@ 3.30
-2
3.7%
Very Low
46.6%
Medium@ 2.28
-1.5
5.7%
@ 16.50Very Low
57.1%
Medium@ 1.72
-1
10.6%
@ 15.50Very Low
67.7%
High@ 1.45
-0.5
15.4%
@ 6.60Very Low
84.6%
Very High@ 1.11
+0.5
32.3%
@ 2.85Low
89.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
42.9%
@ 2.18Medium
94.2%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
53.4%
@ 1.74Medium
96.3%
Very High
+2
63.1%
@ 1.36High
98.3%
Very High
+2.5
72.7%
@ 1.24High

Team Total Predictions

ArsenalOutcomeManchester United
92.7%
Very High@ 1.11
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.65High
7.4%
Very Low@ 8.00
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 2.28Low
73.5%
High@ 1.51
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 4.40Low
26.6%
Low@ 2.63
Under 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.23High
48.4%
Medium@ 2.63
Over 2.5
12.1%
@ 14.25Very Low
51.6%
Medium@ 1.53
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.04Very High
26.6%
Low@ 5.00
Over 3.5
3.4%
@ 41.00Very Low
73.4%
High@ 1.17
Under 3.5
96.6%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Arsenal will take on Manchester United as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-01-25 at 2026-01-25 in the famous Emirates Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arsenal, and the visiting side, Manchester United. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Arsenal. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-25 Time: 16:30 Location: Emirates Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arsenal vs Manchester United Sunday, Jan 25th, 2026 at 10:30 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Premium Tip Over 2.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 65.5%
EV: +19.3%
Stake: $3.05
1.82
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 65.5%
EV: +16.6%
Stake: $3.21
1.78
Home Total Arsenal Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 73.5%
EV: +10.2%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Total Home Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 73.5%
EV: +10.2%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Win to Nil Arsenal NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 72.9%
EV: +7.9%
Stake: $5.21
1.48
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 82.9%
EV: +1.9%
Stake: $10.00
1.23
Match Winner Arsenal
Value
Prob: 68.2%
EV: +1.6%
Stake: $5.10
1.49
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:01:18
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Trends for Arsenal vs Manchester United Football 25 Jan, 2026 10:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Arsenal have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Arsenal vs Manchester United

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Arsenal

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Manchester United

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Arsenal - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Manchester United - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Arsenal - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Manchester United - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
17
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Arsenal has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Arsenal handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.201
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arsenal):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester United):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Arsenal
Manchester United

Arsenal vs Manchester United Head-to-head statistics for Sun 25 Jan, 2026 @ 10:30 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
w w w w d
>
21
15
4
2
40
14
26
49
2
Manchester City
w w d d d
>
21
13
4
4
45
19
26
43

6
Newcastle
d l w w w
>
21
9
5
7
32
27
5
32
7
21
8
8
5
36
32
4
32
8
Chelsea
d l d d l
>
21
8
7
6
34
24
10
31
Team comparison
Prediction
Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Arsenal
VS
Manchester United
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
7 Wins
2 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (18)
1 (11)
xG
1.60
1.10
Shots
14.9 (164)
11.5 (126)
Shots on Target
4.8 (53)
4.4 (48)
Corners
7.1 (78)
3.6 (40)
Defense
Conceded
1 (11)
1.6 (18)
xGa
1.10
1.60
Clean Sheets
5 (45%)
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 (21)
2.1 (23)
Fouls
10.3 (113)
9.9 (109)
Offsides
1 (11)
2 (22)
17 Aug
- 15:30
Manchester United
Arsenal
1.46
xG
1.05
0
1
9 Mar
- 16:30
Manchester United
Arsenal
1.52
xG
1.62
1
1
4 Dec
- 20:15
Arsenal
Manchester United
2.16
xG
0.22
2
0
12 May
- 15:30
Manchester United
Arsenal
0
1
3 Sep
- 15:30
Arsenal
Manchester United
3
1
22 Jan
- 16:30
Arsenal
Manchester United
3
2
4 Sep
- 15:30
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
1
23 Apr
- 11:30
Arsenal
Manchester United
3
1
2 Dec
- 20:15
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
2
30 Jan
- 17:30
Arsenal
Manchester United
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Arsenal
VS
Manchester United
5/6 (83%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.67 PPG 1.17
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
67% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.62 Avg xG 1.70
Arsenal
W W W W D
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Arsenal
0 0
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Bournemouth
2 3
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Arsenal
4 1
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Arsenal
2 1
Brighton
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Everton
0 1
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Arsenal
2 1
Wolves
Manchester United
L W D D D
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Burnley
2 2
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Leeds
1 1
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Manchester United
1 1
Wolves
Premier League 2025-2026
26 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
1 0
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Aston Villa
2 1
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
15 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
4 4
Bournemouth

Arsenal vs Manchester United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arsenal and away matches for Manchester United

Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Manchester United
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
1X2
Arsenal
Manchester United
1
70% 7
30% 3
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Arsenal
Manchester United
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
30% 3
70% 7
Total Goals
Arsenal
Manchester United
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Arsenal
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Manchester United
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Arsenal
Manchester United
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Arsenal
Manchester United
xG
1.66
1.85
xGa
0.92
0.94
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Manchester United
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
Arsenal
Manchester United
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Arsenal
Manchester United
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Arsenal
Manchester United
0-1
90% 9
60% 6
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Manchester United
Yes
80% 8
30% 3
No
20% 2
70% 7
Number of goals
Arsenal
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arsenal
Manchester United
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Arsenal
Manchester United
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
0% 0
20% 2
Double Chance
Arsenal
Manchester United
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
100% 10
80% 8
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Arsenal
Manchester United
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Arsenal
Manchester United
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
2.26 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
Reports: Liverpool and Man City Keeping a Close Eye on 'Exceptional' Bundesliga Star
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Gary Neville shares new Premier League title insight following Arsenal's defeat and Manchester City's victory on.
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Arsenal Intensifies Pursuit of PSG Star as Player Shows Interest in English Move
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Adam Wharton impresses with his exceptional passing skills as stats reveal he outshines Manchester United players.
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Premier League Odds: Manchester City Reduced to 13/10 for Title After Arsenal's Defeat to Villa
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Bayern Munich Starting Eleven Against VFB Stuttgart – Projected Lineup and Team Updates
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Arsenal and Villa Announce Starting XI for Premier League Clash
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🚨 Intense Showdown at Villa Park on
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Aston Villa Faces Arsenal Live: Premier League Match Coverage, Team Updates, Lineups, Broadcast Info, and Predictions
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Arsenal and Man City Compete for Bundesliga Star, Report Claims
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