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Form
Form
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
16th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
10th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Arminia Bielefeld or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 23 January, 2026 11:30

Winner (1x2)2.20
Arminia Bielefeld to Win
Probability 51%
Total Goals1.89
Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Both Teams to Score1.70
Yes
Probability 61%
Arminia Bielefeld Total1.23
Home Under 2.5
Probability 73%
Holstein Kiel Total1.50
Away Under 1.5
Probability 66%
Double Chance1.38
Arminia Bielefeld/Draw
Probability 74%
Asian Handicap1.24
Holstein Kiel +1.5
Probability 71%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
Odds 1.38
Win Prob. 73.7% EV: +1.7%
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Prediction League
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026
11:30
Arminia Bielefeld W 51%
:
Holstein Kiel W 26%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Arminia Bielefeld
l l d d l
9 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (17 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (121 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (31% acc)
Corners
5.9 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13 (117 total)
Offsides
2.8 (25 total)
9 Played
1 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (101 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (30% acc)
Corners
5.6 (50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.8 (115 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
18 Played
5 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (27 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (222 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (30% acc)
Corners
5.7 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (232 total)
Offsides
2.2 (39 total)
Holstein Kiel
l d d w w
9 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (11 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (113 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.9 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.8 (106 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (11 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (104 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
3.7 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.3 (120 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
18 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (22 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (217 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (33% acc)
Corners
4.3 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.6 (226 total)
Offsides
1.6 (28 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.82 vs 1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.92%
0:1
5.93%
0:2
3.57%
0:3
1.43%
0:4
0.43%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.88%
1:1
10.77%
🔥
1:2
6.53%
1:3
2.64%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.19%
2
2:0
8.01%
2:1
9.79%
2:2
5.98%
2:3
2.43%
2:4
0.74%
2:5
0.18%
3
3:0
4.82%
3:1
5.93%
3:2
3.64%
3:3
1.49%
3:4
0.46%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
2.18%
4:1
2.69%
4:2
1.67%
4:3
0.69%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.79%
5:1
0.98%
5:2
0.61%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.8%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.9%
0
14.8%
1
22.3%
2
22.6%
3
17.2%
4
10.5%
5
5.1%
6
1.9%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Arminia BielefeldHDPHolstein Kiel
13.0%
Very Low@ 8.40
-2.5
3.3%
@ 12.00Very Low
20.8%
Low@ 7.50
-2
6.7%
Very Low
28.6%
Low@ 3.90
-1.5
10.2%
@ 6.95Very Low
40.0%
Medium@ 3.30
-1
17.9%
@ 5.95Very Low
51.4%
Medium@ 2.18
-0.5
25.5%
@ 3.36Low
74.5%
High@ 1.39
+0.5
48.6%
@ 1.76Medium
82.1%
Very High@ 1.13
+1
60.0%
@ 1.36Medium
89.7%
Very High@ 1.10
+1.5
71.3%
@ 1.24High
93.2%
Very High
+2
79.2%
@ 1.03High
96.7%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
87.0%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

Arminia BielefeldOutcomeHolstein Kiel
83.8%
Very High@ 1.21
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.33High
16.2%
Very Low@ 4.50
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.25Low
54.3%
Medium@ 2.06
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 2.77Low
45.7%
Medium@ 1.79
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.50High
27.5%
Low@ 4.33
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 6.70Very Low
72.5%
High@ 1.23
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.13Very High
11.2%
Very Low@ 11.00
Over 3.5
3.6%
@ 19.00Very Low
88.8%
Very High@ 1.06
Under 3.5
96.5%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting 2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Arminia Bielefeld will take on Holstein Kiel as part of the 2025-2026 season in 2. Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-23 at 2026-01-23 in the famous SchücoArena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Arminia Bielefeld, and the visiting side, Holstein Kiel. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Arminia Bielefeld or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-23 Time: 17:30 Location: SchücoArena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel Friday, Jan 23rd, 2026 at 11:30 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Match Winner Arminia Bielefeld
Value
Prob: 50.5%
EV: +11.1%
Stake: $2.08
2.20
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 56.6%
EV: +7.0%
Stake: $2.81
1.89
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 60.7%
EV: +3.2%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 76.8%
EV: +2.1%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 73.7%
EV: +1.7%
Stake: $6.58
1.38
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-22 18:15:22
spinner

Trends for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel Football 23 Jan, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

🎯 Betting Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Arminia Bielefeld is stronger in the second half (19 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Arminia Bielefeld

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Holstein Kiel

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Arminia Bielefeld - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Holstein Kiel - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Arminia Bielefeld - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
14
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Holstein Kiel - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Arminia Bielefeld shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Arminia Bielefeld winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Arminia Bielefeld has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Arminia Bielefeld handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.223
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Arminia Bielefeld):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Holstein Kiel):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-head statistics for Fri 23 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
Karlsruher SC
l l l d w
>
18
7
4
7
27
33
-6
25
10
Holstein Kiel
l d d w w
>
18
6
5
7
22
22
0
23
11
VfL Bochum
w w d d d
>
18
6
4
8
26
25
1
22

15
18
6
2
10
20
32
-12
20
16
18
5
4
9
27
25
2
19
17
Dynamo Dresden
w l l l w
>
18
4
4
10
26
34
-8
16
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Arminia Bielefeld or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Arminia Bielefeld
VS
Holstein Kiel
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
0 (0)
Shots
12 (12)
15 (15)
Shots on Target
4 (4)
7 (7)
Corners
7 (7)
9 (9)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
2 (2)
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
5 (5)
0 (0)
Red Cards
1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
15 (15)
13 (13)
Offsides
1 (1)
3 (3)
10 Aug
- 11:30
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
0
2
Last 6 Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
VS
Holstein Kiel
0/6 (0%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.33 PPG 1.33
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
33% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
Arminia Bielefeld
L L D D L
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 0
Arminia Bielefeld
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Hertha BSC
1 1
Arminia Bielefeld
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:00
Arminia Bielefeld
0 0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 12:00
VfL Bochum
1 0
Arminia Bielefeld
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Arminia Bielefeld
1 2
Preußen Münster
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
2 0
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
L D D W W
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Holstein Kiel
2 0
SC Paderborn 07
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Holstein Kiel
2 1
Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:00
1. FC Magdeburg
3 3
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 1
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 12:00
Holstein Kiel
0 1
Hertha BSC
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 12:30
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4 1
Holstein Kiel

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Arminia Bielefeld and away matches for Holstein Kiel

Number of goals
Arminia Bielefeld
Under
Over
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
1X2
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Arminia Bielefeld
Under
Over
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Number of goals
Arminia Bielefeld
Under
Over
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Arminia Bielefeld
Under
Over
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Missing Players
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
4
m
- Injured - Concussion
1.80 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
HSV player scores in stoppage time despite not having played a minute in the Bundesliga
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