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NEC Nijmegen
2
2
Ajax
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 15:00
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No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
2.27
xG
1.77
54%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
6
9
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
NEC Nijmegen
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.67
PPG
2.33
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.27
Avg xG
1.98
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Ajax will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Johan Cruijff Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 20:00
Location: Johan Cruijff Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Football 21 Feb, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Ajax have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
NEC Nijmegen create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Ajax(6 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Ajax are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringH2H4/580%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Ajax concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/1794%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(7 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H5/5100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 5 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Not WinH2H4/580%NEC Nijmegen have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1788%NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Ajax(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Ajax score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/989%NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H4/580%Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Ajax(1 trends)
- High ScoringH2H4/580%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/5100%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Ajax(4 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%Ajax are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Ajax are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Ajax concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%NEC Nijmegen have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Ajax(4 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Ajax concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent4/580%Ajax scored 1+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Scored 2+Recent4/580%Ajax scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent13/1776%Ajax score in second half in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- Scored 1+Recent5/5100%NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Ajax(2 trends) — avg 1.8 (+10% above league)
- Many CardsH2H4/580%Ajax receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Ajax average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+34% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.5 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+13% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/978%Ajax average 5.8 corners/match at home (+13% above league avg 5.1)
Moderate corner environment -
+26 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.14
Pressure
0.15
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
15
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 6)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: NEC Nijmegen excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.292
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.001
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 15:00 Eredivisie
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
70%
7
20%
2
4+
30%
3
70%
7
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.06
1.62
xGa
1.48
1.55
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Played:
5
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
8
1.6
Goals
1.8
9
9
1.8
Goals Conceded
1.6
8
13
2.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
8
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
0
Clean Sheets
0.2
1
24
4.8
Corners
3.2
16
54
10.8
Fouls
9.6
48
4
0.8
Offsides
1.2
6
79
15.8
Shots
13.6
68
32
6.4
Shots on Goal
6.4
32
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 2.1 | 17 | 1.9 | 32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 7 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 13 | 2.5 | 20 | 1.9 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | 4 | |
| Corners | 5.8 | 52 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.4 | 91 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 10.8 | 86 | 10.6 | 181 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 132 | 14.1 | 113 | 14.4 | 245 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 57 | 5.8 | 46 | 6.1 | 103 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.9 | 23 | 2.2 | 20 | 2.5 | 43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 14 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 5.4 | 43 | 5.3 | 48 | 5.4 | 91 |
| Fouls | 10 | 80 | 13.1 | 118 | 11.6 | 198 |
| Offsides | 2 | 16 | 2.2 | 20 | 2.1 | 36 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 123 | 16.3 | 147 | 15.9 | 270 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.6 | 53 | 7.1 | 64 | 6.9 | 117 |
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