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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Ajax
Ajax
32nd place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
24th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)2.44
Olympiakos Piraeus to Win
Probability 42%
Total Goals2.32
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score1.57
Yes
Probability 57%
Ajax Total1.63
Home Under 1.5
Probability 69%
Olympiakos Piraeus Total1.22
Away Under 2.5
Probability 82%
Double Chance1.47
Draw/Olympiakos Piraeus
Probability 71%
Asian Handicap1.20
Ajax +1.5
Probability 81%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus
Odds 1.47
Win Prob. 70.8% EV: +4.1%
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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
14:00
Ajax W 29%
:
Olympiakos Piraeus W 42%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Ajax
d w d w w
14 Played
7 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (19 total)
xG
1.70 (23.6 total)
Shots per Match
14 (196 total)
Shots on Target
5.9 (42% acc)
Corners
5.6 (78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.2 (157 total)
Offsides
1.6 (22 total)
13 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (27 total)
xG
1.30 (16.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (178 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (40% acc)
Corners
4.5 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
10.3 (134 total)
Offsides
0.9 (12 total)
27 Played
12 Wins
7 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (46 total)
xG
1.50 (40.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.9 (374 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (41% acc)
Corners
5.1 (137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.8 (291 total)
Offsides
1.3 (34 total)
Olympiakos Piraeus
l d l w w
6 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (13 total)
xG
0.80 (4.7 total)
Shots per Match
18.2 (109 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (28% acc)
Corners
6.7 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.3 (62 total)
Offsides
1.7 (10 total)
4 Played
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (4 total)
xG
1.00 (3.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (49 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (43% acc)
Corners
5.8 (23 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (1 total)
Fouls
13.8 (55 total)
Offsides
3.3 (13 total)
10 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (17 total)
xG
0.90 (8.6 total)
Shots per Match
15.8 (158 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
6.3 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (60%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.7 (117 total)
Offsides
2.3 (23 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.23 vs 1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.73%
0:1
10.33%
0:2
6.9%
0:3
3.07%
0:4
1.02%
0:5
0.27%
1
1:0
8.47%
1:1
12.35%
🔥
1:2
8.94%
1:3
4.29%
1:4
1.54%
1:5
0.44%
2
2:0
4.64%
2:1
7.34%
2:2
5.73%
2:3
2.95%
2:4
1.13%
2:5
0.34%
3
3:0
1.69%
3:1
2.89%
3:2
2.42%
3:3
1.33%
3:4
0.54%
3:5
0.18%
4
4:0
0.46%
4:1
0.85%
4:2
0.76%
4:3
0.45%
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.12%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.7%
0
18.8%
1
23.9%
2
21.0%
3
14.4%
4
8.1%
5
3.9%
6
1.5%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

AjaxHDPOlympiakos Piraeus
3.6%
Very Low@ 13.00
-2.5
7.0%
@ 9.50Very Low
7.8%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2
13.2%
@ 7.90Very Low
12.0%
Very Low@ 5.75
-1.5
19.5%
@ 4.50Very Low
21.3%
Low@ 4.90
-1
30.8%
@ 3.75Low
30.6%
Low@ 2.92
-0.5
42.2%
@ 2.39Medium
57.8%
Medium@ 1.63
+0.5
69.4%
@ 1.45High
69.2%
High@ 1.30
+1
78.7%
@ 1.20High
80.5%
Very High@ 1.20
+1.5
88.0%
@ 1.14Very High
86.8%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
92.2%
@ 1.03Very High
93.0%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
96.4%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

AjaxOutcomeOlympiakos Piraeus
70.8%
High@ 1.28
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.21High
29.2%
Low@ 3.75
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 4.50Low
34.8%
Low@ 2.37
Over 1.5
43.2%
@ 2.08Medium
65.2%
High@ 1.67
Under 1.5
56.8%
@ 1.82Medium
12.7%
Very Low@ 5.40
Over 2.5
18.4%
@ 4.40Very Low
87.3%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.22Very High
3.6%
Very Low@ 14.00
Over 3.5
6.2%
@ 11.00Very Low
96.4%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 3.5
93.8%
@ 1.06Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Ajax will take on Olympiakos Piraeus as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-28 at 2026-01-28 in the famous Johan Cruijff Arena. The referee for the game will be F. Letexier. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, Olympiakos Piraeus. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Ajax or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-28 Time: 20:00 Location: Johan Cruijff Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus Wednesday, Jan 28th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 55.1%
EV: +27.8%
Stake: $1.89
2.32
Premium Tip Ajax Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 69.2%
EV: +12.7%
Stake: $3.97
1.63
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 70.8%
EV: +4.1%
Stake: $5.32
1.47
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 70.8%
EV: +2.7%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-28 09:01:22
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Trends for Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus Football 28 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Goal Drought Risk

    Both teams struggle to score consistently — expect low-scoring, defensive encounter with Under 2.5 likely

🎯 Betting Analysis

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Olympiakos Piraeus is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Ajax

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Olympiakos Piraeus

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.23

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Ajax - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Olympiakos Piraeus - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Ajax - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Olympiakos Piraeus - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Olympiakos Piraeus excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Olympiakos Piraeus scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Olympiakos Piraeus has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Olympiakos Piraeus handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.318
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.067
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ajax):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Olympiakos Piraeus):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
Olympiakos Piraeus
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.00 PPG 1.17
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
2.03 Avg xG 1.21
Ajax
D W D W W
Eredivisie 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Ajax
2 0
FC Volendam
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Villarreal
1 2
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Ajax
2 2
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie 2025-2026
11 Jan 2026 - 13:30
Telstar
2 3
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 19:00
NEC Nijmegen
2 2
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 13:30
Ajax
2 0
Feyenoord
Olympiakos Piraeus
L D L W W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Kairat Almaty
0 1
Olympiakos Piraeus
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 4
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 1
PSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Oct 2025 - 16:45
Barcelona
6 1
Olympiakos Piraeus
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
1 Oct 2025 - 19:00
Arsenal
2 0
Olympiakos Piraeus

Ajax vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for Olympiakos Piraeus

Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Olympiakos Piraeus
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
10% 1
90% 9
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
1X2
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
70% 7
50% 5
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
30% 3
50% 5
Total Goals
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
0-1
0% 0
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
Olympiakos Piraeus
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
xG
1.66
1.22
xGa
1.31
1.42
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Olympiakos Piraeus
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Olympiakos Piraeus
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Missing Players
Ajax
- Injured - Groin Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Injury
Olympiakos Piraeus
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
1.46 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found