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Alverca
Alverca vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 31 January, 2026 14:30
Prediction League
10
Played
5
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(9 total)
xG
1.50
(14.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(105 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(37% acc)
Corners
3.4
(34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.6
(126 total)
Offsides
1.3
(13 total)
9
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(10 total)
xG
0.70
(6.1 total)
Shots per Match
7
(63 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(41% acc)
Corners
2.7
(24 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(112 total)
Offsides
1.2
(11 total)
19
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(19 total)
xG
1.10
(20.7 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(168 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(39% acc)
Corners
3.1
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.5
(238 total)
Offsides
1.3
(24 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(13 total)
xG
1.50
(14.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(133 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(28% acc)
Corners
4
(40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
13.3
(133 total)
Offsides
1.6
(16 total)
9
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(10 total)
xG
0.80
(6.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.4
(67 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(42% acc)
Corners
2.2
(20 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.2
(137 total)
Offsides
1.6
(14 total)
19
Played
4
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(23 total)
xG
1.10
(21.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(200 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(33% acc)
Corners
3.2
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
14.2
(270 total)
Offsides
1.6
(30 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.49 vs 0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.47%
⭐
0:1
7.8%
0:2
2.66%
0:3
0.6%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
13.54%
🔥
1:1
12.76%
1:2
5.55%
1:3
1.53%
1:4
0.31%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
7.99%
2:1
9.63%
2:2
5.25%
2:3
1.76%
⭐
2:4
0.42%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
3.14%
3:1
4.61%
3:2
3.06%
⭐
3:3
1.24%
⭐
3:4
0.35%
⭐
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.93%
4:1
1.6%
4:2
1.26%
⭐
4:3
0.6%
⭐
4:4
0.2%
⭐
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.22%
5:1
0.44%
5:2
0.4%
⭐
5:3
0.22%
⭐
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Alverca will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-31 at 2026-01-31 in the famous Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alverca, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Estrela.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-31
Time: 20:30
Location: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alverca vs Estrela Saturday, Jan 31st, 2026 at 14:30 Football
AI Value Bets
1 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Alverca vs Estrela Football 31 Jan, 2026 14:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Toothless Attack
Alverca struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent home matches
Comprehensive betting trends for Alverca vs Estrela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Alverca @ 2.18 ⚠️ 
Estrela
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Alverca confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.87 ⚠️ 
Alverca(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Alverca struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.71 ⚠️ 
Alverca(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Alverca struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Alverca Win or Draw @ 1.30 ⚠️
Estrela
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Alverca confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Estrela(1 trends) — avg 3.1 (+16% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Estrela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Alverca disciplined play balances Estrela aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.82 ⚠️ 
Alverca(1 trends) — avg 3.9 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/881%Alverca average 3.9 corners/match at home (-16% below league avg 4.6)
Estrela(1 trends) — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/783%Estrela average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 7.7 corners/match (Alverca 3.9 + Estrela 3.8) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
🎯 Betting Analysis
Alverca vs Estrela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Estrela is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Alverca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Alverca is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Alverca is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Alverca is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Alverca
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
19
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Estrela
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Alverca - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.11
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.63
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.42
✈️ Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Alverca - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Estrela often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Estrela scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Alverca shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Alverca winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Alverca excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Alverca scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Alverca has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Alverca handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.219
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.027 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alverca):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Alverca vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 31 Jan, 2026 @ 14:30 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▼
7
4
8
20
27
-7
25
10
7
2
10
19
33
-14
23
11
▲
5
5
9
26
28
-2
20
12
▼
4
8
7
22
35
-13
20
13
▼
4
7
8
23
36
-13
19
14
4
5
10
14
21
-7
17
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Estrela
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Alverca
VS
Estrela
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
2 (2)
xG
1.10
2.60
Shots
5 (5)
19 (19)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
6 (6)
Corners
1 (1)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
2 (2)
xGa
2.60
1.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (4)
4 (4)
Red Cards
1 (1)
1 (1)
Fouls
23 (23)
18 (18)
Offsides
1 (1)
0 (0)
Last 6 Matches
Alverca
VS
Estrela
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.00
PPG
0.83
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
2.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.83
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.94
Avg xG
0.52
Alverca vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alverca and away matches for Estrela
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Alverca
Estrela
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Alverca
Estrela
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Alverca
Estrela
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Alverca
Estrela
0-1
30%
3
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
10%
1
4+
20%
2
80%
8
Total Corners
Alverca
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Estrela
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Alverca
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Alverca
Estrela
xG
1.04
1.03
xGa
1.42
1.94
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Estrela
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Alverca
Estrela
1
0%
0
20%
2
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Alverca
Estrela
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
100%
10
80%
8
Total Goals
Alverca
Estrela
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Estrela
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
Number of goals
Alverca
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alverca
Estrela
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Alverca
Estrela
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Alverca
Estrela
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Alverca
Estrela
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Alverca
Estrela
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1.51
xG
0.93
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
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