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4 Jan 2026-20:30
Alverca
Alverca
10th place
- : -
4 Jan 2026 14:30
Famalicao
Famalicao
6th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Alverca vs Famalicao: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 14:30

1×2 Prediction
Famalicao
14%27%59%
AlvercaDrawFamalicao
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
58%42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
56%44%
NoYes
Team Total - Alverca
Under 2.5
96%4%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Famalicao
Under 2.5
77%23%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Famalicao
86%14%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Famalicao +2.5
100%0%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14:30
Alverca W 14%
:
Famalicao W 58%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.73 vs 1.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.85%
0:1
16.71%
🔥
0:2
11.78%
0:3
5.54%
0:4
1.95%
0:5
0.55%
1
1:0
5.81%
1:1
11.03%
1:2
9.78%
1:3
5.54%
1:4
2.28%
1:5
0.74%
2
2:0
1.42%
2:1
3.4%
2:2
3.72%
2:3
2.53%
2:4
1.22%
2:5
0.45%
3
3:0
0.23%
3:1
0.67%
3:2
0.88%
3:3
0.71%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
0.03%
4:1
0.1%
4:2
0.15%
4:3
0.14%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.02%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (16.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.8%
0
22.5%
1
24.2%
2
19.0%
3
11.9%
4
6.3%
5
2.8%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
SC Braga
w w w w l
>
15
7
4
4
26
13
13
25
6
Famalicao
l d l w l
>
15
6
5
4
18
10
8
23
7
Moreirense
l d d l d
>
15
6
3
6
21
24
-3
21

9
Estoril
w l d l w
>
15
4
5
6
23
25
-2
17
10
Alverca
d w w l l
>
15
5
2
8
15
23
-8
17
11
Rio Ave
d d w l d
>
15
3
8
4
19
24
-5
17
0.78 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
Last 6 Matches
Alverca
VS
Famalicao
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 1.17
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
17% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.95 Avg xG 1.23
Alverca
D W W L L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 18:45
Alverca
0 3
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Arouca
1 0
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 2
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Alverca
1 1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Oct 2025 - 20:15
Sporting CP
2 0
Alverca
Famalicao
L D L W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Benfica
1 0
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Famalicao
4 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Famalicao
1 2
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Moreirense
2 2
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Famalicao
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Nacional
0 1
Famalicao
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Alverca will take on Famalicao as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alverca, and the visiting side, Famalicao. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Famalicao. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-04 Time: 20:30 Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alverca vs Famalicao Sunday, Jan 4th, 2026 at 14:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Alverca vs Famalicao Football 4 Jan, 2026 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Famalicao have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Alverca struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Alverca vs Famalicao

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Famalicao is stronger in the second half (11 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Alverca

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
15
Momentum
-0.05
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Famalicao

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Alverca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.13
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Famalicao - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Alverca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Famalicao - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Famalicao shows superior performance after the break (11 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Famalicao winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Famalicao has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Famalicao handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.141
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.04
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.095 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alverca):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Famalicao):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Alverca
Famalicao

Alverca vs Famalicao Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 14:30 Primeira Liga

Alverca vs Famalicao: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alverca and away matches for Famalicao

Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Famalicao
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Alverca
Famalicao
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Alverca
Famalicao
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Alverca
Famalicao
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Alverca
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Famalicao
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Alverca
Famalicao
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Alverca
Famalicao
xG
1.01
1.5
xGa
1.16
1.04
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Famalicao
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Alverca
Famalicao
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Alverca
Famalicao
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Alverca
Famalicao
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Famalicao
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Famalicao
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2
Alverca
Famalicao
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
0% 0
60% 6
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Alverca
Famalicao
12
100% 10
40% 4
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Alverca
Famalicao
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Famalicao
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Famalicao
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.4%
Low
N/A
12.1%
Low
N/A
-2
1.5%
Low
N/A
21.4%
Low
N/A
-1.5
2.6%
Low
N/A
30.7%
Low
N/A
-1
7.7%
Low
N/A
45.3%
Low
N/A
-0.5
12.8%
Low
N/A
60.0%
Medium
N/A
+0.5
40.0%
Low
N/A
87.2%
High
N/A
+1
54.7%
Medium
N/A
92.3%
High
N/A
+1.5
69.3%
Medium
N/A
97.4%
High
N/A
+2
78.6%
High
N/A
98.5%
High
N/A
+2.5
87.9%
High
N/A
99.6%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.94%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.516.63%LowN/A
Under 1.583.37%HighN/A
AwayOver 1.549.11%LowN/A
Under 1.550.89%MediumN/A
HomeOver 2.53.79%LowN/A
Under 2.596.21%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.522.96%LowN/A
Under 2.577.04%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Alverca
Famalicao
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 3 2 5
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 4 4 8
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.8 6 1.3 9 1 15
Goals Conceded 1.6 13 1.4 10 1.5 23
Yellow Cards 2 16 2.9 20 2.4 36
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.1 1 0.3 4
Corners 3.4 27 2.4 17 2.9 44
Fouls 12 96 13 91 12.5 187
Offsides 1.4 11 1.6 11 1.5 22
Shots 10.1 81 7 49 8.7 130
Shots on Goal 4.1 33 2.7 19 3.5 52
Home Away All
Played 8 7 15
Wins 3 3 6
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 3 1 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.4 11 1 7 1.2 18
Goals Conceded 0.6 5 0.7 5 0.7 10
Yellow Cards 3 24 2.7 19 2.9 43
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.6 5 0.4 3 0.5 8
Corners 4.3 34 6 42 5.1 76
Fouls 17.6 141 18 126 17.8 267
Offsides 1.3 10 1.1 8 1.2 18
Shots 12.4 99 12.3 86 12.3 185
Shots on Goal 4.5 36 3.9 27 4.2 63
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