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Alaves
Alaves vs Oviedo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 12:30
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.48 vs 0.61
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.51%
0:1
7.06%
0:2
1.84%
0:3
0.32%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
18.81%
🔥
1:1
11.06%
1:2
3.21%
1:3
0.62%
1:4
0.09%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
13.1%
2:1
8.56%
2:2
2.74%
2:3
0.57%
2:4
0.09%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
6.08%
3:1
4.37%
3:2
1.53%
3:3
0.35%
3:4
0.06%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
2.12%
4:1
1.66%
4:2
0.63%
4:3
0.16%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.59%
5:1
0.5%
⭐
5:2
0.21%
⭐
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (18.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
▲
4
6
7
19
24
-5
18
14
▼
5
3
9
14
20
-6
18
15
▼
4
6
7
13
20
-7
18
18
3
6
8
15
33
-18
15
19
2
5
10
7
26
-19
11
20
2
4
10
17
29
-12
10
1.66
xG
0.60
60%
Ball Possession
40%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Alaves
VS
Oviedo
1/6 (17%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.50
PPG
0.50
0.50
Avg Goals Scored
0.00
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.17
Avg xG
0.59
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Alaves will take on Oviedo as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Estadio de Mendizorroza.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Alaves, and the visiting side, Oviedo. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Alaves or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 17:30
Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Alaves vs Oviedo Sunday, Jan 4th, 2026 at 12:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Alaves vs Oviedo Football 4 Jan, 2026 12:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Oviedo struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Alaves vs Oviedo, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Alaves @ 1.88 ⚠️ 
Oviedo
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Oviedo are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent15/1788%Oviedo have not won in 15 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Alaves confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.59 ⚠️ 
Alaves(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Alaves score (1.22/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 50%)
Oviedo(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Oviedo struggle to score in away matches (0.63/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.49 ✅ 
Alaves(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent14/1782%Alaves scored 0-1 goals in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Oviedo(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Oviedo struggle to score in away matches (0.63/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent15/1788%Oviedo scored 0-1 goals in 15 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Both teams score 0-1 goals frequently (82% + 88%) • Low scoring patterns strongly support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Alaves Win or Draw @ 1.19 ⚠️
Oviedo
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Oviedo are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent15/1788%Oviedo have not won in 15 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Alaves confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Alaves(1 trends) — avg 2.7 (+10% above league)
- Many CardsRecent14/1782%Alaves receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Oviedo(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (-14% below league)
- Many CardsRecent13/1776%Oviedo receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.76 ✅ 
Alaves(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/980%Alaves average 5.6 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 4.8)
Oviedo(2 trends) — avg 2.6 (-45% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Oviedo average 2.6 corners/match in away matches (-45% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent13/1776%Oviedo win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 La Liga matches
Combined average: 8.2 corners/match (Alaves 5.6 + Oviedo 2.6) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Alaves vs Oviedo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Alaves is stronger in the second half (10 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Alaves is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Alaves is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Alaves
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Oviedo
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
17
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Alaves - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Oviedo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.18
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.24
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.18
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Alaves - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Oviedo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Alaves shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 4 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Alaves winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Alaves excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Alaves scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Alaves has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Alaves handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.117
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.068
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.006 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Alaves):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Oviedo):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Alaves vs Oviedo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 12:30 La Liga
Alaves vs Oviedo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Alaves and away matches for Oviedo
Number of goals
Alaves
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alaves
Oviedo
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Alaves
Oviedo
1
30%
3
0%
0
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Alaves
Oviedo
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
70%
7
100%
10
Total Goals
Alaves
Oviedo
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Alaves
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alaves
Oviedo
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Alaves
Oviedo
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Alaves
Oviedo
xG
1.24
0.68
xGa
1.21
1.63
Number of goals
Alaves
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alaves
Oviedo
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2
Alaves
Oviedo
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Alaves
Oviedo
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Alaves
Oviedo
0-1
80%
8
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Alaves
Oviedo
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Alaves
Under
Over
Oviedo
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Alaves
Oviedo
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Alaves
Oviedo
1
10%
1
0%
0
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Alaves
Oviedo
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
90%
9
100%
10
Total Goals
Alaves
Oviedo
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Alaves
Oviedo
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Alaves to Win
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 43.67% | Low | 2.39 |
| Under 1.5 | 56.33% | Medium | 1.62 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 12.64% | Low | 5.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 87.36% | High | 1.15 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 18.71% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 81.29% | High | 1.17 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 2.45% | Low | 21.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 97.55% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Alaves
Oviedo
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 6 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 11 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.2 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 16 | 2.8 | 22 | 2.2 | 38 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 50 | 4.1 | 33 | 4.9 | 83 |
| Fouls | 14.8 | 133 | 16.1 | 129 | 15.4 | 262 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 16 | 3.1 | 25 | 2.4 | 41 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 103 | 9.8 | 78 | 10.6 | 181 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 30 | 3.3 | 26 | 3.3 | 56 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 6 | 10 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.2 | 2 | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 12 | 2.1 | 17 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 3 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 7 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0 | 0.3 | 5 | |
| Corners | 4.2 | 38 | 2.6 | 21 | 3.5 | 59 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 101 | 12.4 | 99 | 11.8 | 200 |
| Offsides | 2.7 | 24 | 1.9 | 15 | 2.3 | 39 |
| Shots | 9.2 | 83 | 7.1 | 57 | 8.2 | 140 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.6 | 23 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.5 | 43 |