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Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
Preview
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr
1st place
Form
VS
17:30
17 Jan 2026
Al Shabab
Al Shabab
13th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Al-Nassr
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 11:30

Winner (1x2)-
Al-Nassr to Win
Probability 79%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 57%
Al-Nassr Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 79%
Al Shabab Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 94%
Double Chance-
Al-Nassr/Draw
Probability 92%
Asian Handicap-
Al-Nassr +2.5
Probability 99%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
17:30
Al-Nassr W 79%
:
Al Shabab W 8%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Al-Nassr
w w w d l
7 Played
6 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.3 (23 total)
xG
1.00 (6.8 total)
Shots per Match
17.4 (122 total)
Shots on Target
7.7 (44% acc)
Corners
7.9 (55 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9 (63 total)
Offsides
3 (21 total)
7 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (17 total)
xG
0.50 (3.6 total)
Shots per Match
18.6 (130 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (31% acc)
Corners
6.3 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.7 (61 total)
Offsides
2 (14 total)
14 Played
10 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.9 (40 total)
xG
0.70 (10.4 total)
Shots per Match
18 (252 total)
Shots on Target
6.7 (37% acc)
Corners
7.1 (99 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
8.9 (124 total)
Offsides
2.5 (35 total)
Al Shabab
d d l l l
6 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (7 total)
xG
0.10 (0.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (85 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (36% acc)
Corners
5.8 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
0.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12 (72 total)
Offsides
2.7 (16 total)
6 Played
0 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3 (2 total)
xG
0.50 (3.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.2 (55 total)
Shots on Target
2 (22% acc)
Corners
4.3 (26 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (3 total)
Fouls
11.7 (70 total)
Offsides
1.2 (7 total)
12 Played
1 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (9 total)
xG
0.30 (3.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.7 (140 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
5.1 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.8 (142 total)
Offsides
1.9 (23 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.95 vs 0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.49%
0:1
2.05%
0:2
0.85%
0:3
0.23%
0:4
0.05%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
7.14%
1:1
6.1%
1:2
2.6%
1:3
0.74%
1:4
0.16%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.23%
🔥
2:1
9.04%
2:2
3.99%
2:3
1.17%
2:4
0.26%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
9.76%
3:1
8.92%
3:2
4.07%
3:3
1.23%
3:4
0.28%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
6.99%
4:1
6.6%
4:2
3.1%
4:3
0.97%
4:4
0.23%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
4.01%
5:1
3.9%
5:2
1.89%
5:3
0.61%
5:4
0.15%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 2:0 (10.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
9.2%
1
17.2%
2
21.6%
3
20.7%
4
16.0%
5
8.5%
6
3.2%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Al-NassrHDPAl Shabab
38.3%
Low
-2.5
0.5%
Very Low
48.9%
Medium
-2
1.4%
Very Low
59.4%
Medium
-1.5
2.2%
Very Low
69.3%
High
-1
5.1%
Very Low
79.1%
High
-0.5
7.9%
Very Low
92.1%
Very High
+0.5
20.9%
Low
94.9%
Very High
+1
30.7%
Low
97.7%
Very High
+1.5
40.6%
Medium
98.6%
Very High
+2
51.1%
Medium
99.5%
Very High
+2.5
61.7%
High

Team Total Predictions

Al-NassrOutcomeAl Shabab
94.8%
Very High
Over 0.5
59.8%
Medium
5.2%
Very Low
Under 0.5
40.3%
Medium
79.3%
High
Over 1.5
23.1%
Low
20.7%
Low
Under 1.5
76.9%
High
56.6%
Medium
Over 2.5
6.5%
Very Low
43.5%
Medium
Under 2.5
93.6%
Very High
34.2%
Low
Over 3.5
1.4%
Very Low
65.8%
High
Under 3.5
98.6%
Very High
In this exciting Saudi Pro League 2025-2026 matchup, Al-Nassr will take on Al Shabab as part of the 2025-2026 season in Saudi Pro League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Al-Nassr, and the visiting side, Al Shabab. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Al-Nassr. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 17:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 11:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab Football 17 Jan, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 10 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Al-Nassr have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Al-Nassr score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+8 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 10 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Al-Nassr is stronger in the second half (18 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Al-Nassr is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Al-Nassr

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.18

✈️ Al Shabab

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Al-Nassr - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

✈️ Al Shabab - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Al-Nassr - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Al Shabab - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Al-Nassr shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Al-Nassr winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Al-Nassr excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Al-Nassr scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Al-Nassr has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Al-Nassr handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.271
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.074
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Al-Nassr):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Al Shabab):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Al-Nassr
Al Shabab

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 Saudi Pro League

Saudi League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Al-Nassr
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Al-Nassr
VS
Al Shabab
Last 4 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.8 (11)
1.3 (5)
Shots
15 (60)
12.3 (49)
Shots on Target
7 (28)
4.5 (18)
Corners
4.3 (17)
6.8 (27)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (5)
2.8 (11)
Clean Sheets
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (10)
3.5 (14)
Red Cards
0.5 (2)
0.8 (3)
Fouls
14.3 (57)
12.5 (50)
Offsides
3.5 (14)
3 (12)
7 Mar
- 19:00
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
2
2
18 Oct
- 18:00
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
1
2
25 Feb
- 17:00
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
2
3
29 Aug
- 18:00
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
4
0
Last 6 Matches
Al-Nassr
VS
Al Shabab
4/6 (67%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
2.17 PPG 0.33
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
83% BTTS % 50%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
- Avg xG -
Al-Nassr
W W W D L
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
2 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 2
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
30 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al-Ettifaq
2 2
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 14:50
Al-Nassr
3 0
Al Akhdoud
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Al-Nassr
4 1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 13:50
Al Suqoor
1 3
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Al-Nassr
2 1
Al-Fayha
Al Shabab
D D L L L
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 13:10
Al-Fateh
2 0
Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
31 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al Shabab
2 3
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al-Ittihad FC
2 0
Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 15:05
Al Akhdoud
1 1
Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:45
Al Shabab
1 1
Al-Ettifaq
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 14:50
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 0
Al Shabab

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Al-Nassr and away matches for Al Shabab

Number of goals
Al-Nassr
Under
Over
Al Shabab
Under
Over
0.5
0% 0
100% 10
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
0% 0
100% 10
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
1
80% 8
0% 0
X
10% 1
50% 5
2
10% 1
50% 5
Double Chance
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
12
90% 9
50% 5
1X
90% 9
50% 5
X2
20% 2
100% 10
Total Goals
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
70% 7
4+
60% 6
10% 1
Total Corners
Al-Nassr
Under
Over
Al Shabab
Under
Over
7.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
60% 6
40% 4
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
xG
2.6
0.95
xGa
0.78
1.58
Number of goals
Al-Nassr
Under
Over
Al Shabab
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
1
60% 6
10% 1
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
10% 1
50% 5
Double Chance
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
90% 9
50% 5
X2
40% 4
90% 9
Total Goals
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Yes
70% 7
30% 3
No
30% 3
70% 7
Number of goals
Al-Nassr
Under
Over
Al Shabab
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
1
80% 8
20% 2
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
20% 2
80% 8
Total Goals
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
0-1
50% 5
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al-Nassr
Al Shabab
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
2.70 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found