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Form
Form
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
Preview
Al Najma
Al Najma
18th place
Form
VS
13:40
16 Jan 2026
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Al-Fateh
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 January, 2026 7:40

Winner (1x2)-
Al Najma to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 68%
Al Najma Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 74%
Al-Fateh Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 77%
Double Chance-
Al Najma/Draw
Probability 64%
Asian Handicap-
Al Najma +2.5
Probability 93%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
• 13:40
Al Najma W 40%
:
Al-Fateh W 36%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Al Najma
d l l d l
6 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (8 total)
xG
0.10 (0.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (57 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
2.8 (17 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
7.5 (45 total)
Offsides
2.2 (13 total)
7 Played
0 Wins
1 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (5 total)
xG
0.40 (2.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (64 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (28% acc)
Corners
3.6 (25 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.4 (66 total)
Offsides
2.3 (16 total)
13 Played
0 Wins
2 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (13 total)
xG
0.20 (3.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (121 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (31% acc)
Corners
3.2 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
8.5 (111 total)
Offsides
2.2 (29 total)
Al-Fateh
l l w w w
6 Played
3 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (9 total)
xG
0.50 (3.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (82 total)
Shots on Target
5 (37% acc)
Corners
5.3 (32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
12.8 (77 total)
Offsides
1.3 (8 total)
6 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (6 total)
xG
0.40 (2.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (67 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (40% acc)
Corners
4.5 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (1 total)
Fouls
12.2 (73 total)
Offsides
3.5 (21 total)
12 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (15 total)
xG
0.50 (5.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (149 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (38% acc)
Corners
4.9 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
12.5 (150 total)
Offsides
2.4 (29 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.18 vs 2.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.84%
⭐
0:1
3.42%
0:2
3.17%
⭐
0:3
1.96%
⭐
0:4
0.91%
⭐
0:5
0.34%
⭐
1
1:0
3.75%
1:1
7.22%
⭐
1:2
6.94%
⭐
1:3
4.45%
1:4
2.13%
1:5
0.82%
⭐
2
2:0
3.81%
⭐
2:1
7.62%
🔥
⭐
2:2
7.59%
⭐
2:3
5.03%
⭐
2:4
2.49%
2:5
0.99%
3
3:0
2.59%
3:1
5.35%
⭐
3:2
5.52%
⭐
3:3
3.78%
3:4
1.94%
⭐
3:5
0.79%
⭐
4
4:0
1.31%
4:1
2.82%
4:2
3%
⭐
4:3
2.12%
4:4
1.12%
⭐
4:5
0.47%
⭐
5
5:0
0.53%
⭐
5:1
1.18%
⭐
5:2
1.3%
⭐
5:3
0.95%
5:4
0.52%
5:5
0.23%
Hotspot: 2:1 (7.6%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

1.8%
0
7.2%
1
14.2%
2
19.1%
3
19.6%
4
16.4%
5
11.3%
6
6.3%
7
2.9%
8
1.0%
9
0.2%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Al NajmaHDPAl-Fateh
11.4%
Very Low
-2.5
8.2%
Very Low
17.8%
Very Low
-2
13.5%
Very Low
24.2%
Low
-1.5
18.8%
Very Low
33.6%
Low
-1
27.4%
Low
43.0%
Medium
-0.5
36.0%
Low
64.0%
High
+0.5
57.0%
Medium
72.6%
High
+1
66.4%
High
81.2%
Very High
+1.5
75.8%
High
86.5%
Very High
+2
82.2%
Very High
91.8%
Very High
+2.5
88.6%
Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

Al NajmaOutcomeAl-Fateh
88.7%
Very High
Over 0.5
86.5%
Very High
11.3%
Very Low
Under 0.5
13.5%
Very Low
64.1%
High
Over 1.5
59.4%
Medium
36.0%
Low
Under 1.5
40.6%
Medium
37.2%
Low
Over 2.5
32.3%
Low
62.8%
High
Under 2.5
67.7%
High
17.7%
Very Low
Over 3.5
14.3%
Very Low
82.3%
Very High
Under 3.5
85.7%
Very High
In this exciting Saudi Pro League 2025-2026 matchup, Al Najma will take on Al-Fateh as part of the 2025-2026 season in Saudi Pro League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-16 at 2026-01-16 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Al Najma, and the visiting side, Al-Fateh. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Al-Fateh. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-16 Time: 13:40 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Friday, Jan 16th, 2026 at 7:40 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Football 16 Jan, 2026 7:40

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Al-Fateh convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

Comprehensive betting trends for Al Najma vs Al-Fateh, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.

