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Ajax
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Groningen
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
NEC Nijmegen
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.17
PPG
1.83
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
0.82
Avg xG
1.62
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.37
xG [Total: 3.12]
1.75
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 10]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
11
Fouls [Total: 24]
12
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 12]
6
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Ajax will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Johan Cruijff Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 16:00
Location: Johan Cruijff Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Football 21 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Ajax have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Ajax(11 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Ajax are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/475%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- High ScoringH2H3/475%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Ajax concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent27/3090%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 27 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent14/1688%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 14 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent25/3083%Ajax are unbeaten in 25 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Ajax are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent24/3080%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen have not won in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%NEC Nijmegen score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.29)
- Top Table FormLeague65%NEC Nijmegen are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Ajax(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/850%Ajax score well (1.63/match) but have strong defense at home (0.88 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 50% of matches
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/786%NEC Nijmegen score (2.14/match) and concede (1.86/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 86% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/475%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Ajax(4 trends)
- High ScoringH2H3/475%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent24/3080%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%NEC Nijmegen score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.29)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H4/4100%Over 2.5 goals in their last 4 Eredivisie H2H matches
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Ajax(7 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Ajax are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- UnbeatenH2H3/475%Ajax are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Ajax concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent14/1688%Ajax are undefeated at half time in 14 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent25/3083%Ajax are unbeaten in 25 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Ajax are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Ajax are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen have not won in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
- Top Table FormLeague65%NEC Nijmegen are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Ajax(5 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H3/475%Ajax scored 1+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- Scored 2+H2H3/475%Ajax scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/475%Ajax score in second half in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Ajax concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Ajax conceded under 1.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
NEC Nijmegen(5 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H4/4100%NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches vs Ajax
- Late SurgeH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen score in last 15 minutes in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen score in second half in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%NEC Nijmegen score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.29)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Ajax(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/475%Ajax receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- Few CardsH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
NEC Nijmegen disciplined play balances Ajax aggression — • H2H average: 5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 6.1 (+24% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Ajax average 6.1 corners/match at home (+24% above league avg 4.9)
Moderate corner environment -
+5 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (20 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Ajax
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.12
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
12
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: NEC Nijmegen excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.153
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.03
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Eredivisie
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
30%
3
60%
6
Total Corners
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.01
1.47
xGa
1.81
1.61
Number of goals
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
70%
7
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
60%
6
30%
3
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
50%
5
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Played:
4
Wins
2
2
Draws
1
1
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
6
1.5
Goals
1.8
7
7
1.8
Goals Conceded
1.5
6
10
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.3
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
17
4.3
Corners
3.8
15
47
11.8
Fouls
10.3
41
3
0.8
Offsides
0.8
3
60
15
Shots
13.3
53
24
6
Shots on Goal
6.5
26
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 2.3 | 14 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.1 | 49 | 4.7 | 28 | 5.5 | 77 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 84 | 11.7 | 70 | 11 | 154 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.6 | 23 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 117 | 13.7 | 82 | 14.2 | 199 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 50 | 5.7 | 34 | 6 | 84 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 21 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.6 | 36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 10 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.6 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 11 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6 | 42 | 4.7 | 33 | 5.4 | 75 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 73 | 13 | 91 | 11.7 | 164 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 13 | 2.4 | 17 | 2.1 | 30 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 108 | 16.4 | 115 | 15.9 | 223 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.7 | 47 | 6.9 | 48 | 6.8 | 95 |
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