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14 Dec 2025-20:30
Arouca
Arouca
17th place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 15:30
Alverca
Alverca
9th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Arouca vs Alverca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 15:30

1×2 Prediction
Alverca
17%28%55%
AroucaDrawAlverca
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
58%42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
54%46%
NoYes
Team Total - Arouca
Under 2.5
96%4%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Alverca
Under 2.5
78%22%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Alverca
83%17%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Alverca +2.5
100%0%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.77 vs 1.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.5%
0:1
16.45%
🔥
0:2
10.83%
0:3
4.75%
0:4
1.56%
0:5
0.41%
1
1:0
5.83%
1:1
11.47%
1:2
10.04%
1:3
5.5%
1:4
2.17%
1:5
0.67%
2
2:0
1.36%
2:1
3.56%
2:2
4.08%
2:3
2.81%
2:4
1.34%
2:5
0.49%
3
3:0
0.21%
3:1
0.69%
3:2
0.99%
3:3
0.85%
3:4
0.49%
3:5
0.21%
4
4:0
0.02%
4:1
0.1%
4:2
0.17%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.02%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (16.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.5%
0
22.3%
1
23.6%
2
18.6%
3
11.9%
4
6.5%
5
3.0%
6
1.2%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Arouca
vs
Alverca
Dec 14, 20:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Guimaraes
w l l w w
>
12
5
2
5
14
17
-3
17
9
Alverca
w l l d w
>
12
4
2
6
14
19
-5
14
10
Estoril
d d w w l
>
12
3
4
5
19
18
1
13

16
Tondela
l l d l w
>
12
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
Arouca
d l l l l
>
12
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
18
AVS
l l d d l
>
12
0
3
9
8
29
-21
3
Last 6 Matches
Arouca
VS
Alverca
0/6 (0%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.17 PPG 1.67
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
3.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.50 Avg xG 1.09
Arouca
D L L L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Arouca
0 4
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
4 3
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Arouca
0 2
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Oct 2025 - 19:30
Benfica
5 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Oct 2025 - 14:30
Arouca
1 1
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Sep 2025 - 19:00
Arouca
0 4
FC Porto
Alverca
W L L D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 2
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Alverca
1 1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Oct 2025 - 20:15
Sporting CP
2 0
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Oct 2025 - 19:15
Alverca
0 4
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Oct 2025 - 17:00
AVS
1 3
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Sep 2025 - 14:30
Alverca
2 0
Guimaraes
17% Draw 55%
42% Over 2.5 58%
46% Both Teams Score 54%
0.83 xPTS 2.17
0.77 xG [Total: 2.39] 1.62
3 Yellow Cards [Total: 6] 3
4 Corners [Total: 6] 2
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
15 Fouls [Total: 30] 14
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 7] 3
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arouca will take on Alverca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Arouca. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arouca, and the visiting side, Alverca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Alverca. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs Alverca Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 15:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Arouca vs Alverca Football 14 Dec, 2025 15:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Alverca convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

🎯 Betting Analysis

Arouca vs Alverca

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Arouca

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Alverca

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
-0.06
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Arouca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Alverca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.17
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Arouca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Alverca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arouca shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Arouca winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Alverca has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Alverca handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.309
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.012
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.021 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.025

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alverca):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Arouca
Alverca

Arouca vs Alverca Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga

Arouca vs Alverca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Alverca

Number of goals

Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Arouca
Alverca
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Arouca
Alverca
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
60% 6
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Arouca
Alverca
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
90% 9
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Arouca
Alverca
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
50% 5
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Arouca
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Arouca
Alverca
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Arouca
Alverca
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Arouca
Alverca
xG
0.53
1.06
xGa
1.92
1.35

Number of goals

Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Arouca
Alverca
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Arouca
Alverca
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Arouca
Alverca
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Arouca
Alverca
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Arouca
Alverca
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Arouca
Under
Over
Alverca
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Arouca
Alverca
Yes
40% 4
0% 0
No
60% 6
100% 10

1X2

1X2
Arouca
Alverca
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
60% 6
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Arouca
Alverca
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
90% 9
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Arouca
Alverca
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Arouca
Alverca
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Alverca
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.4%
Low
N/A
10.6%
Low
N/A
-2
1.5%
Low
N/A
19.5%
Low
N/A
-1.5
2.6%
Low
N/A
28.4%
Low
N/A
-1
7.9%
Low
N/A
43.2%
Low
N/A
-0.5
13.1%
Low
N/A
58.0%
Medium
N/A
+0.5
42.0%
Low
N/A
86.9%
High
N/A
+1
56.8%
Medium
N/A
92.1%
High
N/A
+1.5
71.6%
High
N/A
97.4%
High
N/A
+2
80.5%
High
N/A
98.5%
High
N/A
+2.5
89.4%
High
N/A
99.6%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.95%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.518.05%LowN/A
Under 1.581.95%HighN/A
AwayOver 1.548.15%LowN/A
Under 1.551.85%MediumN/A
HomeOver 2.54.32%LowN/A
Under 2.595.68%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.522.18%LowN/A
Under 2.577.82%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Arouca
Alverca
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 5 12
Wins 1 1 2
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 7 1.2 6 1.1 13
Goals Conceded 2.4 17 3.4 17 2.8 34
Yellow Cards 3.1 22 1.6 8 2.5 30
Red Cards 0.3 2 0.4 2 0.3 4
Clean Sheets 0 0 0
Corners 4 28 2.2 11 3.3 39
Fouls 14.4 101 14.2 71 14.3 172
Offsides 0.6 4 1 5 0.8 9
Shots 8.6 60 8 40 8.3 100
Shots on Goal 2.9 20 2.2 11 2.6 31
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.8 5 1.5 9 1.2 14
Goals Conceded 1.7 10 1.5 9 1.6 19
Yellow Cards 2.3 14 2.7 16 2.5 30
Red Cards 0.2 1 0.2 1 0.2 2
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.2 1 0.3 3
Corners 3.5 21 2 12 2.8 33
Fouls 13.2 79 13.5 81 13.3 160
Offsides 1.3 8 1.5 9 1.4 17
Shots 10.5 63 7.3 44 8.9 107
Shots on Goal 4 24 3 18 3.5 42
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