🏆 Match Winner

Al Najma(3 trends)

  • Relegation BattleLeague90%
    Al Najma are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
  • Not WinRecent10/10100%
    Al Najma have not won in 10 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
  • LostRecent9/1090%
    Al Najma have lost 9 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches

Al-Fateh(1 trends)

  • Not WinRecent8/1080%
    Al-Fateh have not won in 8 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches

⚽ Both Teams To Score

Al Najma(1 trends)

  • Weak AttackLeague2/450%
    Al Najma struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches

Al-Fateh(1 trends)

  • BTTS FriendlyLeague4/580%
    Al-Fateh score (1.00/match) and concede (2.40/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 80% of matches (league avg: 64%)

🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al Najma(2 trends)

  • Weak AttackLeague2/450%
    Al Najma struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
  • Few GoalsRecent9/1090%
    Al Najma scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match

🛡️ Double Chance

Al Najma(2 trends)

  • Relegation BattleLeague90%
    Al Najma are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
  • Not WinRecent10/10100%
    Al Najma have not won in 10 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches

Al-Fateh(1 trends)

  • Not WinRecent8/1080%
    Al-Fateh have not won in 8 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches

🟨 Cards Over/Under

Al Najma(1 trends) — avg 1.9 (-9% below league)

  • High Card MatchesLeague10/1089%
    Al Najma average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 2.2)

Al-Fateh(2 trends) — avg 2.5 (+19% above league)

  • High Card MatchesLeague10/1090%
    Al-Fateh average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+20% above league avg 2.2) — rank #3 in league
  • Many CardsRecent8/1080%
    Al-Fateh receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Saudi Pro League matches
💡Both teams show aggressive play -

🚩 Corners Over/Under

Al Najma(1 trends) — avg 2.8 (-44% below league)

  • Few CornersLeague4/485%
    Al Najma average 2.8 corners/match at home (-44% below league avg 5.0)

Al-Fateh(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)

  • Few CornersLeague5/576%
    Al-Fateh average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
💡Combined average: 7.2 corners/match (Al Najma 2.8 + Al-Fateh 4.4) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5

+7 Streak trends are hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Al-Fateh is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: Al-Fateh is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Al Najma

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Al-Fateh

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.19

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Al Najma - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Al-Fateh - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Al Najma - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Al-Fateh - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Al-Fateh often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Al-Fateh scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Al-Fateh is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10)
  • First Half Result: Consider Al-Fateh to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Al-Fateh has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Al-Fateh handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.042
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Al Najma):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Al-Fateh):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Al Najma
Al-Fateh

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Jan, 2026 @ 7:40 Saudi Pro League

Saudi League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Al-Fateh
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Al Najma
VS
Al-Fateh
0/6 (0%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.33 PPG 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
67% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
- Avg xG -
Al Najma
D L L D L
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
8 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Al Najma
3 4
Al-Ettifaq
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
2 Jan 2026 - 13:30
Al Najma
2 2
Al Khaleej Saihat
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
29 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al Taawon
1 0
Al Najma
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
25 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Al Suqoor
2 1
Al Najma
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 13:40
Damac
0 0
Al Najma
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Al Najma
2 4
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Fateh
L L W W W
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
3 Jan 2026 - 13:10
Al-Fateh
2 0
Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
29 Dec 2025 - 14:35
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 1
Al-Fateh
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
26 Dec 2025 - 13:05
Al-Fateh
2 1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:40
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 1
Al-Fateh
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 14:35
Al-Fateh
2 5
Al Taawon
Saudi Pro League 2025-2026
30 Oct 2025 - 15:15
Damac
1 1
Al-Fateh

Al Najma vs Al-Fateh: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Al Najma and away matches for Al-Fateh

Number of goals
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
0% 0
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
80% 8
40% 4
Double Chance
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
20% 2
60% 6
X2
100% 10
60% 6
Total Goals
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
40% 4
20% 2
Total Corners
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
xG
0.79
1.4
xGa
2
2.11
Number of goals
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
0% 0
30% 3
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
100% 10
70% 7
Total Goals
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Al Najma
Under
Over
Al-Fateh
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0-1
30% 3
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1.79 xG 1.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
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