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Form
La Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 16 14 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Finished
Alaves
Alaves
16th place
Form
1 : 2
1.36
xG
1.24
Full Time
Half Time: 0-1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2nd place
Form
69'
Carlos Vicente
K. Mbappé
24'
Rodrygo
76'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Alaves vs Real Madrid Football Match Stats & Results Sunday, 14 December, 2025 14:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
4'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
7'
Winner (1x2)1.63
Real Madrid to Win
Probability 58%
Total Goals2.09
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score1.91
Yes
Probability 51%
Alaves Total1.24
Home Under 1.5
Probability 77%
Real Madrid Total1.37
Away Under 2.5
Probability 72%
Double Chance1.17
Draw/Real Madrid
Probability 79%
Asian Handicap1.55
Alaves +1.5
Probability 68%

Alaves vs Real Madrid: La Liga Match Preview

Crucial Encounter with European Aspirations

This La Liga clash sees mid-table Alaves host title-challenging Real Madrid in a match that carries significant stakes for both teams. With Alaves sitting in 11th place with 18 points, they aim to consolidate their position in the top half, while Real Madrid, currently 2nd with 36 points, seeks to keep pressure on league leaders and improve their inconsistent form.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances that could influence the outcome.

  • Alaves: Alaves has been struggling in their last five matches, managing only two wins while also exhibiting a tendency to leak goals, conceding an average of 1.2 per match overall. However, their home form shows some promise, with three wins in their last five home games.
  • Real Madrid: Real Madrid is facing a challenging period, having gone winless in their last five matches, with three draws and one loss. Although they have not lost away this season, their scoring has been less prolific than expected, averaging only 1.2 goals per match recently.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last eight encounters against Alaves, with the only victory for the home side coming back in 2021. The last five results reflect this trend with scores like 0-1 and 3-0 in favor of Madrid, suggesting a clear superiority in recent meetings.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Real Madrid will look to exploit Alaves' defensive vulnerabilities, especially through their star player Kylian Mbappé, whose pace and skill can break down a compact defense. Alaves will rely on their solid defensive structure, led by Antonio Sivera, to withstand Madrid's attacking prowess. If Alaves can effectively neutralize Madrid's threats and capitalize on counter-attacks, they may stand a chance of securing a surprise result.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:1
Reasoning: Despite Alaves' home advantage, their recent form and struggles to score point toward a narrow victory for Real Madrid, who statistically have the edge based on xG and overall performance metrics.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions yields some potential value bets for this match.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Away 12 @ 1.28 (73.7% probability).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 2.17 (53.7% probability, +11.7% value vs. 46.0% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Alaves
Real Madrid
Víctor Parada
Yellow Card 6'
Víctor Parada
Tripping
24' 0:1 Goal
K. Mbappé
Assistant: J. Bellingham
K. Mbappé
Carlos Vicente
Substitute 68'
In:Carlos Vicente
Out:Calebe
Carles Aleñá
Substitute 68'
In:Carles Aleñá
Out:A. Rebbach
Toni Martínez
Substitute 68'
In:Toni Martínez
Out:Pablo Ibáñez
Carlos Vicente
Goal 1:1 69'
Carlos Vicente
Assistant: Antonio Blanco
76' 1:2 Goal
Rodrygo
Assistant: Vinícius
Rodrygo
78' Substitute
In:Gonzalo García
Out:A. Güler
Gonzalo García
79' Substitute
In:D. Huijsen
Out:V. Valdepenas
D. Huijsen
80' Yellow Card
Vinícius
Tripping
Vinícius
83' Substitute
In:Brahim Díaz
Out:Rodrygo
Brahim Díaz
Ander Guevara
Substitute 83'
In:Ander Guevara
Out:Denis Suárez
Youssef Lekhedim
Substitute 89'
In:Youssef Lekhedim
Out:Víctor Parada
89' Substitute
In:Franco Mastantuono
Out:Vinícius
Franco Mastantuono
Ander Guevara
Yellow Card 90' +3'
Ander Guevara
Holding

Alaves vs Real Madrid: La Liga Match Preview

Crucial Encounter with European Aspirations

This La Liga clash sees mid-table Alaves host title-challenging Real Madrid in a match that carries significant stakes for both teams. With Alaves sitting in 11th place with 18 points, they aim to consolidate their position in the top half, while Real Madrid, currently 2nd with 36 points, seeks to keep pressure on league leaders and improve their inconsistent form.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances that could influence the outcome.

