Arouca vs Alverca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 15:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
Arouca
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arouca vs Alverca Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 15:30 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Arouca vs Alverca Football 14 Dec, 2025 15:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🟨
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
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🎯
Clinical Finishing
Alverca convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Arouca vs Alverca, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Arouca(1 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Alverca(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent5/683%Alverca efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Alverca(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Alverca score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Arouca(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Arouca scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Arouca(1 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Arouca are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Alverca(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent6/6100%Alverca are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Alverca(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent5/683%Alverca scored 1+ goals in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Arouca(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent13/1681%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Arouca receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Alverca(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent9/1275%Alverca receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Alverca(2 trends) — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Alverca average 3.0 corners/match in away matches (-34% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent3/475%Alverca win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
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Arouca vs Alverca
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Arouca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Arouca
✈️ Alverca
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Arouca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Alverca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Arouca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Alverca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Arouca scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Arouca is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Arouca to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arouca shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Arouca winning the second half
- Overall Result: Alverca has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Alverca handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arouca):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Alverca):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Arouca vs Alverca Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga
Arouca vs Alverca: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arouca and away matches for Alverca
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0.4% Low N/A | 10.6% Low N/A |
| -2 | 1.5% Low N/A | 19.5% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 2.6% Low N/A | 28.4% Low N/A |
| -1 | 7.9% Low N/A | 43.2% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 13.1% Low N/A | 58.0% Medium N/A |
| +0.5 | 42.0% Low N/A | 86.9% High N/A |
| +1 | 56.8% Medium N/A | 92.1% High N/A |
| +1.5 | 71.6% High N/A | 97.4% High N/A |
| +2 | 80.5% High N/A | 98.5% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 89.4% High N/A | 99.6% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.95%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 18.05% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 81.95% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 48.15% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 51.85% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 4.32% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 95.68% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 22.18% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 77.82% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
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0
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 | 17 | 2.8 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.1 | 22 | 1.6 | 8 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 4 | 28 | 2.2 | 11 | 3.3 | 39 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 101 | 14.2 | 71 | 14.3 | 172 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Shots | 8.6 | 60 | 8 | 40 | 8.3 | 100 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.9 | 20 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.6 | 31 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 5 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.2 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.6 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 2.7 | 16 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 79 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.3 | 160 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Shots | 10.5 | 63 | 7.3 | 44 | 8.9 | 107 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 3.5 | 42 |


Primeira Liga 2025-2026