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Alverca vs Moreirense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 12:00
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9
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(7 total)
xG
1.40
(12.3 total)
Shots per Match
10
(90 total)
Shots on Target
4
(40% acc)
Corners
3.3
(30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.2
(110 total)
Offsides
1.4
(13 total)
8
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(10 total)
xG
0.70
(5.7 total)
Shots per Match
7.5
(60 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(43% acc)
Corners
3
(24 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(2 total)
Fouls
12.6
(101 total)
Offsides
1.4
(11 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(17 total)
xG
1.10
(17.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(150 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(41% acc)
Corners
3.2
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.4
(211 total)
Offsides
1.4
(24 total)
8
Played
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(13 total)
xG
0.90
(7.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(82 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(37% acc)
Corners
4.6
(37 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.8
(110 total)
Offsides
1.1
(9 total)
9
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(11 total)
xG
1.30
(11.3 total)
Shots per Match
9
(81 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(37% acc)
Corners
3.6
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.6
(131 total)
Offsides
1.4
(13 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(24 total)
xG
1.10
(18.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(163 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(37% acc)
Corners
4.1
(69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
14.2
(241 total)
Offsides
1.3
(22 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.01 vs 1.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.21%
0:1
13.26%
🔥
⭐
0:2
7.84%
⭐
0:3
3.09%
⭐
0:4
0.91%
⭐
0:5
0.22%
⭐
1
1:0
8.33%
1:1
12.84%
1:2
9.37%
⭐
1:3
4.39%
⭐
1:4
1.51%
⭐
1:5
0.4%
⭐
2
2:0
3.09%
2:1
5.88%
2:2
5.19%
2:3
2.88%
⭐
2:4
1.15%
⭐
2:5
0.35%
⭐
3
3:0
0.77%
3:1
1.73%
3:2
1.81%
3:3
1.18%
⭐
3:4
0.54%
⭐
3:5
0.19%
⭐
4
4:0
0.14%
4:1
0.37%
4:2
0.45%
4:3
0.34%
⭐
4:4
0.18%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.06%
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
0:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Alverca will take on Moreirense as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alverca, and the visiting side, Moreirense. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Moreirense.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 18:00
Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alverca vs Moreirense Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Alverca vs Moreirense Football 17 Jan, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Alverca struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Alverca vs Moreirense, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
Alverca(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Alverca struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.61 ⚠️ 
Alverca(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Alverca struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Alverca Win or Draw @ 1.44 ⚠️
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Moreirense(1 trends) — avg 2.7 (+1% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Alverca disciplined play balances Moreirense aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
Alverca(1 trends) — avg 3.9 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/881%Alverca average 3.9 corners/match at home (-16% below league avg 4.6)
Moreirense(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/877%Moreirense average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 7.9 corners/match (Alverca 3.9 + Moreirense 4.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
🎯 Betting Analysis
Alverca vs Moreirense
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Alverca is stronger in the first half (7 vs 3).
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Alverca
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
17
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Moreirense
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Alverca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.12
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.41
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.59
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.41
✈️ Moreirense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Alverca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Moreirense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Alverca is stronger in the first half (7 vs 3)
- First Half Result: Consider Alverca to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Moreirense shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Moreirense winning the second half
- Overall Result: Moreirense has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Moreirense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.169
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alverca):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Moreirense):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Alverca vs Moreirense Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
7
6
4
31
18
13
27
6
▲
8
3
6
24
24
0
27
7
▼
7
4
6
18
22
-4
25
9
5
5
7
28
29
-1
20
10
6
2
9
17
27
-10
20
11
4
8
5
22
29
-7
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Moreirense
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Alverca
VS
Moreirense
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
2 (2)
xG
1.00
0.40
Shots
6 (6)
10 (10)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
3 (3)
Corners
2 (2)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
1 (1)
xGa
0.40
1.00
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
3 (3)
Fouls
5 (5)
14 (14)
Offsides
0 (0)
1 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Alverca
VS
Moreirense
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.50
PPG
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
17%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.97
Avg xG
1.19
Alverca vs Moreirense: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alverca and away matches for Moreirense
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Moreirense
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Alverca
Moreirense
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Alverca
Moreirense
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Alverca
Moreirense
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Alverca
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Moreirense
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Alverca
Moreirense
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Alverca
Moreirense
xG
1.03
1.09
xGa
1.13
1.33
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
90%
9
10%
1
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Moreirense
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Alverca
Moreirense
1
0%
0
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Alverca
Moreirense
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
100%
10
80%
8
Total Goals
Alverca
Moreirense
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Moreirense
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Moreirense
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Alverca
Moreirense
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
0%
0
40%
4
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Alverca
Moreirense
12
100%
10
60%
6
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Alverca
Moreirense
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Moreirense
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
0.94
xG
1.58
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
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