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Arouca
Arouca vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 16 May, 2026 12:00
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16
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(24 total)
xG
1.10
(17.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(161 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(40% acc)
Corners
3.9
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
14
(224 total)
Offsides
1.1
(17 total)
17
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(20 total)
xG
0.80
(14.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(177 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(28% acc)
Corners
3.3
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
12.8
(217 total)
Offsides
1.5
(26 total)
33
Played
11
Wins
6
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(44 total)
xG
1.00
(32.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.2
(338 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
3.6
(118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(9 total)
Fouls
13.4
(441 total)
Offsides
1.3
(43 total)
17
Played
2
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(13 total)
xG
1.10
(18.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(193 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(28% acc)
Corners
3.6
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.5
(230 total)
Offsides
2
(34 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(13 total)
xG
1.00
(16.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.6
(137 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(37% acc)
Corners
3.8
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.4
(231 total)
Offsides
2.1
(33 total)
33
Played
6
Wins
10
Draws
17
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(26 total)
xG
1.10
(35.2 total)
Shots per Match
10
(330 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(32% acc)
Corners
3.7
(121 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14
(461 total)
Offsides
2
(67 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.06 vs 1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.04%
0:1
4.78%
0:2
2.26%
0:3
0.71%
0:4
0.17%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
9.52%
⭐
1:1
9.89%
1:2
5.09%
1:3
1.74%
1:4
0.44%
1:5
0.09%
2
2:0
8.98%
⭐
2:1
10.15%
🔥
⭐
2:2
5.66%
2:3
2.08%
2:4
0.57%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
5.65%
⭐
3:1
6.9%
⭐
3:2
4.15%
⭐
3:3
1.64%
3:4
0.48%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
2.66%
⭐
4:1
3.5%
⭐
4:2
2.25%
⭐
4:3
0.95%
⭐
4:4
0.3%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
1.01%
⭐
5:1
1.41%
⭐
5:2
0.97%
⭐
5:3
0.44%
⭐
5:4
0.14%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs Tondela Saturday, May 16th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Arouca vs Tondela Football 16 May, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent away matches
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Tondela create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs Tondela.
🏆 Match Winner — Tondela @ 2.33 ✅ 
Arouca
Relegation BattleLeague
Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
90%
Not WinRecent
Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
💡Tondela confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.10 
Tondela1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
5 / 863%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
Tondela2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
5 / 863%
Few GoalsRecent
Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Tondela Win or Draw @ 1.41 ✅
Arouca
Relegation BattleLeague
Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
90%
Not WinRecent
Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
💡Tondela confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arouca1 Trends — avg 3 (+13% above league)Many CardsRecent
Arouca receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
Tondela1 Trends — avg 2.7 (+2% above league)Many CardsRecent
Tondela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
12 / 1580%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
Arouca1 Trends — avg 5.1 (+12% above league)Many CornersLeague
Arouca average 5.1 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 4.6)
8 / 877%
💡Arouca drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.88
🎯 Betting Analysis
Arouca vs Tondela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Tondela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- Overall Result: Arouca has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Arouca handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.078
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.032
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Arouca vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 16 May, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
10
9
14
53
54
-1
39
10
▲
11
6
16
44
63
-19
39
11
▼
10
9
14
35
51
-16
39
16
6
11
16
30
56
-26
29
17
6
10
17
26
52
-26
28
18
3
11
19
27
67
-40
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Arouca or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Arouca
VS
Tondela
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
3 (3)
xG
0.70
0.70
Shots
11 (11)
5 (5)
Shots on Target
4 (4)
3 (3)
Corners
9 (9)
2 (2)
Defense
Conceded
3 (3)
1 (1)
xGa
0.70
0.70
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
3 (3)
Fouls
7 (7)
11 (11)
Offsides
0 (0)
5 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Tondela
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.15
Avg xG
1.09
Arouca vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Tondela
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Tondela
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
1X2
Arouca
Tondela
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Arouca
Tondela
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Arouca
Tondela
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Tondela
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Tondela
xG
1.23
0.92
xGa
1.17
1.42
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Tondela
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Arouca
Tondela
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
70%
7
70%
7
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Arouca
Tondela
12
30%
3
30%
3
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
Arouca
Tondela
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Tondela
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Tondela
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Arouca
Tondela
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Arouca
Tondela
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Arouca
Tondela
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Tondela
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1.90
xG
1.06
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
5
4
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-16 at 2026-05-16 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Arouca or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-16
Time: 17:00
Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!