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Alverca vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 12:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.85 vs 0.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
21.74%
🔥
⭐
0:1
14.71%
⭐
0:2
4.98%
0:3
1.12%
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
12.97%
1:1
14.28%
1:2
6.7%
1:3
1.93%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
3.87%
2:1
5.9%
2:2
3.81%
2:3
1.42%
2:4
0.36%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
0.77%
3:1
1.5%
3:2
1.26%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.11%
4:1
0.27%
4:2
0.28%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.04%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:0 (21.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
5
2
5
14
17
-3
17
9
▲
4
2
6
14
19
-5
14
10
▼
3
4
5
19
18
1
13
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
Last 6 Matches
Alverca
VS
Nacional
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.09
Avg xG
1.17
0.85
xG [Total: 1.78]
0.93
3
Yellow Cards [Total: 6]
3
4
Corners [Total: 9]
5
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
14
Fouls [Total: 28]
14
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Alverca will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alverca, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Nacional.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 18:00
Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alverca vs Nacional Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 12:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Alverca vs Nacional Football 7 Dec, 2025 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Toothless Attack
Alverca struggle to score — failed to find net in 4/6 recent home matches
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Alverca vs Nacional, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Nacional @ 3.65 ⚠️ 
Nacional
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
Nacional demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.87 
Alverca(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%Alverca struggle to score at home (0.83/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/650%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (0.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.69 ⚠️ 
Nacional(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1486%Nacional scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Nacional Win or Draw @ 1.72 ⚠️
Nacional
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Nacional concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
Nacional demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Nacional Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.50 ⚠️ 
Alverca
- Weak AttackLeague4/667%Alverca struggle to score at home (0.83/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
Despite Alverca's form, Alverca's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Alverca(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent5/683%Alverca receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent9/1275%Alverca receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1486%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 14 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
+5 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Alverca vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Alverca
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
-0.06
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Alverca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.17
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Alverca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Alverca has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Alverca handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.058
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.009 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.002 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alverca):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Alverca vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Alverca vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alverca and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Alverca
Nacional
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Alverca
Nacional
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Alverca
Nacional
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Alverca
Nacional
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Alverca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Alverca
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Alverca
Nacional
xG
1.06
1.14
xGa
1.35
1.65
Number of goals
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Alverca
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Alverca
Nacional
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Alverca
Nacional
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Alverca
Nacional
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Alverca
Nacional
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Alverca
Nacional
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Alverca
Nacional
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Alverca
Nacional
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Nacional
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Alverca Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 20.93% | Low | 2.40 |
| Under 1.5 | 79.07% | High | 1.57 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 23.85% | Low | 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 76.15% | High | 1.33 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 5.49% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.51% | High | 1.15 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.79% | Low | 10.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.21% | High | 1.07 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Alverca
Nacional
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 5 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.2 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 10 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.6 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 2.7 | 16 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 79 | 13.5 | 81 | 13.3 | 160 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Shots | 10.5 | 63 | 7.3 | 44 | 8.9 | 107 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 3.5 | 42 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
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