  • Alaves: Alaves has been struggling in their last five matches, managing only two wins while also exhibiting a tendency to leak goals, conceding an average of 1.2 per match overall. However, their home form shows some promise, with three wins in their last five home games.
  • Real Madrid: Real Madrid is facing a challenging period, having gone winless in their last five matches, with three draws and one loss. Although they have not lost away this season, their scoring has been less prolific than expected, averaging only 1.2 goals per match recently.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last eight encounters against Alaves, with the only victory for the home side coming back in 2021. The last five results reflect this trend with scores like 0-1 and 3-0 in favor of Madrid, suggesting a clear superiority in recent meetings.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Real Madrid will look to exploit Alaves' defensive vulnerabilities, especially through their star player Kylian Mbappé, whose pace and skill can break down a compact defense. Alaves will rely on their solid defensive structure, led by Antonio Sivera, to withstand Madrid's attacking prowess. If Alaves can effectively neutralize Madrid's threats and capitalize on counter-attacks, they may stand a chance of securing a surprise result.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:1
Reasoning: Despite Alaves' home advantage, their recent form and struggles to score point toward a narrow victory for Real Madrid, who statistically have the edge based on xG and overall performance metrics.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions yields some potential value bets for this match.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Away 12 @ 1.28 (73.7% probability).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 2.17 (53.7% probability, +11.7% value vs. 46.0% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Alaves vs Real Madrid Formation Lineups for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 La Liga

Formation
6.7
Alaves
4-1-4-1
7
Real Madrid
4-4-2
Antonio Sivera
6.7
Sivera 1
Víctor Parada
5.9
89'
Parada 24
Jon Pacheco
6.3
Pacheco 5
F. Tenaglia
6.9
Tenaglia 14
Jonny
6.9
Jonny 17
Antonio Blanco
7
Blanco 8
A. Rebbach
6.2
68'
Rebbach 21
Denis Suárez
6.7
83'
Suárez 4
Pablo Ibáñez
6.9
68'
Ibáñez 19
Calebe
6.7
68'
Calebe 20
L. Boyé
6.5
Boyé 15
T. Courtois
7.2
Courtois 1
Víctor Valdepeñas
6.9
Valdepeñas 40
A. Rüdiger
6.9
Rüdiger 22
Raúl Asencio
6.9
Asencio 17
F. Valverde
6.9
Valverde 8
J. Bellingham
7.9
Bellingham 5
A. Tchouaméni
6.3
Tchouaméni 14
A. Güler
6.9
78'
Güler 15
Rodrygo
7.9
83'
Rodrygo 11
Vinícius
6.3
89'
Vinícius 7
K. Mbappé
7.9
Mbappé 10
field field
Substitutes
Vicente
7.7
68'
Vicente 7
Aleñá
6.3
68'
Aleñá 10
Martínez
6.7
68'
Martínez 11
Guevara
6.5
83'
Guevara 6
Lekhedim
89'
Lekhedim 3
García
6.3
78'
García 16
Huijsen
6.6
79'
Huijsen 24
Díaz
6.6
83'
Díaz 21
Mastantuono
89'
Mastantuono 30
LineUps
Alaves
6.7
17
d
6.9
6.9
6.3
6'89'
5.9
20
m
68'
6.7
68'
6.9
83'
6.7
21
m
68'
6.2
15
m
6.5
Substitutes
68'69'
7.7
68'
6.3
68'
6.7
22
d
83'90'
6.5
18
m
9
f
Coach
Real Madrid
7.2
6.9
6.9
6.9
11
m
76'83'
7.9
15
m
78'
6.9
6.3
7.9
10
f
24'
7.9
7
m
80'89'
6.3
Substitutes
78'
6.3
13
g
24
d
79'
6.6
83'
6.6
Coach
Missing Players
Alaves
- Injured - Suspended
18
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
Real Madrid
4
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Suspended - Red Card
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
9
f
- Suspended - Red Card
- Suspended - Red Card
23
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
24
d
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury

Alaves vs Real Madrid Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 La Liga

Alaves
Real Madrid
Off Target 2 Blocked 2
On Target 2
On Target 4
Off Target 7 Blocked 2
1 Goals 2
52 Ball Possession 48
6 Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 3
472 Total passes 453
86 Passes accurate % 87
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
12 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
2 Offsides 0
5 Corners 6
1.36 Expected Goals 1.24

Stats for Alaves vs Real Madrid Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 14:00 Football

Alaves
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Real Madrid
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
K. Mbappé
7.9
Forward
2
Rodrygo
Forward
7.9
3
Carlos Vicente
7.7
4
Antonio Blanco
Midfielder
7.0