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Ajax
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FC Volendam
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 14:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(19 total)
xG
1.70
(23.6 total)
Shots per Match
14
(196 total)
Shots on Target
5.9
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.2
(157 total)
Offsides
1.6
(22 total)
13
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(27 total)
xG
1.30
(16.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(178 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(40% acc)
Corners
4.5
(59 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(134 total)
Offsides
0.9
(12 total)
27
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(46 total)
xG
1.50
(40.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(374 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(41% acc)
Corners
5.1
(137 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.8
(291 total)
Offsides
1.3
(34 total)
9
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.8
(25 total)
xG
2.00
(18.0 total)
Shots per Match
15
(135 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(41% acc)
Corners
5.9
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(87 total)
Offsides
1.9
(17 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(16.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.7
(157 total)
Shots on Target
7.1
(45% acc)
Corners
5.1
(51 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.2
(132 total)
Offsides
2.3
(23 total)
19
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(49 total)
xG
1.80
(34.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(292 total)
Shots on Target
6.6
(43% acc)
Corners
5.5
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(219 total)
Offsides
2.1
(40 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Ajax will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Johan Cruijff Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 20:00
Location: Johan Cruijff Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Football 21 Feb, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Ajax have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
NEC Nijmegen create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Ajax(6 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Ajax are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringH2H4/580%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Ajax concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/1794%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(7 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H5/5100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 5 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Not WinH2H4/580%NEC Nijmegen have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1788%NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Ajax(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague5/956%Ajax score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.78 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 56% of matches
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/989%NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H4/580%Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Ajax(1 trends)
- High ScoringH2H4/580%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/5100%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Ajax(4 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%Ajax are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
- UnbeatenH2H4/580%Ajax are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Ajax concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%NEC Nijmegen have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Ajax(4 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Ajax concede only 0.78 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent4/580%Ajax scored 1+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Scored 2+Recent4/580%Ajax scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent13/1776%Ajax score in second half in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- Scored 1+Recent5/5100%NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Ajax(2 trends) — avg 1.7 (+4% above league)
- Many CardsH2H4/580%Ajax receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Ajax average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+28% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.5 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+13% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/978%Ajax average 5.8 corners/match at home (+13% above league avg 5.1)
Moderate corner environment -
+26 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (21 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (21 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.16
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
21
Avg. Goals per Match
1.05
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
15
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
12
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 6)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (21 vs 14 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: NEC Nijmegen excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.306
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 Eredivisie
Ajax
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (8)
1.8 (9)
xG
1.80
2.10
Shots
15.8 (79)
13.6 (68)
Shots on Target
6.4 (32)
6.4 (32)
Corners
4.8 (24)
3.2 (16)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 (9)
1.6 (8)
xGa
2.10
1.80
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (13)
1.6 (8)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
10.8 (54)
9.6 (48)
Offsides
0.8 (4)
1.2 (6)
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
NEC Nijmegen
4/6 (67%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
2.33
PPG
2.33
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
67%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
2.03
Avg xG
1.78
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
70%
7
60%
6
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
30%
3
40%
4
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
50%
5
70%
7
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.66
1.73
xGa
1.31
1.52
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
40%
4
0%
0
Double Chance
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
60%
6
100%
10
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
2.83
xG
2.10
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
6
10
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found