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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Arouca
Arouca
15th place
Form
VS
20:30
7 Feb 2026
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Arouca vs Guimaraes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 7 February, 2026 14:30

Winner (1x2)-
Guimaraes to Win
Probability 45%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 53%
Arouca Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 91%
Guimaraes Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 82%
Double Chance-
Draw/Guimaraes
Probability 77%
Asian Handicap-
Guimaraes +2.5
Probability 98%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:30
Arouca W 23%
:
Guimaraes W 46%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Arouca
d d l w l
10 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (11 total)
xG
0.80 (8.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (98 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (35% acc)
Corners
4.4 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.9 (139 total)
Offsides
0.8 (8 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
0.60 (5.6 total)
Shots per Match
9.4 (85 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (26% acc)
Corners
3.3 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.6 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (4 total)
Fouls
13 (117 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
19 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (20 total)
xG
0.70 (13.6 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (183 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (31% acc)
Corners
3.9 (74 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
13.5 (256 total)
Offsides
1.1 (20 total)
Guimaraes
l d w l l
10 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (14 total)
xG
1.10 (11.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (128 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
4.4 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
15.5 (155 total)
Offsides
1.8 (18 total)
9 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6 total)
xG
1.10 (10.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (24% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.2 (119 total)
Offsides
1.9 (17 total)
19 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (20 total)
xG
1.10 (21.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (244 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (27% acc)
Corners
4.2 (79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.4 (274 total)
Offsides
1.8 (35 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.04 vs 1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.16%
0:1
12.92%
🔥
0:2
7.48%
0:3
2.88%
0:4
0.83%
0:5
0.19%
1
1:0
8.01%
1:1
12.87%
1:2
9.53%
1:3
4.48%
1:4
1.53%
1:5
0.41%
2
2:0
2.87%
2:1
5.91%
2:2
5.5%
2:3
3.14%
2:4
1.27%
2:5
0.39%
3
3:0
0.69%
3:1
1.72%
3:2
1.95%
3:3
1.34%
3:4
0.64%
3:5
0.23%
4
4:0
0.12%
4:1
0.36%
4:2
0.49%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.22%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.06%
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 0:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.2%
0
20.9%
1
23.2%
2
19.0%
3
12.7%
4
7.2%
5
3.6%
6
1.5%
7
0.5%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AroucaHDPGuimaraes
1.4%
Very Low
-2.5
6.6%
Very Low
4.0%
Very Low
-2
13.3%
Very Low
6.5%
Very Low
-1.5
20.0%
Low
14.7%
Very Low
-1
33.1%
Low
22.8%
Low
-0.5
46.2%
Medium
53.8%
Medium
+0.5
77.2%
High
66.9%
High
+1
85.3%
Very High
80.0%
High
+1.5
93.5%
Very High
86.7%
Very High
+2
96.0%
Very High
93.4%
Very High
+2.5
98.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

AroucaOutcomeGuimaraes
64.7%
High
Over 0.5
77.2%
High
35.4%
Low
Under 0.5
22.8%
Low
27.9%
Low
Over 1.5
43.6%
Medium
72.1%
High
Under 1.5
56.5%
Medium
8.8%
Very Low
Over 2.5
18.6%
Very Low
91.2%
Very High
Under 2.5
81.4%
Very High
2.2%
Very Low
Over 3.5
6.3%
Very Low
97.9%
Very High
Under 3.5
93.7%
Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Guimaraes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-07 at 2026-02-07 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Guimaraes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Guimaraes. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-07 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs Guimaraes Saturday, Feb 7th, 2026 at 14:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Arouca vs Guimaraes Football 7 Feb, 2026 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Guimaraes struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Guimaraes rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Arouca vs Guimaraes

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Arouca

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Guimaraes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Arouca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Guimaraes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Arouca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Guimaraes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Guimaraes has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Guimaraes handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.069
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Guimaraes):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Arouca
Guimaraes

Arouca vs Guimaraes Head-to-head statistics for Sat 7 Feb, 2026 @ 14:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Estoril
w w l w w
>
19
7
5
7
37
31
6
26
9
Guimaraes
l d w l l
>
19
7
4
8
20
27
-7
25
10
Alverca
l l w w l
>
19
7
2
10
19
33
-14
23

14
Santa Clara
d l d l l
>
19
4
5
10
14
21
-7
17
15
Arouca
d d l w l
>
19
4
5
10
20
44
-24
17
16
Casa Pia
w d l l d
>
19
3
6
10
20
38
-18
15
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Arouca
VS
Guimaraes
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
3 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9)
1.6 (11)
xG
0.80
0.80
Shots
10.1 (71)
14.4 (101)
Shots on Target
3.4 (24)
5.4 (38)
Corners
2.9 (20)
7.3 (51)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 (11)
1.3 (9)
xGa
0.80
0.80
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (28)
2.6 (18)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11 (77)
12.1 (85)
Offsides
1.7 (12)
2 (14)
30 Aug
- 17:00
Guimaraes
Arouca
0.33
xG
0.42
1
1
18 Jan
- 20:30
Guimaraes
Arouca
1.13
xG
1.65
2
2
12 Aug
- 19:15
Arouca
Guimaraes
0.21
xG
0.83
0
1
18 May
- 14:30
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
3
15 Jan
- 20:15
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
1
11 Mar
- 18:00
Guimaraes
Arouca
0
2
18 Sep
- 14:30
Arouca
Guimaraes
2
2
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Guimaraes
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 1.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
50% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.08 Avg xG 1.32
Arouca
D D L W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Arouca
1 2
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 18:00
AVS
0 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
3 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Arouca
2 2
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
0 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Arouca
1 0
Alverca
Guimaraes
L D W L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Estoril
4 2
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Guimaraes
1 4
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 1
Guimaraes

Arouca vs Guimaraes: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Guimaraes

Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Guimaraes
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
60% 6
40% 4
Double Chance
Arouca
Guimaraes
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Arouca
Guimaraes
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Guimaraes
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Arouca
Guimaraes
xG
0.84
1.16
xGa
1.29
1.35
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
50% 5
10% 1
Double Chance
Arouca
Guimaraes
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Arouca
Guimaraes
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arouca
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Arouca
Guimaraes
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Arouca
Guimaraes
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
Guimaraes
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.02 xG 1.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found