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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Angers
Angers
10th place
Form
VS
20:05
17 Jan 2026
Marseille
Marseille
3rd place
Form
AI Prediction Marseille Under 2.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Angers vs Marseille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 14:05

Winner (1x2)1.65
Marseille to Win
Probability 47%
Total Goals2.01
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.91
Yes
Probability 53%
Angers Total1.24
Home Under 1.5
Probability 71%
Marseille Total2.13
Away Under 1.5
Probability 56%
Double Chance1.17
Draw/Marseille
Probability 74%
Asian Handicap1.21
Angers +2
Probability 84%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Marseille Under 2.5 Goals
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 81.4% EV: +9.1%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
20:05
Angers W 26%
:
Marseille W 47%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Angers
w l w w l
8 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.20 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (86 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (41% acc)
Corners
4.5 (36 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.3 (106 total)
Offsides
1.8 (14 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6 total)
xG
0.60 (5.6 total)
Shots per Match
7.1 (64 total)
Shots on Target
2.3 (33% acc)
Corners
2.7 (24 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
2.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.4 (85 total)
Offsides
1.8 (16 total)
17 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (18 total)
xG
0.90 (15.3 total)
Shots per Match
8.8 (150 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (37% acc)
Corners
3.5 (60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.2 (191 total)
Offsides
1.8 (30 total)
Marseille
d l w w l
12 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (30 total)
xG
1.80 (21.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (166 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (42% acc)
Corners
5.2 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
13.7 (164 total)
Offsides
1.3 (16 total)
11 Played
5 Wins
0 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (17 total)
xG
1.30 (13.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (137 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (38% acc)
Corners
4.8 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.5 (126 total)
Offsides
1 (11 total)
23 Played
13 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (47 total)
xG
1.50 (35.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (303 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (40% acc)
Corners
5 (115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
12.6 (290 total)
Offsides
1.2 (27 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.06 vs 1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.44%
0:1
11.96%
0:2
8.48%
0:3
4%
0:4
1.42%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
8.42%
1:1
12.46%
🔥
1:2
9.2%
1:3
4.52%
1:4
1.67%
1:5
0.49%
2
2:0
4.2%
2:1
6.48%
2:2
4.98%
2:3
2.54%
2:4
0.97%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
1.4%
3:1
2.24%
3:2
1.79%
3:3
0.95%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.58%
4:2
0.48%
4:3
0.26%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.12%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.4%
0
20.4%
1
25.1%
2
21.1%
3
13.5%
4
7.1%
5
3.0%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AngersHDPMarseille
2.7%
Very Low
-2.5
8.6%
@ 5.25Very Low
6.2%
Very Low
-2
15.7%
@ 4.64Very Low
9.6%
Very Low@ 12.00
-1.5
22.7%
@ 2.75Low
18.1%
Very Low@ 11.00
-1
34.7%
@ 2.08Low
26.5%
Low@ 5.25
-0.5
46.7%
@ 1.62Medium
53.3%
Medium@ 2.38
+0.5
73.5%
@ 1.16High
65.3%
High@ 1.82
+1
81.9%
@ 1.04Very High
77.3%
High@ 1.50
+1.5
90.4%
@ 1.03Very High
84.3%
Very High@ 1.21
+2
93.8%
Very High
91.4%
Very High@ 1.16
+2.5
97.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

AngersOutcomeMarseille
65.4%
High@ 1.62
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.15High
34.7%
Low@ 2.29
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 5.65Low
28.6%
Low@ 4.25
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 1.73Medium
71.4%
High@ 1.24
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 2.13Medium
9.2%
Very Low@ 13.50
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 3.30Very Low
90.8%
Very High@ 1.05
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.34Very High
2.3%
Very Low@ 41.00
Over 3.5
6.3%
@ 7.00Very Low
97.7%
Very High@ 1.01
Under 3.5
93.7%
@ 1.11Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Angers will take on Marseille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Stade Raymond-Kopa. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Angers, and the visiting side, Marseille. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Marseille. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 20:05 Location: Stade Raymond-Kopa Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Angers vs Marseille Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 14:05 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Asian Handicap Angers +1
High Value
Prob: 65.3%
EV: +18.9%
Stake: $3.05
1.82
Premium Tip Angers +1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Away Total Marseille Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 81.4%
EV: +9.1%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Total Away Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 81.4%
EV: +9.1%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Win to Nil Marseille NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 75.5%
EV: +8.0%
Stake: $5.81
1.43
Asian Handicap Angers +2.5
Value
Prob: 91.4%
EV: +6.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.16
Asian Handicap Angers +2
Value
Prob: 84.3%
EV: +2.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.21
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-04 18:03:14
spinner

Trends for Angers vs Marseille Football 17 Jan, 2026 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Stalemate

    Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Marseille rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Angers vs Marseille

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Marseille is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Angers

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Marseille

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Angers - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Marseille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Angers - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Marseille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Marseille scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Marseille is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Marseille to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Marseille has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Marseille handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.226
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.084
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.113

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Angers):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Marseille):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Angers
Marseille

Angers vs Marseille Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
17
12
3
2
37
15
22
39
3
Marseille
w d l w l
>
17
10
2
5
36
17
19
32
4
Lille
w w w w l
>
17
10
2
5
33
22
11
32

9
Monaco
l w l l l
>
17
7
2
8
27
30
-3
23
10
Angers
w l w w l
>
17
6
4
7
18
20
-2
22
11
17
6
4
7
23
27
-4
22
Team comparison
Prediction
Marseille Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Angers
VS
Marseille
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
3 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (6)
2.3 (16)
xG
0.70
1.60
Shots
8.6 (60)
14 (98)
Shots on Target
2.6 (18)
6 (42)
Corners
3 (21)
5 (35)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 (16)
0.9 (6)
xGa
1.60
0.70
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 (8)
1.6 (11)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
9.4 (66)
12.1 (85)
Offsides
2.7 (19)
2.1 (15)
29 Oct
- 20:05
Marseille
Angers
1.33
xG
0.64
2
2
Prob 94%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.25
9 Feb
- 19:45
Angers
Marseille
0.49
xG
2.47
0
2
4 Oct
- 18:45
Marseille
Angers
0.89
xG
0.83
1
1
14 May
- 18:45
Marseille
Angers
3
1
30 Sep
- 19:00
Angers
Marseille
0
3
4 Feb
- 20:00
Marseille
Angers
5
2
22 Sep
- 19:00
Angers
Marseille
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Angers
VS
Marseille
4/6 (67%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.00 PPG 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.99 Avg xG 1.33
Angers
W L W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
LE Havre
2 1
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Angers
4 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Nice
0 1
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Angers
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 1
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Angers
2 0
Auxerre
Marseille
D L W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Marseille
1 0
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Union St. Gilloise
2 3
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lille
1 0
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Marseille
2 2
Toulouse
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Marseille
2 1
Newcastle

Angers vs Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Angers and away matches for Marseille

Number of goals
Angers
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Angers
Marseille
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Angers
Marseille
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Angers
Marseille
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
50% 5
40% 4
Total Goals
Angers
Marseille
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Angers
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Angers
Marseille
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Angers
Marseille
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Angers
Marseille
xG
0.97
1.58
xGa
1.43
1.21
Number of goals
Angers
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Angers
Marseille
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2
Angers
Marseille
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Angers
Marseille
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Angers
Marseille
0-1
100% 10
70% 7
2-3
0% 0
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Angers
Marseille
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Angers
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Angers
Marseille
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Angers
Marseille
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Angers
Marseille
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Angers
Marseille
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Angers
Marseille
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
0.80 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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