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Arouca vs GIL Vicente: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 28 December, 2025 9:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.58 vs 1.64
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.31%
⭐
0:1
19.17%
🔥
⭐
0:2
13.8%
⭐
0:3
6.63%
⭐
0:4
2.39%
⭐
0:5
0.69%
⭐
1
1:0
5.14%
1:1
10.02%
1:2
9.11%
1:3
5.28%
⭐
1:4
2.23%
⭐
1:5
0.74%
⭐
2
2:0
0.99%
2:1
2.44%
2:2
2.75%
2:3
1.92%
2:4
0.95%
⭐
2:5
0.36%
⭐
3
3:0
0.13%
3:1
0.38%
3:2
0.51%
3:3
0.43%
3:4
0.25%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.01%
4:1
0.04%
4:2
0.07%
4:3
0.07%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:1 (19.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
10
5
0
31
8
23
35
4
7
5
3
19
9
10
26
5
7
4
4
26
13
13
25
15
▲
3
4
8
16
29
-13
13
16
▼
3
4
8
15
37
-22
13
17
2
3
10
9
27
-18
9
0.52
xG
1.52
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
GIL Vicente
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
4/6 (67%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.67
PPG
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
33%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.68
Avg xG
0.81
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on GIL Vicente as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-28 at 2025-12-28 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, GIL Vicente. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Arouca or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-28
Time: 15:30
Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs GIL Vicente Sunday, Dec 28th, 2025 at 9:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Arouca vs GIL Vicente Football 28 Dec, 2025 9:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
GIL Vicente have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs GIL Vicente, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — GIL Vicente @ 2.08 ✅ 
GIL Vicente
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%GIL Vicente concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%GIL Vicente have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Arouca
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
GIL Vicente confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.02
GIL Vicente(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/863%GIL Vicente score well (1.25/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 63% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H4/666.7%Both teams scored in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
GIL Vicente(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%GIL Vicente have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1580%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — GIL Vicente Win or Draw @ 1.27 ✅
GIL Vicente
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%GIL Vicente concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
Arouca
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Arouca have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
GIL Vicente confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Arouca scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
GIL Vicente(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%GIL Vicente concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 2.7
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
GIL Vicente(2 trends) — avg 2.5 (-7% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1581.5%GIL Vicente average 3.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 2.7) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%GIL Vicente receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.08 ⚠️ 
Arouca(1 trends) — avg 5.1 (+12% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/877%Arouca average 5.1 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 4.6)
GIL Vicente(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+31% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%GIL Vicente average 6.0 corners/match in away matches (+31% above league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 11.1 corners/match (Arouca 5.1 + GIL Vicente 6.0) • GIL Vicente dominance pushes total over threshold
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Arouca vs GIL Vicente
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.12
✈️ GIL Vicente
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ GIL Vicente - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ GIL Vicente - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- Overall Result: GIL Vicente has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider GIL Vicente handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.06
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.043
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (GIL Vicente):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Arouca vs GIL Vicente Head-to-head statistics for Sun 28 Dec, 2025 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga
Arouca vs GIL Vicente: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for GIL Vicente
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Arouca
GIL Vicente
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Arouca
GIL Vicente
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Arouca
GIL Vicente
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
50%
5
20%
2
Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
GIL Vicente
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Arouca
GIL Vicente
xG
0.67
1.25
xGa
1.93
0.83
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
0.5
90%
9
10%
1
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Arouca
GIL Vicente
1
0%
0
60%
6
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Arouca
GIL Vicente
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
100%
10
40%
4
Total Goals
Arouca
GIL Vicente
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Arouca
GIL Vicente
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Arouca
GIL Vicente
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Arouca
GIL Vicente
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Arouca Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.93%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 13.46% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 86.54% | High | 1.29 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 50.47% | Medium | 2.27 |
| Under 1.5 | 49.53% | Low | 1.68 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 2.70% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 97.30% | High | 1.06 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 24.11% | Low | 5.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 75.89% | High | 1.18 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Played:
6
Wins
2
2
Draws
4
4
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
9
1.5
Goals
0.8
5
5
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.5
9
13
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.5
9
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
23
3.8
Corners
5.8
35
88
14.7
Fouls
12.5
75
11
1.8
Offsides
2.8
17
62
10.3
Shots
11.7
70
32
5.3
Shots on Goal
4
24
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 17 | 2.9 | 20 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.9 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 36 | 2.6 | 18 | 3.6 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14.5 | 116 | 14 | 98 | 14.3 | 214 |
| Offsides | 0.5 | 4 | 1.3 | 9 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 79 | 8 | 56 | 9 | 135 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 24 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.6 | 39 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.3 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 5 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.6 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 3.5 | 28 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.6 | 5 | 0.6 | 9 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 36 | 6 | 48 | 5.6 | 84 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 97 | 15.5 | 124 | 14.7 | 221 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 1.4 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 101 | 12.1 | 97 | 13.2 | 198 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 26 | 4.4 | 35 | 4.1 | 61 |
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