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Arouca vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
11
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(14 total)
xG
0.90
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(108 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(37% acc)
Corners
4.1
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
14.3
(157 total)
Offsides
0.8
(9 total)
11
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(14 total)
xG
0.70
(8.1 total)
Shots per Match
10
(110 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(29% acc)
Corners
3.4
(37 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.4
(4 total)
Fouls
12.5
(138 total)
Offsides
1.5
(16 total)
22
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(28 total)
xG
0.80
(17.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(218 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(33% acc)
Corners
3.7
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(6 total)
Fouls
13.4
(295 total)
Offsides
1.1
(25 total)
11
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(16 total)
xG
1.30
(14.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(125 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.4
(4 total)
Fouls
14
(154 total)
Offsides
1.5
(17 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(11 total)
xG
1.10
(12.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(134 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(32% acc)
Corners
3.6
(40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15
(165 total)
Offsides
1.6
(18 total)
22
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(27 total)
xG
1.20
(26.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(259 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(33% acc)
Corners
4.2
(93 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(5 total)
Fouls
14.5
(319 total)
Offsides
1.6
(35 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No Asian Handicap predictions available
No Team Total predictions available
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Arouca or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:30
Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs Nacional Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 9:30 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Arouca vs Nacional Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs Nacional.
🏆 Match Winner — Nacional @ 3.08 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional
League Best DefenseLeague
Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 870%
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Unlock Streak TrendsArouca
Relegation BattleLeague
Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Nacional confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.73 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 366.7%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.98
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Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 366.7%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Balanced match with potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Nacional Win or Draw @ 1.62 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional
League Best DefenseLeague
Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 870%
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Unlock Streak TrendsArouca
Relegation BattleLeague
Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak Trends90%
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Nacional confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsArouca1 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Arouca scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional1 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 870%
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsArouca2 Trends — avg 2.9 (+8% above league)Many CardsH2H
Arouca receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 3100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Arouca receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional2 Trends — avg 2.7 (+1% above league)Many CardsH2H
Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 3100%
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 7.0 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsArouca1 Trends — avg 5.1 (+12% above league)Many CornersLeague
Arouca average 5.1 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 877%
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Unlock Streak TrendsNacional2 Trends — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)Few CornersH2H
Nacional win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersLeague
Nacional average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 877%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.1 corners/match (Arouca 5.1 + Nacional 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Arouca vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.16
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Arouca vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
5
8
9
26
39
-13
23
12
6
5
11
28
49
-21
23
13
▲
5
7
10
25
41
-16
22
14
▼
5
6
11
27
31
-4
21
15
▼
4
8
10
23
43
-20
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Arouca or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Arouca
VS
Nacional
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
xG
1.30
1.50
Shots
10.3 (31)
15.7 (47)
Shots on Target
4.3 (13)
3.7 (11)
Corners
5.7 (17)
3 (9)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (2)
1.7 (5)
xGa
1.50
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (4)
4.7 (14)
Red Cards
0.7 (2)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
17.7 (53)
11.7 (35)
Offsides
1 (3)
3.7 (11)
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Nacional
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.50
PPG
0.83
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.21
Avg xG
1.34
Arouca vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
50%
5
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Nacional
xG
1.12
1.32
xGa
1.16
1.43
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
20%
2
80%
8
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
80%
8
20%
2
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Arouca
Nacional
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Arouca
Nacional
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Arouca
Nacional
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Nacional
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
1.09
xG
1.44
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
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